JSN in possible smash spot. The Lions are dreadful defending the slot and their usual slot corner is out and they will try to figure it out on the fly.. plus Gino is very accurate and feeds the short open player. Like his receptions and yards over.

JSN is in the slot and now that the Lions are officially banged up and down slot corners I’ll leap here. Nice value. If catches come down I’ll play that too

Let’s go plus money with Lions to win the first quarter. I could take -1/2 for -115 but like the -1.5 at plus money.

The Seahawks 3-0 start under new head coach Mike Macdonald has certainly impressed. However, Seattle could be in for a rude awakening in this spot. Their wins came over the Broncos in Bo NIx's debut, the Patriots in overtime, and the Skylar Thompson-led Dolphins. Seattle travels to Detroit for a primetime matchup without three of their best defensive players (DE Leonard Williams, LB Boye Mafe, LB Uchenna Nwosu). The Lions can look to attack Seattle's defense on the ground. On the other side of the ball, the Lions boast an improved defense that is Top 5 against the run and only getting better. Detroit will win at the line of scrimmage and win this game. Lions roll.

Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker returns after missing the last two weeks with an oblique injury. When Walker is at his best, he is a workhorse back getting 20+ carries that runs tough for hard-earned yards. However, fresh off the oblique injury I think Walker is likely to split carries with Zach Charbonnet. The Lions are also one of the best run-stuffing units in the league, and will force Seattle to beat them through the air. Lions defensive linemen Alim McNeil and DJ Reader might be the best DT tandem in the league. The Seahawks are also missing OT George Fant, making things even tougher for this Seahawks O-line. Walker's rush yards are set to a low total for a reason. Take the Under.

The Seahawks have played one of the easiest schedules in the league thus far (Broncos, Patriots, Tua-less Dolphins). Ford Field will be rocking tonight, and the Lions averaged over 30 points per game at home in 2023. I have the Lions winning by 6+ here.

I like this spot as a breakout game of sorts for Detroit's offense. The Seahawks' defense hasn't been tested thus far and injuries are mounting in Seattle. Both sides have explosive players all over the field on offense. I see this game as a 30-24 type of contest, which goes over here comfortably.

Even if the Seahawks were fully healthy, the play would be the Lions in this spot; the fact that Seattle is at least somewhat injured simply solidifies the pick. Detroit has not played with the same offensive might it did last season – Sam LaPorta’s disappearance is notable – but the Lions remain efficient and can make this a long game for the Seahawks with their ball-control offense. The Dolphins proved last week that pressure can get the Seahawks out of sorts, and Aaron Glenn’s defense should be able to capitalize on that. Detroit is 38-17 ATS under Dan Campbell since the start of the 2021 season, and with the game at home, I’m comfortable going above a field goal.

I expect the Lions to score plenty tonight, but Seattle has been stellar against the pass so that could mean even more of David Montgomery -- who has scored a rushing TD in six straight games including playoffs. That's tied for the 2nd-longest streak in Lions history. If Detroit is inside the 5, Monty is getting the ball first.

I know Seattle is 3-0 but they have played probably the three worst quarterbacks and offenses the NFL has assembled. They gave up 20 to Denver in Bo Nix’s first start, then Went overtime against Jacoby Brissett and the patriots. And then played the dolphins without Tua. I don’t see them going on the road and winning. And no I don’t care That they have win 6 straight games in the series. Whatever happened 10 years ago is irrelevant. Lions win.

Last week against the Arizona Cardinals the Detroit Lions decided to use a heavy ground game. Between David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs they combined for thirty nine carries. Expect the offense to open up more in the passing game as the Lions and Seahawks have had shootouts each of the last two seasons. Jameson Williams off a one catch nine yard performance should have a big impact. He is a weapon Goff targeted twenty times in the first two games. Play his over.

The Seahawks can't defend it all. Mike MacDonald’s defense in Baltimore completely destroyed Jared Goff in last year’s Lions at Ravens game, but Gibbs had good numbers with 68 rush yd on 11 carries and 1 rushing TD, 58 recyd on 9 catches. MacDonald can’t shut down the WR/TEs, the inside running game, AND also shut down Gibbs. He has averaged 90.5 rush+rec yards at home and has popped for over 100 in 3 of his last 5 games. The Model has him projected for 96 combined.

Miami injuries are in DK Metcalf's favor. Brian Branch is out which limits the Lions’ ability to play 2 high safeties and contain Metcalf. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Tyler Lockett seem to be ‘trading WR2 targets’ week to week while Geno Smith always looks for DK Metcalf first. Geno Smith will target him 8+ times and he could get over on just 2 catches. The Sportsline Model makes the number 76.

This is the fourth straight season in which these teams have met and the combined points in the last three have been 80, 93, and 68. As I like to say, some teams just like to play high-scoring games against one another. Now that logic isn't always perfect but we'll give it a try again here. It's also interesting that none of the teams’ six combined games have gone over this total, so why is the number so high by the oddsmakers? Just a hunch: Lions 34, Seahawks 27

Betting on a tight end is risky in 2024 as receiving yards from the position seem scarce to say the least. And though LaPorta has a sprained ankle, I expect to see him perform at a high level in what I think will be a shootout on Monday night. The Seahawks gave up an 8-109 line to Hunter Henry in Week 2 so a 5-50 statistical output for the Lions TE doesn't seem too unreasonable.

The Lions have a strong edge on both lines of scrimmage and should benefit from a significant home-field advantage early in this game. Key defensive injuries for Seattle should allow the Lions to move the ball effectively on the ground, which is crucial to maintaining their efficiency in the passing game with a balanced attack. I’m taking the Lions in the 1st quarter.

Kenneth Walker appears to be a full-go tonight, but it's certaily possible we see something close to a 60/40 split with Zach Charbonnet. Walker faces one of the best rush defenses in the NFL and I don't see him finding a ton of space. This bet gets even better if the Seahwaks find themselves down big in the 2nd half as the rushing attempts will dwindle in that scenario.

Seattle has had Detroit's number the past few years in high-scoring games, but the Seahawks' defense is really banged up missing potentially four starters. And that 3-0 record has come against Bo Nix, Jacoby Brissett and Skylar Thompson/Tim Boyle. The Lions are 7-0 SU in their past seven home primetime games.

The Seahawks are missing four key members of their defensive front. I expect a run-heavy attack from Detroit. That bodes well for safety Rayshawn Jenkins. He's the only Seattle defender to have played every single snap and he lines up near the line of scrimmage half the time. He's made 10 tackles each of the past two games and leads the team with 26 combined stops. The Lions lead the NFL with 70.7 offensive plays per game. Jenkins should make at least eight combined tackles.

Seahawks slot receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba has caught 17 of 21 targets this season. This is a strong matchup for him, as the Lions are tough to run against and have been burned by slot receivers. Moreover, the Seahawks have visited Detroit each of the past two years and Geno Smith threw for 320-plus yards both times. Look for Smith-Njigba to rack up at least 48 receiving yards Monday.

New coach Mike Macdonald, a defensive specialist, has been a godsend for the Seahawks. They have doled out the second fewest yards in the league. However, the opposition hardly has been daunting -- Denver, New England, Miami minus Tua Tagovailoa -- and Seattle travels to the Motor City without four key defensive contributors. The 'Hawks' lofty defensive ranking is about to take a hit. Above all, the Lions under coach Dan Campbell are a jaw-dropping 37-17 against the spread. The offense, underachieving so far, is due for a bust-out.

I don't want to be too down on the Seahawks because they're 3-0 on the season but we've got to look at the teams they're beating. They beat the Broncos, the Patriots barely, and the Dolphins with no quarterback. Only one cover out of those three games. And then we have the Lions at 2-1 and they haven't really played their best game yet. They've been average at best but they still persevered. The Seahawks have won the last six meetings with Detroit whose last win was in 2012. It's time for the Lions to win and Seattle to get exposed. Detroit covers.

The Lions came out of last week's game with a ton of injuries to monitor, but they had a great practice report on Friday that included Sam LaPorta, Alim McNeill, Brian Branch and Alex Anzalone practicing in full. While they still won't have Frank Ragnow and Marcus Davenport, the injury issues appear worse on the Seahawks side, where five key front-seven defenders haven't practiced all week. Even without Ragnow, I like the Lions to control the line of scrimmage on offense. Hopefully we can fade a backdoor cover from Geno Smith, but I think this line should be closer to 6 than 3.

Similar to what we saw last year at this time, the Seahawks are getting a bit too much respect in the market on the strength of a strong start against meager competition. They struggled against both the Broncos and Patriots before prevailing, and beat up a short-handed Dolphins team last week. The Lions saw their defense step up in a 20-13 road win over the Cardinals last week, allowing just 277 yards of total offense. This is also a revenge spot from last year in which a late pick-6 from Jared Goff led to an OT loss in game Detroit controlled most of the way.

Seattle's run D is still a work in progress, though Mike Macdonald is making his mark. Seahawks have allowed 20 rushing TDs to RBs since start of last season; only CAR has allowed more. The Lions powerful OL will be a big test for them and David Montgomery is the opener and closer for the Lions. He's done this in six straight games and it's part of the Lions identity, especially at home. Value is only going to plummet through the week. He will get chances when they get inside the 10 and with their RZ issues, I see them kicking it old school when they get near the goal.

This has been a dead over series and Lions used to be a dead over team at home, but after a 9-4 stretch of overs they are now under 2 straight in DET for first time in 2 years. Neither team has played a game over 46 this season. SEA 6-3-1 to under since '23. Lions defense has bite, and Mike Macdonald shut DET offense down last year (25 plays for 97 in first half of blowout). Jared Goff saw season high Cover-4, went 5/9 for 29 with 2 sacks vs it. SEA allowing under 150 pass yards a game. Both DCs will take away deep shot and entice run game. Lions RZ offense a mess right now.