Erik's Past Picks
If you think Jim Harbaugh was close to the best in the regular season, wait till you see playoff Jimmy. Plus, I don’t trust Houston in the red zone. No mistakes will be the order of the day. Let’s go under.
I believe in Ohio State’s defense, especially in their ability to limit the TX offense in this game. Likewise I think Ohio State will be limited in their explosive plays. That means we’ll have a hard time going over so I will go under this total.
What we’ve learned through this 12 team playoff (and entire bowl season) is that the SEC is down this year. Why are we not taking advantage of this again? This price is much shorter here than at any other book.
Notre Dame had a 98 yard touchdown run against Indiana. Then they had 17 points and less than a minute of play against Georgia. These events are unlikely to occur again. Plus, there are rumors of illness in the Irish locker room and their running back may not be healthy. Add in the fact that they are small in the defensive front and Penn State should control the clock a little and I will make this my best play.
ND has been lucky to score as much as they have. Penn St. will run into an Irish D. I worry about OT but otherwise my model says under.
Memphis is on absolute fire at home while Dallas is a team that is rudderless with no Luca and no Kyrie. Without Kyrie, Dallas has really struggled, so let’s jump on the grizzlies.
You’ll need 4 tds AND a FG or 3 tds and THREE FGs to beat me. Crossed 28 and now I’ll jump.
When Dobbins gets double digit carries, he scores in well over 50% of his games. As his prop is 14.5 carries this becomes nice value v a Raider team that is all done.
Nix has put together a very impressive year. And while KC is still formidable Nix has eclipsed this in 6/7.
Let’s take the Chiefs early. We are seeing it’s not easy to just rout an NFL team who is playing backups.
The last game of the year. And they will throw it to kid every play. Too much volume against a Philly D that will sit and rest.
I like being on the right half of 16.5. The Patriots will try, especially on offense. I like them to get to 17 on a mild day in Foxboro
I’ve watched Penn play and I’m less impressed than the general public. He has missed wide open receivers and ultimately this is Robinson’s team. Unless they run a higher percentage of place than projected or he hits a big downfield throw or two I think he’s under this number.
DMitch didn’t play much last night. Plus I don’t see this is a blowout, LeBron will get after it v old team and I like DMitch to shoot early and often.
Cleveland didn’t exert themselves last night to win against Golden State. And LeBron is now 40 and talking about how he wants to show the world he is still playing at a high-level. I will take the over.