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Angelo MaglioccaAmagsSat at 2:00 PM21Extra Innings: Saturday MLB Betting
12 Expert Picks
Joe Ryan usually enjoys facing the Guardians. ...
Can the Rockies make is four straight home wins for Kyle Freeland? ...
Washington is MLB's best over team hitting at 60%...
Arizona swept the Dodgers just before the All-Star break...
It's an F5 outlier total at BetRivers. ...
Can the Pirates shine on the road at the Yankees?...
Ryan Weathers has been inconsistent for the Yankees. ..
Who will win this matchup between two All-Star pitchers on Monday?
The Athletics have lost 11 of 12. ...
The Cubs have lost five of Taillon's last six starts...
The Dodgers are in a tough spot Monday. ...


Should Valter Walker be a bigger favorite? ...
FanDuel. Logan Gilbert has pretty significant home/road strikeout splits, with just a 24.5% punch-out percentage on the road, compared to 28% at home - similar to what we’ve seen in seasons prior from the Mariners righty. Gilbert will face a Giants lineup that has been strikeout averse all season (20.1% against righties), but features six above average targets in the lineup today. Gilbert has cleared this line in 7/11 home starts, including each of his last four.
This looks like a good spot to back Robbie Ray who will be returning to Seattle to pitch in what shapes up to be an excellent matchup. Ray has been largely effective this season and will face a Mariners lineup that possesses the lowest weighted on base average in the majors over the last 30 days. Couple that with a very pitcher friendly park, I like Rays chances of getting in at least 6 innings today.
Robbie Ray is 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA over his past seven starts. He faces a Mariners lineup with a home OPS of .422 the last two weeks. The Giants are the No. 2-hitting team on Sundays this season and its road OPS in July is .806. Logan Gilbert is good, but the Mariners starter has allowed four runs in two of his last three starts, and his home ERA is nearly two runs higher than his road split. The Giants have won four of six, with the two losses each by a single run.
Casey Mize has a 2.79 ERA, the bullpen behind him as a 1.30 ERA since the Fourth. The Angels have lost 12 of 14 and have scored three runs or fewer in 10 of those games. This feels like another low-scoring output is coming. Meanwhile, The Tigers have won eight of 10; the two defeats, they were held to 2 and 0 runs vs. Cristopher Sanchez and Zack Wheeler. Angels starter Ryan Johnson isn’t Sanchez or Wheeler. He has a 6.75 ERA on the season, and the Angels’ bullpen is scuttling.
The surging Tigers have a realistic shot at a Wild Card, and they're not out of the division race either. They'll look to keep beating up on the lowly Angels behind consistent starter Casey Mize. He has a 1.00 WHIP and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 10 of 14 starts. The Angels counter with 23-year-old Ryan Johnson, who has served up nine homers in 33.1 innings. The team is 1-8 when Johnson starts.
The Nationals crushed on Friday night but I stayed off them yesterday against the righty JT Ginn. Back against a left hander today and in a great ballpark for hitting, I'm taking the Nats to score a bunch of runs and win this one by at least a couple. Foster Griffin has also been incredible for a Nats starting rotation that desperately needed him, pitching to a 2.77 ERA in 19 starts thus far. On the other side, lefty Jacob Lopez faces off with MLB's top offense vs. lefties, as he brings an ERA near seven into this hitter's haven of a ballpark. Nats get back on track here after a terrible loss last night.
I can't help myself...I have to bet Washington's revelation of a pitcher, Foster Griffin, once again. He's been a cash machine for bettors like me this season. The left-hander is 10-2 with a 2.77 ERA for the Nationals, who are a shocking 29-19 on the road this season. Look for the All-Star Griffin to keep the Athletics lineup in check and secure the series victory for the Nats on Sunday.
You're going to see a lot of very true and very statistics going into this World Cup Final. One of the scariest statistics is the fact that Spain have conceded only a single goal over their eight matches. That is 100% a true statistic, and everyone is using that, understandably, as an argument to a low scoring match. I don't care. I just don't. This is a final. I understand Spain defense is good but Argentina are a team that need just one inch or one tiny mistake to punish you. I think we'll see a very slow 30 minutes, followed by 90 minutes of electricity.
This is a strategic bet for me and I wouldn't be shocked in the slightest if this ends up being a push. This is a World Cup final between two teams that have shown they are capable of grinding this game to a stall if needed. Argentina played England incredibly close for the first 45 while Spain still boasts the best defense in the world. For me, this match is a 49-51 coin toss in Argentina's favor, so I love taking plus money on DNB for a match that I have either ending in a 1-1 draw at regulation, or 2-1 Argentina.
This feels like a match that stays under. Spain have looked almost untouchable defensively. They held Portugal to 0.6 xG, Belgium to 0.32 xG, and France to 0.3 xG, keeping clean sheets in two of those three matches. They’ve conceded just one goal the entire tournament. Argentina have shown time and time again that you can never count them out, but I think they know their best path to another World Cup is to keep this match tight and avoid mistakes. The longer this stays 0-0, the more Argentina have to like their chances. It has all the makings of a tense, tactical final with very few clear cut chances.
Spain won their last three games in regulation time, despite playing against three of the world’s best teams: France, Belgium, and Portugal. The Spaniards are on a six-game winning streak, and they’ll be full of confidence after absolutely dominating France in the semifinals. They look vastly superior to Argentina in midfield. Of course, Argentina have elite attackers, but so do France, and the likes of Mbappé, Dembélé, and Olise couldn’t create anything against this relentless Spain team. They’re so neat and tidy in possession, and so disciplined and well-drilled out of possession, so they should win this game pretty comfortably.
I was hoping it was England's year but hard to beat the unstoppable Lionel Messi in his final WC game against the impenetrable Spanish defense. It’s the first time since the FIFA rankings began in 1992 that the top-two teams in the world will meet in the World Cup final. Spain is the first team to get this far since Italy in 2006 while only allowing one goal in the entire tournament. The final is usually low scoring (cautious clubs in the first half) .... just not the past two. But those each involved France.
Don't trust Cubs southpaw Shota Imanaga all that much these days but still much more than I do Minnesota's Zebby Matthews, who is 2-3 with a 6.17 ERA away. I pretty much don't trust anyone named Zebby, so that might be a personal issue. The Twins are four under against lefties and the Cubs 10 over vs. righties.
Twins starter Zebby Matthews owns a 6.17 road ERA and has allowed a 12.5 percent barrel rate. That’s in the bottom 5 percent of MLB. The Cubs’ last eight wins have come by two or more runs. Back Shota Imanaga and Chicago on the run line.
Astros rookie Lucas Spence has had quite the series debut against the Baltimore Orioles. In each of his first two games as a big leaguer he has had a hit, including two hits with a run in yesterday’s extra inning loss. Take the rookie to go three for three on cashing his hitting prop as Brandon Young has given up a minimum seven hits each of his last three starts. Take his combination line over, with a split for an RBI.















