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Angelo MaglioccaAmagsSat at 2:00 PM29Amags' MLB Extra Innings Weekly Chat
David BearmanThe UndertakerMay 28 at 7:00 PM2NCAA Baseball Regionals: Bearman's Bets
8 Expert Picks
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Down Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVencenzo the Twolves did not fold in game four, and came back to go up 3 games to 1 on Denver. A player that I look to get traction for the remainder of this series is Julius Randle. He has shown when Anthony Edwards is out, he can almost be as ball dominant as Jalen Brunson is with the Knicks. With Denver putting extra attention on Dosunmu look for Randle to break out. Play his over.
The Timberwolves have won the last three games of this first-round series against the Nuggets to put them in an elimination situation in Game 5 tonight. What I'm looking at here is a total that started at 232.5, and it's been driven down to its lowest total yet at 224. This is a buy-low, sell-high moment for me, and I'm going over the lowest total of the series. I do expect the Nuggets to win by 20 or more, but I'm obviously not so sure because I didn't bet it. This will be a high-scoring game, just the over for me.
Christian Braun was a non-factor in the two games in Minnesota, scoring a total of 10 points as Denver got blown out twice. At home, however, Braun has been far more productive -- throughout the regular season and in the first two playoff games. He had 21 and 24 combined points, assists and rebounds in Games 1 and 2. In the regular season, Braun averaged 13.3 points and 5.0 rebounds at home, compared to 10.5 and 4.6 on the road. With Aaron Gordon playing hurt (if he plays) and Peyton Watson still sidelined, the Nuggets' energy boost has to come from someone else. I bet on Braun bouncing back in a must-win spot.
Jayden McDaniels averaged 4.2 rebounds over the course of the season, but in this series, he’s snagged at least eight boards in three of the four games. He’s also generated three assists in all four matchups with the Nuggets. Someone has to make up for the 8.1 rebounds/assists lost to Anthony Edwards, and McDaniels, the starting SF averaging 36 minutes per game, is the prime candidate.
The Dodgers are north of -300 on the moneyline and I'd rather do this than -1.5 at about the same price. Sure does look like a pitching mismatch between Miami's Chris Paddack (0-4, 6.38 ERA) and LA's Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2-2, 2.48 ERA). The Marlins are 3-9 away.
I like the Under in Game 4 if you can get a six. That's the key number because eight straight meetings between Utah and Vegas have produced six goals or less. Mammoth goaltender Karel Vejmelka has stepped up his game in the postseason with a 2.36 goals against average and .916 save percentage. Meanwhile, Vegas' Carter Hart allowed four goals on just 12 shots in Game 3. However, before that poor outing, Hart went 7-1 with a .932 save percentage. I expect Hart to play better on Monday, so I'll go under six goals for a half unit.
A little surprised the Mammoth are home dogs considering they have won the past two in the series. Knights goalie Carter Hart has gotten worse as the series has gone along while Mammoth counterpart Karel Vejmelka has gotten better. Utah's depth has been a difference as 12 different players have contributed at least a point. Four guys have two goals already, while six players have contributed at least two points.











