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Angelo MaglioccaAmagsSat at 2:00 PM24Extra Innings: Saturday MLB Betting
12 Expert Picks
Andre Pallante is under this line in 12/19 starts. …
I’m taking this Nolan McLean under, despite him clearing it in each of his last six outings. …
Can the O’s can down another hot team in the majors? …
Ryan Weathers has remained under this line in four straight games. …
Juan Soto is out again for the Mets. ...
Texas is in first place in the AL West. …
Bryan Woo struggles away. ...
Is the wrong team favored in Philly? ...
Cardinals RHP Andre Pallante has struggled at Busch. ...
Brian Keller makes his major league debut against his former team...
Here. We. Go!


Should Valter Walker be a bigger favorite? ...
Yep, I see this number. So I'm going two units to match it. That's how much I prefer insurance. The Guardians don't have much lefty power and their one guy who does, stellar rookie Chase DeLauter, is sitting. Cleveland has lost three in a row and not hitting much as it is. The Rays haven't lost a Nick Martinez start since mid-June. And I don't even need a win. Cleveland plays a ton of one-run games (35) because of weak lineup.
I think the price here on the Rays is a bit light for two teams kind of going in different directions. Just because Jose Ramirez is back now doesn't make the Rays offense any easier to navigate, and I don't trust Tanner Bibee to successfully get through the first half of this game without giving up multiple runs. He allowed seven baserunners in five innings earlier this year when they faced off but escaped with just one run allowed. I don't see him being that lucky today. Bibee has struggled vs. lefties, with a .359 wOBA and ISO over .250 of late, allowing 20 homers with 14 coming against lefties and the Rays project to have seven lefties in the lineup today.
The Miami Marlins after having the most wins in the month of June, have lost ten straight in July. The down trend has largely been caused by a team slump at the plate, where they have scored three runs or less in eight of those losses. Look for the main bats at the top of the order to uplift the team today, against Randy Vasquez who has not pitched beyond 3 1/3 innings since June 13th. Take Kyle Stowers over on his combination line.
MGM has this line at +155 and I love that price for Dylan Cease to not complete a full six innings here today. The Red Sox have been hot, it's no secret, and this is the third time they will see Cease this year. The first two times he threw 100+ pitches yet failed to complete six innings in either start. The Blue Jays need a win badly, and if Cease is beginning to struggle I don't see them pushing him too far. If he's good, I'll take my loss but at this price on MGM it's a must play.
Marlins starter Eury Perez has a 1.14 ERA over his last seven starts. He can limit a Padres offense that swings hard and misses a lot. On the other side, Padres LHP JP Sears has a 2.51 ERA in three July starts, the Marlins aren't hitting left-handers of late. Sears has pitched in one day game all season and allowed just one hit over five.
FanDuel. Eury Perez has cleared this strikeout line in 12/16 full starts this season, including 6/7 at home. He’s amid his best stretch of his season, pitching to a 1.24 ERA over his last five starts. Even though the Padres bats have heated up of late, they are a strikeout prone team against high velocity, which Perez delivers.
With a 12-1 record and a 2.48 ERA, Sonny Gray has been elite for the Red Sox, who have turned their season around in July. The veteran right hander has thrown five straight starts of at least 6 innings pitched and one earned run or less. Not to mention, the Red Sox are 16-1 in their last 17 games, while the Blue Jays' season is all but over with a disappointing 47-57 record. Look for Boston to clinch the weekend series with another victory at home on Saturday afternoon.
Daylen Lile was used for just one pinch hit at bat in yesterday’s loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks. After having Thursday off as a team he is well rested going into the rest of the weekend. On the year he has had three hits or more in six games, with one of those being against the Diamondbacks. In the June series he cleared his combination line two of the three matchups. Take Lile over on his combination line today.
The Giants just ended a five-game losing streak with the win last night, and they have their best pitcher, Robbie Ray, on the mound going against the Angels, who are 17-35 on the road, which is tied for the worst road record in baseball. Ray has only allowed five runs between his last six starts, and the Giants have won eight of his last 10 starts. The Giants get the win today.
It's the second game of a weekend series between two teams who expect to be open for business over the next week before the trade deadline. Expect these two rosters to look a lot different come next Saturday. In the meantime, Robbie Ray is 5-1 at home for the Giants with a 2.44 ERA (as compared to a 4.35 ERA away from Oracle Park). Ryan Johnson is 0-3 with a 7.44 road ERA for the Angels. I'll back the home team in a Saturday matinee after Friday night's game ended late into the night.
Since giving up nine earned runs to the Reds on May 14th in a 15-1 Nationals loss, Foster Griffin has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. Washington has won 10 of his last 11 starts, with the only loss being a nine run blown lead by the bullpen to San Francisco in June. Griffin has given up exactly one run in eight straight starts. Even though the Diamondbacks are playing very well, I think the Nationals left hander keeps them in check and his team wins the second game of the series on Saturday.
I think this would be a great spot for Tigers -1 (really, really going to push we add that and NRFI/YRFI in 2027) but in lieu of not having that will go this route. I'll take an early win and take my ball and go home -- yeah right. I'm already looking at the Liverpool-Sunderland friendly tonight from Nashville. Detroit's Casey Mize has a 2.50 home ERA. The Tigers have won three straight and six of eight since the break. They aren't selling now. The Royals definitely are.
I’m comfortable taking a big number here on Logan Webb who continues to work deep into games, especially when pitching at the friendly confines of Oracle Park. Webb will face an Angels lineup that has performed poorly throughout the season, in addition to ranking bottom 10 in wOBA over the last 30 days and on the season. I like Webb’s chances of putting in another 7 IP today.
Logan Webb would have completed seven innings last time if not for a tough final few batters and a crushing three run homer to tie the game. He got through six innings with just 88 pitches before things unraveled with two outs in the 7th, so I like him to continue the trend tonight of doing well at home and pitching deeper into games for a Giants pitching staff that needs length from him each time. Webb likely faces a righty heavy order too, and they are hitting just .204 against him, making this the better side of his split. Fanduel and MGM have far better prices here so I would play it there.
In his last seven home starts for the Giants (excluding Opening Day against the Yankees), Logan Webb has thrown at least 7 innings in six of them. And its not as if he even needs to pitch well for manager Tony Vitello to leave him in the game. Against Toronto on July 8th, Webb gave up five runs in the first inning and still managed to throw an additional six frames. Current Angels hitters are batting a collective 8-for-33 against Webb (.242 average), so I believe San Francisco's ace will once again find a way to pitch deep into the game against them on Friday night.













