Naz Reid was mostly an afterthought in Game 5 against the Lakers, as Rudy Gobert dominated. I'm expecting Reid to be pivotal in this series, though. The undersized Warriors will force Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle to give up the ball, and other Wolves will have to make catch-and-shoot 3s. That fits Reid's game perfectly. He cleared this prop total in all four regular-season matchups with Golden State, and also went Over this number in three of five first-round playoff games. Coming off an unusually quiet performance, look for Reid to show up big in Game 1.

Over the last 15 days, the Rays rank 27th in OPS (.612). They should struggle against Zack Wheeler, who has fanned 29 over his last three starts covering 19.2 innings. The Phillies, especially Bryce Harper, have underperformed thus far, but I like their chances against right-hander Drew Rasmussen. He has pitched worse than his 2.64 ERA indicates and has given up seven earned runs in his last two starts covering 10 innings. Look for the Rays to fall to 9-14 at their temporary home, George M. Steinbrenner Field.

This number has moved to 11.5 at many books, and I would still play it Over at that number for even money or better. But BetRivers and others continue to deal 10.5 even with Evan Mobley's status in question. Jarrett Allen grabbed only five rebounds in Game 1. However, the Pacers shot 53 percent from the field, which limited rebound opportunities. When these teams met late in the regular season, Cleveland was playing for nothing and Allen was the only starter who suited up. He grabbed 10 rebounds in 16 minutes against Indiana's regular lineup. Look for Allen to play 30-plus minutes and clear this prop total, regardless of whether Mobley plays.

The Mariners saw their six-game win streak snapped Sunday, but I like them to start fast Monday night versus the Athletics' Luis Severino. Severino has been dominant on the road (0.95 ERA) but has struggled to adjust to Sutter Health Park -- the A's new home in West Sacramento. Severino has served up four homers at home where he sports a 5.11 ERA. Look for the Mariners -- who were shut out over six innings in Seattle by Severino on March 27 -- to make adjustments and grab the lead after five innings. The Mariners rank fourth in OPS (.778) against right-handed pitching.

Mets starter Griffin Canning (4-1, 2.61 ERA) has an expected ERA of 3.93 and has given up a career-high hard-hit rate of 46 percent. The Diamondbacks are tied with the Dodgers for the best OPS against right-handed pitching (.801). Arizona starter Ryne Nelson has pitched much better than his 5.82 ERA indicates; he has an expected ERA of 3.35. He tossed four shutout innings against the Mets on April 29.

Isaiah Hartenstein is coming off a 12-rebound performance in Game 4 at Memphis. He has grabbed 50 rebounds in his last five games. In this matchup against Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon, Hartenstein will be critical to negating the Nuggets' rebounding edge. So I'm expecting him to play more minutes than usual and clear this prop total.

In Josh Hart's last three meetings with the Celtics this season, he put up 28, 40 and 28 combined points, rebounds and assists. He's pivotal in this matchup because the Celtics choose to guard him with Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford or Luke Kornet. That gives Hart space to operate and be aggressive offensively. Hart also cleared this prop total in five of six first-round playoff games. Hart averaged 37.3 minutes in the series against Detroit and played at least 38 minutes in the final three regular-season matchups with Boston.

The Dodgers are 5-0 against the Braves, and I like the price on LA to complete the sweep. Bryce Elder has served up six homers in five starts, including two over four innings in a loss to these same Dodgers. Dustin May hasn’t been sharp lately but he can draw on his first start this season when he fanned six Braves while allowing zero earned runs over five innings.

Seattle has won 15 of 20 and I like this price on the visitors Friday. Bryan Woo has gone at least six innings in each of his starts, and at home he's allowed one run each time (two starts). Woo beat the Rangers on April 12 in Seattle, fanning seven in seven innings. The Mariners own an .834 OPS over the past two weeks and should produce against Jack Leiter, who is making his second start since coming off the injured list.

Guardians starter Logan Allen got shellacked by the Red Sox last time out and now faces a Blue Jays lineup that ranks seventh in OPS (.757) against southpaws. In his two starts against teams that rank above average versus lefties, Allen gave up 11 earned runs in 9.2 innings to Boston and San Diego. He walked eight and struck out three in those matchups. Toronto enters with momentum after homering five times in beating Boston the past two nights. Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt is 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA in two home starts, fanning 17 over 11 innings.

The Tigers own a .735 OPS against lefties and should fare well versus Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi, who has an expected ERA of 4.58. Kikuchi has walked 18 batters in his last five starts and faces a patient Detroit lineup that ranks eighth in walks per game. This is a cheap price on the Tigers, who are 19-9 since getting swept by the Dodgers in their opening series. Detroit starter Casey Mize has been excellent in four of his five starts and has an expected ERA of 2.44.

Texas has lost six of eight but has Tyler Mahle (3-0) on the mound to close this series. While his numbers are sensational, Mahle has been fortunate, sporting an expected ERA of 3.51 compared to his actual ERA of 1.14. Mahle has stranded over 87 percent of his baserunners, which is bound to regress. A's lefty Jeffrey Springs has been unlucky, posting a 6.04 ERA with an expected ERA of 4.32. Back the A's, who have won six of eight, to at least be tied through five innings.

Austin Reaves has only cleared this line once in the series, but he has begun to heat up, making 10 3-pointers over the past two games. Reaves played only 35 minutes last game but is averaging 39 in the series. Look for him to play close to 40 minutes and thrive off passes from Luka Doncic and LeBron James.

Rockets backup center Steven Adams played a series-high 26 minutes in Game 4, despite Steve Kerr's tactic of intentionally fouling him. Adams was plus-16 in a game his team lost by three. Think about that. Adams has the best plus-minus of any Rocket in this series (+5.8), and Houston's best lineup has featured Adams alongside Alperen Sengun, Jabari Smith, Dillon Brooks and Fred VanVleet. Adams grabbed five offensive rebounds in Game 4 and his presence is crucial, considering Houston's halfcourt struggles. If he hits a couple free throws early -- Adams is 5 of 7 the past two games -- the 31-year-old vet should play big minutes. Many books have moved to 7.5 rebounds and I would still go Over that for half a unit.

The Rockies have high hopes for Chase Dollander, who has great stuff and was drafted ninth overall in 2023. He dominated in the minors but is struggling against major-league hitters. In his four starts, Dollanders has allowed a 19.4 percent barrel rate -- that's bottom-2 percentile -- and a 48.4 percent hard-hit rate. In his two starts at Coors Field, Dollander has allowed six homers and 10 earned runs in nine innings. The Braves have woken up and own an .811 OPS over the past week, third-best in MLB.