The Texans lost by eight in the regular-season meeting. …

The Ravens demolished the Bills in the regular season. ...

The Pacers' Obi Toppin faces a difficult rebounding matchup Tuesday, as Cleveland gives up the third-fewest rebounds to his position. Toppin grabbed two rebounds in 18 minutes when these teams played Sunday. Look for Toppin to fall below five rebounds for the eighth time in his last 11 games.

Vikings linebacker Blake Cashman wears the green dot and doesn't come off the field. He missed the regular-season meeting with the Rams, and Ivan Pace Jr. stepped up with 13 tackles. Now Pace is back to a part-time role. Against a Rams' team that loves to hand the ball to Kyren Williams, look for Cashman to record eight or more combined tackles for the fifth straight game.

Rams running back Kyren Williams rushed 23 times for 97 yards in the first meeting with Minnesota. Since then, the Vikings' run defense has deteriorated. They rank 31st in success rate allowed over the past six games and just allowed Detroit to run for 178 yards (5.7 ypc). Blake Corum is out, so Williams should see another massive workload after resting in Week 18.

T.J. Hockenson, who missed the regular-season loss to the Rams, should be a big factor Monday. Adjusting for opponents, the Rams have allowed the highest target share to opposing tight ends. Hockenson got eight targets last week but Sam Darnold was highly inaccurate; they connected just twice amid a frenzied Detroit environment. With this game at a neutral site, look for Darnold to find Hockenson at least four times.

I love T.J. Hockenson in this matchup, but I also love another Vikings option not named Justin Jefferson. Jefferson caught eight of nine targets for 115 yards in the first meeting, so he is sure to draw a ton of defensive attention. Jordan Addison has become a much more important player for Minnesota down the stretch (66 targets the final eight games), and he excels against the zone coverages favored by LA. In perfect indoor conditions, against a weak Rams' secondary, there should be enough passing volume to go around.

The Rams have been getting punished by opposing tight ends. T.J. Hockenson could have had a huge game at Detroit last week, but Sam Darnold was off target. Hockenson got eight targets, the most he'd received since Nov. 24. Look for Darnold to be more accurate in a less difficult environment, and for Hockenson to record 50-plus yards.

Power back Brian Robinson should struggle versus Tampa Bay's run defense, which has allowed the fewest yards per carry over the past five games. Facing Todd Bowles' blitz-heavy scheme, Jayden Daniels will be looking for quick outlets like running back Austin Ekeler. Ekeler caught four passes for 52 yards in the season opener at Tampa Bay and should be busy again Sunday night.

When Washington played the Falcons in a critical Week 17 game, Jayden Daniels ran 16 times for 127. When he faced Todd Bowles' blitzing defense in Week 1, Daniels also ran 16 times, for 88 yards. The Bucs are outstanding at stopping traditional running-back carries. Look for Daniels to run at least nine times in the Wild Card game at Tampa Bay.

Jayden Daniels is a much better quarterback than he was in the season opener, a 37-20 loss at Tampa Bay. But this is a bad matchup for the Commanders, who thrive on their rushing attack. The Bucs have allowed the fewest yards per carry and fourth-lowest success rate over the past five games. In the second half of the season, Washington ranks dead last in explosive pass plays. And All-Pro safety Antoine Winfield is set to return for Tampa Bay. Look for Bucky Irving to exploit Washington's suspect run defense as the Bucs cover.

Tucker Kraft caught four-plus passes just five times this season. In the season opener against Philly, he caught two of three targets. The Eagles' defense ranks third in DVOA versus tight ends and gives up the sixth-fewest targets to the position.

Saquon Barkley hasn't been used much as a receiver lately, but that should change Sunday. Green Bay has given up the most receiving yards to running backs over the past six games. The Packers have done a great job stopping the run recently, allowing 3.0 yards per carry over the past three games and 4.0 yards per carry this season (3rd-best). Look for Philly to get Barkley at least a couple catches and let him break tackles.

Jordan Love was brilliant in the Wild Card round last year, throwing for 272 yards and three touchdowns in a blowout win in Dallas. This time he faces a much tougher test, in a much more hostile environment, against the NFL's top pass defense. And he won't have Christian Watson to throw to. Philly allowed an average of 159.1 passing yards at home this season. Look for both teams to emphasize the run and for Love to finish with about 200 passing yards.

Marvin Mims Jr. leads the Broncos in receiving yards over the past five games (341), and he also received 12 carries in the second half of the season. Sean Payton is looking for ways to get Mims the ball, whether on bubble screens, flaring him out of the backfield or lining him up in the slot. In a potentially negative game script, look for Mims to record at least 45 combined rushing and receiving yards.