Florida has played their game and gone over 11 of the last 12...

Florida went 28-11 ATS against a brutal schedule...

We're looking at Fenway Park being 54° and 18° warmer than it was yesterday when the game got rained out. Wind's blowing left to right at 8 mph, and there's a 24% chance of precipitation. The Cardinals have an edge in this game for their hitting and for the pitching of Boston. First of all, Boston games average 12.7 runs per game, and they've gone over the total six out of seven games this season. But the main reason to bet this game over the total is that Sean Newcomb started for the Red Sox when he gave up four runs and eight hits in four innings to Baltimore. The Cardinals are the only team hitting above .300 in baseball at .302. Just the over.

Figure out how Duke is favored by 5.5 points over Houston in the National Semifinal game. The two teams met last year in the Sweet 16 with Duke winning 54-51 and Houston being a four-point favorite. Houston has four of their five starters back this season and compiled a 34-4 record and again were very stingy on defense. Duke finished 35-3 and has all-everything freshman Cooper Flagg. What is it worth, a 9.5-point swing? I don't think so. I think Houston has played the better schedule in conference, and they went 10-0 on the road. Houston held opponents to 38.2% shooting and offensively, they were the second best three-point shooting team at 39.7%, making 8.2 a game. Houston to cover.

We're going to bet against Elvin Rodriguez and the Brewers today even though they've got a four-game winning streak going, and the Reds have lost four straight. This is Rodriguez's third team in four years and his first start this year, in which he gave up six hits and four runs in four innings, resulting in an 11-1 loss to the Royals. Meanwhile, Brady Singer is with the Reds this year and he was magnificent in his first outing, going seven innings, allowing one hit and no runs in a 14-3 win over the Rangers. Singer was the starter of the Reds last win. He gets the win today, and the Reds somehow find a way to hit.

When Florida beat Auburn 90-81 at Auburn, the Tigers were an 11-point favorite with a total of 156.5, and that game went Florida and over. Both teams went over 21 times this season, but each team is doing things a little differently in the tournament, with Florida continuing to go fast, getting over the total 11 games in a row, and Auburn staying under five of their last six games. But if Florida plays their game, then Auburn has to try and keep up. I see a score similar to the meeting from February as Florida has done 11 straight games. Over is the play.

Ever since the February 8th Florida 90-81 win at Auburn, Florida's had the slight edge as the best team in the SEC with sights set on the National Championship. Now they're two games away from claiming it all. Florida has won its last 10 games, and Florida has also gone over the total in their last 11 games. That's what they do: they go faster than the other team and score more points than the other team. It's a Florida way of doing things. Auburn's a short underdog in this game because they lost three times in their last eight games. Florida gets the win.

The Reds have lost four of the last five to the Brewers, and they've lost their last three games 1-0. They've got two wins on the season, but one of them was a 14-3 win against Texas, which jumped their average runs scored to 3.4, the same as a Brewers who didn't score a 14-run game. Maybe a change of scenery is going to be good for the Reds after their first six at home, and they're going to bust out of it soon, but losing 1-0 in three straight games has to weigh on them. The bet here is on the Brewers, who have won three straight and carry momentum into today.

It's going to be a chilly opening day at Wrigley Field at 44° with winds blowing in at 10 mph. Under is probably the way to go, but I think sticking with the Padres, who have a 7-0 start, is the way to go here at plus-145. Randy Vasquez didn't allow a run in six innings against the Braves, allowing only four hits, and that follows up a great outing on September 28 against Arizona, 5-0, in a game that Arizona had to win. I know there's going to be some opening day emotions for the Cubs, but the Padres are 7-0 and playing very well. Padres to win.

We got the Braves 0-6 to start the season and the Dodgers 7-0 to start their season. What do you think happens next? Seeing how the Braves took their runs per game down to 1.5 after the 3-1 loss last night, they're not off to a great start on the season hitting the ball. And that's essentially what the bet is about: rooting for a repeat of what’s happening. Bryce Elder starts for the Braves in his first start of the season, but in his last start, he gave up seven runs in 3.2 innings to the Brewers in August. Blake Snell goes for the Dodgers in a second start of the year after giving up two runs and five innings. Dodgers run-line.

It's expected to be 47° with 11 mph wind blowing in at Yankee Stadium today when they meet the Diamondbacks for the second of a three-game set. Zac Gallen faces Carlos Rodon in their second starts of the year. The first one went well for Rodon, but Gallen didn't have a good outing, giving up four runs in four innings. I watched the first game against the Cubs, where Gallen pitched, and he was off the whole game, throwing 40 balls and issuing four walks. I think a little bit of that continues, and both teams hit the ball as they have all season, combining for 6-2 over the total. The play is over.

The Padres have started the season 6-0, playing all six games at home, and finish off the three-game series with Cleveland this afternoon with Dylan Cease on the mound. San Diego has only allowed 1.5 runs per game. The Padres' pitching staff has started beautifully. Cleveland is averaging 3.6 runs a game and has Ben Lively on the mound today, who allowed three runs in five innings against the Royals in his first start. I’m going with the run line today on San Diego. Good value for such a large favorite.

The Tigers have beaten the Mariners five straight times and eight of the last 10. They've got Tarik Skubal pitching today against Luis Castillo. Both teams have won two games, but the Mariners have lost four games due to scoring 2.5 runs a game. Skubal lost to the Dodgers 5-4, allowing four runs in five innings. I think Skubal will have an easier time against the light-hitting Mariners. Skubal is 3-0 in three starts against the Mariners. Tigers win.

The Braves have started the season 0-5, and they have to play the Dodgers again who beat them last night. The worst part about the Braves is that they're not hitting. They've only scored one run in their last three games, and it doesn't help that Jurickson Profar is suspended for 80 games. The Dodgers, meanwhile, haven't had Freddie Freeman for three games, but they're still 6-0. Dustin May makes his first start after missing all of last year with Tommy John surgery, and he'll face Chris Sale, who gave up three runs in five innings against the Padres. Look for Sale to pitch well for five innings, and then the Dodgers will come alive against the bullpen. Dodgers to win.

Aaron Judge has four home runs in three games as the Yankees won them all, and he's not even using the torpedo bat. They've averaged a 12 to 4.6 score through three games. They look like the Bronx Bombers on steroids (not really). But Arizona had scored the most runs in baseball last year and they've had an average score of 6.7 to 5.2 in the four-game series against the Cubs that they split. I'm expecting a lot of runs today with Will Warren getting the start because of Gerrit Cole, Luis Gil, and Clarke Schmidt being out with injuries. Corbin Burnes makes his first start for the Diamondbacks. Lots of runs expected, just the over.