Belmont has won the last 6 meetings....

I saw Justin Jefferson at 6.5 catches and 89.5 yards for the game and I think he goes over both. He's gone over 6.5 in five of his last six games with the one being the Detroit game where everybody was awful. As far as yards gained, four his last six he's gone over that total and we got one of the shakiest pass defense in the NFL. The Rams had the 26th rated defense allowing 353 yards per game. I think Justin Jefferson is the soul of this game, and of this team, and his plays inspire the team. Jefferson over.

The Vikings went 14-3 this year and covered 11 times winning six games on the road. They'll play the LA Rams who were 10-7 on the year and 9-8 ATS with no edge at home or away with 5 wins each. Minnesota had a nine-game win streak before looking terrible at Detroit. Sam Darnold comes up big in this game. The Vikings are number two in the NFL in rushing yards allowed at 93.4 yards per game. They also ranked No. 4 in the NFL in sacks at over 2.9 per game and were No. 1 in interceptions at 24 on the season which is five more than the next team. Vikings to win in Arizona.

I don't see any reason for Washington and the Buccaneers to go against what they've done all season and stop themselves from scoring. We've got the No. 4 and 5 best scoring teams in the NFL with the Bucs averaging 29.5 a game. If they just play their normal game they should be nearing 60. Washington went 11-6 to the over and Tampa Bay went 12-5 to the over. The weather is nice at 51 degrees. I'm thinking about Washington +3 but while I'm thinking I'm certain of the over.

In the last six meetings between the Eagles and Packers, it's tied up at three games a piece and the Eagles wins have been from 5 to 7 points. Jalen Hurts missed his last two games. The Eagles went 14-3 on the season with 11 covers. The Packers lost their last two and Jordan Love got banged up in his last game. Last year in the playoffs at Dallas I remember the Packers slinging it all across the field all day long. No Christian Watson. I don't know if the Eagles defense is going to allow that. That's the Eagles No. 1 rated defense in the NFL allowing 278 yards per game. That's what ultimately wins for the Eagles.

It's going to be 31° in Buffalo with 5 mph wind in a 6% chance of precipitation and it's playoffs in Buffalo who is 8-0 at home. But I think there's going to be some points scored in this game. The Broncos were 11-6 to the over the season and Buffalo was 11-5-1 to the over. Denver has gone over five of their last six games including their last two road games at Cincinnati and the Chargers where they lost but played well. Despite having a No. 7 defense that allows 317 yards per game, Buffalo will score on them. Denver's going to score on Buffalo. Over is the best play.

The Ravens ride all kinds of momentum going into this game with a four-game win and cover streak and going over the total three of the four. The one that didn't get over was against the Texans who had a pathetic effort scoring two points in a 31-2 loss. The Steelers have lost four straight and stayed under four of the last five games. In the previous meeting, the game was close tied at 17 in the third quarter but then it ended 34-17. The Ravens have the No. 1 offense in the NFL and the No. 3 scoring offense at 30.5 a game. They got over the total 13 out of 17 games. Over.

The Chargers were No. 1 in the NFL in fewest points allowed at 17.7 per game point. This is a very conservative team, even though they've gone over the last four games, they want to control the game with their defense and slow the game down with their offense, and part of that is hanging on to the ball for long drives. They only had nine turnovers and three interceptions all year and the problem with the Texans is 19 turnovers aided by 12 interceptions. C.J. Stroud only had five interceptions last year. This will be Harbaugh football led by the defense, under is the play.

The Chargers are so good and well-coached that they won 11 games and lost six but covered 12 games with the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL at 17.7 per game allowed. They're so good because they essentially play all their games on the road with no home-field advantage in many games. They went 6-3 in the away games. And they come in flying high for this game winning their last three games. The Chargers don't throw interceptions either with Justin Herbert only tossing three of them. Chargers to win.

Texas has a lot to worry about this week with Ohio State coming up because they watched Ohio State on film for the last two games and were impressed and in awe. The blitzkrieg they put on No. 1 Oregon with two 40-plus yard bombs right away by Will Howard was impressive. Oregon couldn’t come back. In normal years, they lose to Michigan, and they're done. But this year their season was elevated to the playoffs and I think they will win it all despite their coach Ryan Day who I lost all respect for in the Michigan aftermath. The No. 1 defense ranking is a real thing. Texas is lucky to get past Arizona State. Ohio State covers.

Grand Canyon went 30-5 last year and had success in the NCAA tournament bringing back four starters from last year. But their ratings have been too high early on in the season they're winning games at 11-3 but they're not covering games at 3-10 ATS so each game their rating drops and now it's at the lowest level that they should be able to cover against Utah Valley who is 9-6 on the year. No road wins for Grand Canyon, this would be the first. Grand Canyon to cover.

Penn State scored 21 or under only two times this season, to Ohio State and Illinois. They scored 31 or more points in their three postseason games, including the Big Ten championship. But that's the only way Notre Dame can win if they hold them to 21 or below with the No. 7 ranked defense allowing 295 yards per game. And their season average of points allowed is 13.6 per game which ranks second in the NCAA. Notre Dame has covered 10 games in a row but along the way eight of their last nine games opponents have stayed under 21 points. It's going on at Notre Dame and it begins with defense. Penn State under.

Penn State played two great teams and lost to both of them, Oregon and Ohio State. Wins against SMU and Boise State were good teams from bad conferences. The best team they played and won in the Big Ten is probably Minnesota or Illinois and I see them playing three former PAC-12 teams along with two MAC teams. They’re the Kings of the mediocre. Overrated in most of those games covering six of the 12 regular season games. Notre Dame covered 12 of their 14 games and also covered the last 10 in a row. Their surprising loss to Northern Illinois in Week 2 was a driving force for the year. It kept them motivated from losing again and the plan is working. Notre Dame.

Minnesota was supposed to have nine players returning from last year's team that went 19-15 but only three players showed up with just one starter. So far they're 8-6 on the season but really bad against competitive teams. Against the spread, they're 1-11-2 in 14 games. The Gophers beat Ohio State last year in Minnesota but that was last year. So far this year they got blasted by Purdue, Indiana, Michigan State, and they also lost to Wake Forest and Wichita State. Ohio State shoots 49% from the field, allowing only 38% shooting. Ohio State does what everybody else does in the Big Ten covers against Minnesota.

Coach Tony Madlock's team was 13-19 last year and he brought two starters back from that team this year they started 5-9 and the totals have gone 7-6 to the over. They want to go fast all the time they just don't have the ability to force it upon other teams. But now we get Arkansas Pine-Bluff who is 3-11 on the year but wants to go fast wherever they go. They average a 69-98 score. They've gone 9-3 to the over this season. This game gets over.