Zack's Past Picks
Typically there are not many spots for a low win team seeking revenge from a game they should of won. The lowly Toronto Raptors who are 1-17 on the road, are coming off a close loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. In both matchups this year against Detroit they had opportunities to win losing by four and two points. Look for the Raptors to play another hard fought game against Detroit win or lose. Grab the points.
Ohio State finds themselves as a considerable favorite tonight against Texas. This is all about timing as if this matchup was played a month ago the spread likely would of been in the 2.5 point range. The way Texas nearly lost to Arizona State is concerning, and the Buckeyes confidence matching their high level talent. The opponent continues to not matter as Ohio State rolls once again. Lay it tonight.
Notre Dame put on a showcase performance in their win over Georgia. They will now face a Penn State team that covered their double digit spread against Boise, but gave up over 400 total yards. Expect the Irish to have success attacking the Nittany Lions defense, and make the x-factor plays to move on to the National Championship Game. Take the Irish in what will be a close battle.
Tonight’s game between the Mavericks and Portland has been moved up due to weather. Look for that to impact a Portland team that has been very inconsistent off a win. Dallas, has been a team with their depth that can manage key players being out. Due to a bug that hit most players, we did not see that during a five game losing streak. Take the value here on the Mavericks to win convincingly consecutive games for the first time since December 23rd.
A team that has struggled with portal transfers and overall play has been Oakland. They lost Trey Townsend to Arizona, and are just 5-11 to begin the season. One of their wins came against Wright State on December 5th. Look for the Golden Grizzlies to lean on that performance to at least keep it within the number tonight. Play Oakland.
Arkansas will try and avoid losing consecutive games for the first time this season. In Saturday’s loss to Tennessee they scored just 52 points, as Johnell Davis was scoreless off the bench in twenty five minutes of action. Look for Ole Miss to continue to give Arkansas problems on the defensive end of the floor, as opponents are averaging just 64 points per game. Grab the underdog here with Ole Miss.
Over the years the Southern Conference has lost their high end coaches to power schools, as well as talent to the portal. Still, it is a balanced conference which can be tricky on small spreads. Mercer after beginning the year just 1-4 against division one schools, has won six of their last eight. Deeper into conference play look for their flaws from early in the season to be exposed against an East Tennessee State team that won both games last season. Lay the small number here.
Sometimes conference play can ignite a team that ended non-conference play poorly. American lost four straight games, but is coming off a double digit victory over Holy Cross. Look for the confidence to show on the road today against a Boston team that has performed below their capabilities. The Eagles are also looking to avenge two losses last season against Boston. Grab the points here.
Austin Reaves points prop and assists continue to head towards peak levels. That does not scare me with today’s matchup against a depleted Dallas Mavericks team. The Lakers utilized a lot of energy in Sunday’s matchup against the Rockets, which could have an effect on them against Dallas. I expect the starters to get their normal allotment of minutes including Reaves who has scored 20 or more points in five of six games. Play his over
The Minnesota Timberwolves appeared to be going the right direction after they boosted their record to 17-14. Yet they have reversed course again losing three straight games, including Saturday against a Pistons team that was in a back to back spot. The Clippers last two matchups at Minnesota have hindered the Timberwolves offensively to 93 and 88 points. Grab the Clippers as Minnesota’s struggles continue.
The Southland Conference has one of the quickest turn arounds in action with their Saturday and Monday conferences games. One of the newcomers to the conference is UT Rio Grande Valley who will face a struggling Southeast Louisiana. The Lions have struggled since their upset win over Tulane, and are in matchup disadvantage against the Vaqueros. Take the Vaqueros on Monday.
With the Detroit Lions injuries have plagued them the entire season. One that has dealt with injuries at different stretches was tight end Sam Laporta. Over his last four games though he seems to be his old self. He has had three games above tonight’s yardage prop, and should have much better success than he did against the Vikings in October. Play his over.
At the end of the season there is value to be had on low win teams. We’ve seen the Raiders, Giants, and Jaguars win last week. Jacksonville accomplished the task of defeating the Tennessee Titans twice, and now can do the same against the Indianapolis Colts. A game back in week five that was the Jaguars first win of the season, and not as close as the final score suggested. Indianapolis got some late big plays to make the game close. Take the Jaguars to continue to show some pride to close out the season plus the points.
The Sun Belt Conference just like football is in a bit of transition in college basketball. Coastal Carolina under new leadership has worked their way to .500, and will face lowly UL Monroe. The Warhawks have the worst record in the conference at 4-11 and have lost four straight games. Yet, one of their few conference wins last year was against Coastal Carolina. Grab the value on an inflated line here.
After a quiet month of December, OG Anunoby has picked up his scoring with consecutive games of 18 and 22 points. There’s also a chance that Jalen Brunson may not play or will be hindered as he is questionable tonight. Additionally, the rest of the NBA has had issues against OKC since Isaiah Hartenstein got healthy. The Knicks know his weaknesses on the defensive end and will attack the Thunder who are in a back to back spot. Take Anunoby’s points over.