A market that was a on the decline last season despite being a strong home pitcher was Zac Gallen. One could consistently get cheap underdog prices on the away team, and that has carried over to this season. Despite shutting down the Yankees his last time out, Gallen has not been consistent enough to trust in back to back spots against potent lineups. That worry grows even more so with the Diamondbacks bullpen to close out a game. Take the Orioles as the small road underdog.

The Cincinnati Reds ended their two runs or less four game drought in a big way Saturday with eleven runs. In the win their opponent in the Brewers also got their quiet bats going with seven runs. This could be another hit parade where I would give the edge to the home team in the Brewers. Carson Spiers was hit hard in all three appearances against the Brewers last season, including four combined home runs allowed in two August appearances. Take the Brewers on the moneyline.

The tail end of the season prop market can be tricky. Upside usually lies with unproven players getting a chance when they typically wouldn’t. Milwaukee’s Ryan Rollins fits that bill, as he gets his seventh straight start. Rollins has scored in double figures in five straight games, and gets the hook offering from books as he has landed on ten two out of the last three games. Good matchup against a Heat team Milwaukee has scored 120 or more on in their last two matchups. Take Rollins over.

The Toronto Raptors are in a back to back spot, but concern is there with how they performed twenty four hours ago. Beyond the first quarter against Portland they scored just 19 points in the second, and were outscored by double digits in the second half. They’ve already ruled out RJ Barrett, and Scottie Barnes is questionable. Look for Detroit to play elevated basketball after consecutive losses by sixteen points or more.

Right now it is very uncommon not to see a double digit spread in the NBA. As the season winds down there is a big disparity in level of competition. The Philadelphia 76ers were one of the first teams to go down this path, and Milwaukee has adjusted to being without Damian Lillard. Take the Bucks to cruise against the 76ers.

On a light day for baseball, the Minnesota Twins will look to continue their reversal off an 0-4 start. They’ve won consecutive games where their bats have finally come to life with fourteen combined runs. Houston will be playing their first road series of the season, and Hunter Brown struggled last year against the Twins. He gave up his most hits on the season with twelve and seven runs. Back the Twins.

The Atlanta Braves find themselves as steep underdogs tonight as they are 0-6 on the season. Marcell Ozuna was one of the few Braves to get on base last night, and did so three times. He’s been walked seven out of his last fifteen plate appearances, and has had success against Blake Snell, with a home run. Take Ozuna to get on base with at least one hit tonight.

With the uncertainty of three Boston Celtics starters listed as questionable, Derrick White should have elevated value. He took eighteen shot attempts in the last matchup against the Miami Heat, and Coach Mazzulla has not limited White’s minutes even in blowout fashion. Take White to have a heightened game and go over this points prop.

Stealing a game in baseball in the late innings typically can carry over into the next game. Arizona, overcame a critical error to produce a grand slam with two outs in the eighth inning. As potent as New York continues to be at the plate, they were quiet from the fifth inning on yesterday. After a lead off walk in the fifth, the next fourteen batters were retired in order. Additionally, Ketel Marte had a double and home run off of Carlos Rodon in last season’s matchup. Take the DBacks.

The Detroit Tigers after an 0-3 start to the season against the LA Dodgers, have quickly gained two wins in their current series over the Seattle Mariners. They’ve produced thirteen runs in the two victories, and I expect the momentum to continue even in an early start. A problem for Seattle when Luis Castillo is on the mound is providing run support, as was showcased with zero runs in his first start against the As. Grab the Tigers for the road sweep.

The Portland Trailblazers overall season was better than expected, as Chauncey Billups got the Trailblazers to show improvement from a season ago. Down the stretch to close out the season though, they are struggling with four straight losses by double digits. Expect Atlanta’s pace of play to be the difference as they have one explosive second half quarter and push past the number.

The New York Yankees are the talk throughout MLB as they have an MLB best fifteen home runs with their torpedo bats. Corbin Burnes has been sharp his last three starts against the Yankees, allowing two runs or fewer. He may have his moments today, but look for the Diamondbacks to provide run support for Burnes. Take the Dbacks on the right side money line move.

The New York Mets surpassed their run production of the first three games of the season, with their fifth inning performance Monday against the Miami Marlins. They scored seven runs surpassing the five they scored in their first three games against the Astros. This comes as no surprise, as the Mets were one of the top run producing teams on turf last year, where they averaged 4.9 runs per game. Additionally, expect the Marlins to be cautious with starter Sandy Alcantara who will pitch in consecutive starts for the first time since August 2023. Take the over.

It’s always a tricky spot when a West coast team returns home in their first game back from an East coast road trip. Los Angeles after botching a potential win against the Chicago Bulls, regrouped for a solid road win at Memphis. They’ll face a Houston team that’s in a back to back spot, and I expect to be the aggressor after a slow first quarter in their prior matchup against the Rockets. Take the Lakers to cover the short number.

Las Vegas will hold their first postseason tournament in college basketball in quite some time. The field will have a chance to win money, just like the tournament that was played at T-Mobile Arena in non-conference play. Arizona State is one of the more interesting teams in the field. Injuries and opt outs resulted in losing eleven out of twelve games. But there’s a hunger when it comes to prize money, and Arizona State has had a couple of weeks to practice with their new group. Take ASU plus the points against a Nebraska team that lost their focus at the end of the season.