Mike's Past Picks
I'm fading a sixth strikeout from Yusei Kikuchi at u5.5 (-102) at FanDuel. This number should be -130 in this matchup. The Rangers are a top 10 offense against left-handed pitching on the season.
It appears that every expert agrees on the Rangers tonight. What could go wrong? Playing at -114 on NoVig. I have the Rangers winning 58 percent of sims meaning you should be paying -138.
I'm fading the sixth strikeout from Kevin Gausman against the Braves. I played this personally at NoVig u5.5 (-113), but would play up to -138 which is where it should be priced.
Fading a 5th strikeout from Jeffrey Springs at -125 on FanDuel. This should be -150 on u4.5 in this matchup against the Padres.
I'm fading a 5th strikeout from Nick Lodolo at u4.5 (+122) on FanDuel for the site and playing personally at u4.5 (+132) on NoVig. This number should be u4.5 at even money (+100).
I'm fading the 8th strikeout from Chris Sale at u7.5 (-112) which is available on multiple exchanges (ProphetX and NOVIG). Listing here at -136 in the tool as I would play u7.5 up to -145.
I faded a 5th strikeout from Tanner Houck in his first start (u4.5 at -113), and I'm playing it again today u4.5 (-122). This number should be -146.
I'm not expecting 13 strikeouts again but I do like the strikeout upside here from MacKenzie Gore. Over 5.5 +118 on FanDuel is a nice price as I make this o5.5 (-115).
I'm fading a 6th strikeout from Yusei Kikuchi at u5.5 (-110) on DraftKings. I make this price -125 as the Cardinals look to avoid the sweep.
I'm fading a 6th strikeout from Freddy Peralta at u5.5 +133 on Caesars. I make this line u5.5 +112 which offers a nice edge against a Royals lineup that I don't project to strikeout much (3rd lowest in MLB last season and already under 20% this season).
I'm fading a big number here on Logan Gilbert which is currently u8.5 -165 on DraftKings. At u8.5 I have this projected at -205 as the true odds.
I'm playing the Rays -1.5 +145 on MGM. This price point should be -1.5 +120 in this matchup with Shane Baz on the mound.
Sandy Alcantara looked pretty good in his season debut/return from injury, but this is a nice price to fade a 6th strikeout at under 5.5 +105. I make the number under 5.5 -115.
I'm fading a 4th strikeout from Carson Spiers at u3.5 +126 on FanDuel. I make this price point u3.5 +107.
I'm fading a 4th strikeout from Carmen Mlodzinski at a nice price of u3.5 (-118) on MGM which is also -115 on DraftKings. This number should be -140.