Jimmie's Picks (1 Live)
Jimmie's Past Picks
There is a strong chance fellow tight end Michael Mayer steals some targets from Bowers, but quarterback Desmond Ridder would be wise to target his rookie tight end early and often if he wants to beat his former team on Monday night. Prior to last week, Bowers had been targeted 40 times in three games. I expect that trend to continue on MNF, with the OROY candidate finishing with 75+ yards.
Cousins has played poorly in four straight primetime games, and could realistically be playing for his job tonight. The Raiders will be without All-Pro DE Maxx Crosby, so Cousins should have plenty of time to find his pass catchers. My DFS model projected 250+ yards for Cousins on MNF.
The Falcons have been struggling and Kirk Cousins' primetime struggles have been well-documented. That said, a game against the Raiders, who allow 27.8 points per game, could be just what the doctor ordered for Atlanta -- especially with no Maxx Crosby to deal with. I expect 28+ points for the Falcons here.
The Falcons need a win to keep their postseason hopes alive, and the Raiders are already looking ahead to the offseason. Las Vegas will be without its top player (Maxx Crosby) and Atlanta simply has more to play for. I really like this spot for the Falcons to turn things around.
The Vikings are one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, while the Bears are as inconsistent as anyone on the offensive side of the ball. Chicago is a solid defensive team, which leads me to believe there will be a maximum of one score in the first quarter here.
I also took the 1Q under here, and the thought process is simple: I don't expect the Bears to score in the first quarter, while I expect an opening drive score for the Vikings.
I was hoping to wait this out and get it at -6.5, but it doesn't seem like that's going to happen. This could end up pushing, which is boring, but I still have value here, as my projections put this line at -7.5 in Minnesota's favor. I expect the Vikings to have a dominant defensive performance and come away with a big divisional win.
One week after nearly upsetting the Vikings on the road, the Cardinals turned in one of their worst performances of the season, losing 30-18 to the Seahawks at home. The Patriots have dropped three straight and remain in the hunt for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. I expect a much better performance from Arizona, who is still alive in the NFC West race, in this spot. The Patriots have struggled on the road this season and they have a divisional showdown against the Bills looming next week. In the end, I like the Cardinals to win by a touchdown here.
The probability of the Chiefs winning games the way they have been this season is astronomically low. That said, this is a game I expect Kansas City to notch a much more comfortable win. Cleveland is a tough place to play, and the Browns have some talent on both sides of the ball. But at this point in the season, the Browns are very much a team that is looking forward to the offseason. I like Kansas City by a touchdown or more here.
South Carolina State is well rested, and hasn't played since Nov. 23. Jackson State played on Dec. 7 (when they won the SWAC championship), but I believe the Tigers are in a much better spot heading into this game. JSU is rolling and playing its best football of the season. Since losing to Grambling in September, the Tigers have rattled off nine straight wins with all but one coming in blowout fashion. This is a team that can light up the scoreboard, and will be playing for its first HBCU national title since the 1996 season. I like Jackson State to win big in the Celebration Bowl on Saturday.
Both of these offenses are explosive and have been lighting up the scoreboard all season. This will be the toughest defensive test both offenses have faced in months, but I still expect plenty of offensive fireworks on Saturday. I see this game total going over 60 points when it's all said and done.
The Rams have been getting torched through the air, and will be short-handed in their secondary on Thursday night. Purdy was outstanding in Week 14 against the Bears, and I expect him to shine again on TNF.
Despite what the Bengals' record shows, Burrow has been outstanding in 2024. He leads the NFL in touchdown passes (30), and will likely take over the league lead in passing yards tonight. The 2019 Heisman Trophy winner is averaging 278.1 passing yards per game this season. Cincinnati's offense has been rolling over the last month and I expect that to continue on MNF.
The Bengals are facing a Dallas defense that has struggled mightily in 2024, allowing 28.3 points per game. Over the last month, Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati offense have been rolling, averaging over 30 points per game in their last four games. I expect another explosive offensive performance from the Bengals on MNF.