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Josh Nagel

Senior Analyst

Josh Nagel is a Reno-based analyst and radio host who has worked in the sports handicapping industry for more than 20 years. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms, and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He prides himself on consistency and insightful analysis. He has hit 61 percent of his NBA pointspread picks since the start of the 2017 season, netting his followers 34.6 units. For Josh Nagel media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@JoshNagel1
LAST 25 CFB ATS PICKS
+459
RECORD: 14-11-0
+459
14-11 IN LAST 25 CFB ATS PICKS

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Josh's Past Picks

Mar 30 2025, 9:05 pm UTC
League
Michigan State
64
@ Auburn University
70
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+75
3-2 in Last 5 MICHST ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Spartans trailed much of the way against an Ole Miss club that appeared to have the better team having the better night. But coach Tom Izzo's March-proven pedigree won out again as Michigan State scrapped its way to the Elite Eight. The Tigers have the superior talent but have shown lapses at times. They were let off the hook by Michigan on Friday but it's unlikely the Spartans will be put away before the final horn.

Pick Made: Sun 6:42 pm UTC on FanDuel
Mar 30 2025, 9:05 pm UTC
League
Michigan State
64
@ Auburn University
70
+100
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

This is just too juicy of a price to pass up on a Tom Izzo-coached team to reach his ninth Final Four opposing Auburn's Bruce Pearl, who has reached one in his decorated career. It's also a bet against the rarity of all four No. 1 seeds reaching the Final Four, which ahs only happened once (2008) in NCAA Tournament history.

Pick Made: Sun 6:48 pm UTC on BetRivers
Mar 30 2025, 6:20 pm UTC
League
University of Tennessee
50
@ University of Houston
69
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+489
6-1 in Last 7 TENN ATS Picks
Analysis:

Player for player, Tennessee might have the more talented team. But Vols coach Rick Barnes has reached the Final Four just once in his 38 seasons as a Division I head coach despite leading numerous ultra-talented clubs. We'll side with a Houston led by Kelvin Sampson, who has been to the Elite Eight twice and a Final Four over the past five seasons, to use its signature stifling defense to move on.

Pick Made: Sun 6:06 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 30 2025, 12:59 am UTC
League
University of Alabama
65
@ Duke University
85
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+500
5-0 in Last 5 DUKE ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Crimson Tide are unlikely to duplicate their effort in their Sweet 16 blowout of BYU that included hitting 25-51 from 3-point range. Although the nation's top-scoring team can win a shootout with anyone, the equally explosive Blue Devils should welcome this challenge and pull away on their way to the Final Four.

Pick Made: Mar 29, 8:49 pm UTC on FanDuel
Mar 29 2025, 10:09 pm UTC
League
Texas Tech University
79
@ University of Florida
84
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+459
9-4 in Last 13 TXTECH ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Gators struggled in the second round against a UConn team that played stout half-court defense and held its own on the boards. Texas Tech is better on both categories and, despite coming off an OT thriller that could lead to a possible letdown, we're expecting the Red Raiders to fight until the finish and at least cover.

Pick Made: Mar 29, 8:48 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 27 2025, 11:09 pm UTC
League
Brigham Young University
88
@ University of Alabama
113
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 BYU ATS Picks
Analysis:

We’re taking the points in a dead-even matchup with both programs in their current form. Alabama is led by Final Four veterans Mark Sears and Grant Nelson. The Crimson Tide had a bit of an uneven regular season, going 4-5 in their last nine games before the NCAA Tournament. They took care of business in the first two rounds but still had some trouble putting away Robert Morris and St. Mary’s. BYU has seen an ultra-efficient offense result in 50% field-goal shooting through the first two games, and the Cougars also showed resilience in beating Wisconsin after squandering a double-digit lead. They also have been sneakily under the oddsmakers’ radars all season, and we think there is value with them again Thursday.

Pick Made: Mar 25, 7:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 21 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
Colorado State University
78
@ University of Memphis
70
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 MEMP ATS Picks
Analysis:

The late-surging Rams made an impressive run to win the Mountain West tournament. But given the dreadful showing of their MWC counterparts in both this and recent seasons, it's surprising to see the AAC champion Tigers, who have won 16 of 17, lined as an underdog on a neutral court.

Pick Made: Mar 21, 4:56 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 20 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
Virginia Commonwealth University
71
@ Brigham Young University
80
+100
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

VCU has been a popular first-round underdog. But, as this spread suggests, the Cougars remain undervalued in the market as they have been all season. They have won 9 of their last 10 and the Rams are in for a wake-up call against a higher level of competition than they are used to facing.

Pick Made: Mar 20, 4:27 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 20 2025, 5:30 pm UTC
League
University of Montana
66
@ University of Wisconsin
85
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+160
6-4 in Last 10 WISC ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Big Sky champion Grizzlies have won 14 of their last 15, with the lone setback coming by 3 points. This club has the depth, with 6 players averaging at least 9.2 points and 4 averaging double figures. Montana has the experience and should have the poise to hang with a solid but unspectacular Wisconsin club.

Pick Made: Mar 20, 4:53 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 20 2025, 4:15 pm UTC
League
Creighton University
89
@ University of Louisville
75
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 LVILLE ATS Picks
Analysis:

Creighton's season peaked with its win over rival UConn in the Big East Tournament. The Bluejays were routed in the final by St. John's and now face a team with a similar profile in Louisville. The Cardinals won 11 straight before falling to Duke in the ACC final but they have a favorable first-round matchup.

Pick Made: Mar 18, 4:38 pm UTC on FanDuel
Mar 12 2025, 6:40 pm UTC
League
University of Notre Dame
56
@ University of North Carolina
76
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NCAAB ATS Picks
+161
7-5 in Last 12 ND ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Tar Heels missed a chance to improve their NCAA Tournament resume with a loss to rival Duke in the regular-season finale. Now, they will need a deep run in the conference tournament to merit consideration. But it will be difficult to create separation from a late-blooming Notre Dame club that lost the lone season meeting 74-73 on a late 4-point play. The Irish's grinding style lends itself to close games, giving more value to the double-digit spread.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 4:58 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 12 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Gonzaga University
58
@ St. Mary's College (CA)
51
+100
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB ML Picks
Analysis:

The Bulldogs have had a modest season by their lofty standards but they came on strong down the stretch with 10 wins in their last 12 games. The lone loss in that span came at the hands of the Gaels, who swept the regular-season series 2-0. Last year, St. Mary's won the WCC title to halt Gonzaga's four-year reign. Look for the Bulldogs to avenge that loss by starting another streak Tuesday.

Pick Made: Mar 11, 5:36 pm UTC on BetRivers
Feb 09 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Kansas City
22
@ Philadelphia
40
+316
3-0 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Hopkins' absurdly low snap count (12) in the AFC title game speaks to him falling out of favor with the Chiefs coaching staff. Even so, he remains their top jump-ball type threat in the red zone and, with 2 weeks to prepare, it would be difficult to envision a game plan that didn't involve the veteran WR getting some touches.

Pick Made: Feb 09, 9:54 pm UTC on FanDuel
Feb 09 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Kansas City
22
@ Philadelphia
40
+316
3-0 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This is the most basic meat-and-potatoes prop you can imagine. But the price makes it a bargain of sorts. For a generational talent looking at his 4th Super Bowl ring, 2 passing TDs feels like a floor. It took OT to hit last year, but Mahomes has clipped this mark in all of Kansas City's Super Bowl victories with him under center.

Pick Made: Feb 09, 9:52 pm UTC on FanDuel
Feb 09 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Kansas City
22
@ Philadelphia
40
+316
3-0 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This number has escalated, but the QB's combo line feels borderline game-script proof considering he can pick up the slack in either discipline according to the game situation. Expect Hurts to put up big numbers Sunday.

Pick Made: Feb 09, 9:50 pm UTC on BetMGM
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