Sure, the Brazil track could be fast and this game could get loose fast….but I’ll play a bit on the fact the teams will touch gloves for a bit. Add in the fact we cross key numbers 23 and 24 and I’ll go under.

Hurts’s median completions was a very solid 18 for the entire second half…with little variance. Given it’s week 1, new OC, and the Saquon effect, I’ll play that he slides under 22 completions.

Last year his median targets were 7 per game, and he had 7-9 targets in a majority of his games. And in the two games before he was injured he caught 7 and 5 passes. I’m expecting a bit of a shootout tonight so I’ll take a nice plus money play here

Philadelphia was explosive on offense, and then they added Saquon Barkley to the mix. Green Bay is a solid defensive team, but the Eagles have the firepower to score 30 in Brazil. I'm taking the over here.

I fully expect Jaire Alexander to matchup with A.J. Brown for most of the game, opening the door for a monster night from DeVonta Smith. If you follow my DFS picks, you already know I have Smith going comfortably over this number.

I expect Jacobs to get 15+ carries tonight with the Packers' gameplan running through the veteran running back. Green Bay is beat up at the RB position behind Jacobs, so he could end up in the mid-20's depending on how the game flow goes. I have concerns about the Eagles' linebackers and have Jacobs projected to finish with 70+ rushing yards in his first game with Green Bay.

The Eagles completely revamped their playbooks on both sides of the ball despite many of the team’s key pieces remaining in place. One must believe there is significant confidence within the organization that those changes were for the better. Philadelphia also added a key talent on offense in Saquon Barkley and numerous new players -- particularly in the secondary -- that should help improve a unit that ranked 26th in total defense last season and is now led by Vic Fangio. The Packers and Jordan Love impressed down the stretch last season, but I’m not ready to anoint them – at least not out of the gate. I’d have considered the Pack at a full field goal but not an entire point less.

Christian Watson's battled injuries throughout his career, particularly with his hamstrings, but he's been healthy throughout this offseason and is ready to roll in full health on Friday night. He went over this in six of nine games last year, Jordan Love greatly enjoys pushing the ball down the field and it would be stunning if Watson didn't catch at least one deep ball. Think this number should be in the 20's easily.

There's been much debate over who will or should be Green Bay's No. 1 WR, but the clubhouse leader has to be the versatile Reed. His team-leading 793 receiving yards last year were 119 more than Romeo Doubs and he added 119 rushing yards and two TDs. In what is expected to be a high-scoring battle Friday, Reed will be a preferred and utilized weapon for the Packers. This combo number appears remarkably light.

Hurts scored a rushing touchdown in 11 of 17 regular season games last year. In his last 36 games (regular season + playoffs combined) over the last two years, Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in 23 of them. Even though Jason Kelce has retired, the "tush push" will still work. These odds are generous enough to take a chance again in Week 1.

First off, I'm a Packers fan but let's eliminate any bias here. I think the Eagles are quite a bit more talented on offense, especially at the skill positions, and on special teams. We'll consider the defenses a toss-up as both units are solid. Other than injuries, nothing that happens in this game will impact how high I am on these teams going forward. It's Week 1 and the game is in Brazil so let's not overreact. Eagles win a tight and entertaining game, 27-24.

Just why are the oddsmakers obligated to make the Eagles the favorites here? Certainly not because of the way they finished last season, dropping six of seven, meekly surrendering to the Bucs in the wild card round. Along the way, Jalen Hurts lost confidence and Nick Sirianni seemed to lose his grip on the team. Has adding Saquon Barkley changed those dynamics for the better? We'll see. No question that the Packers were more menacing down the stretch last season, especially emerging QB Jordan Love, who finished the campaign with an 18-1 TD pass/int. ratio. The Pack has added a top-tier RB, too, in ex-Raider Josh Jacobs. It looks to us like the wrong team is favored? Play Packers (at Sao Paolo, Brazil)

Will Jalen Hurts continue to siphon rushing TDs? His yards per carry have dropped in B2B seasons and you don't pay a guy like Saquon Barkley all that money to not use him near the goal line and ideally save some wear and tear on Hurts. Barkley also is more than capable of a receiving TD.

Think the Eagles' ceiling is higher than the Packers' overall but also that Philly's floor is lower. By that I mean could see the Eagles going anywhere from 13-4 to 6-11, while Green Bay seems a lock to finish at least 8-9 assuming Jordan Love stays healthy. I'm simply not sold on Love yet, but that might be the Bears fan in me irked that GB could have found another star QB for a decade. Believe Philly upgraded at both coordinator spots (Kellen Moore and Vic Fangio) as well as at running back (Saquon Barkley). It's all about whether Nick Sirianni gets along with Jalen Hurts, it appears. Favorites cover nearly 67% of the time in international games. Just throwing that out there.

Perhaps I'm making this pick because I think AJ Brown will want to run after being cooped up in a hotel all week, or perhaps I think it's good value. Or maybe I think it's both!

Christian Watson dealt with multiple hamstring issues the past two seasons, missing 11 games. The issues are behind him for now -- he had 100 percent participation throughout camp. While Jordan Love has a slew of talented receiving options, Watson is a physical mismatch who will make his presence felt. In what should be a high-scoring affair in perfect conditions in Brazil, Watson should rack up at least 40 receiving yards.

I'm pretty bullish on both teams this season, but I like the Eagles a little more while they're healthy. Running backs don't typically make a big difference, but Saquon Barkley, in this offense, is an exception to the rule. I also think the Eagles made a significant upgrade on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason. My simulations set this line at -3.5 for Philly, as I believe the Packers are a bit overvalued in the market after a strong playoff run last season.

This Packers offense really got going in the second half of the season and they've got all their skill pieces healthy. The Eagles made some improvements in the off-season on the defensive side of the ball, but it's a tough spot for them in Week 1 to suddenly become formidable against this particular offense. I think both teams will move the ball efficiently and I'm counting on the Packers to tackle their team total over.

This number has ballooned all the way up through the key number of 49, to 49.5 where I must take a stab at the Under. This primetime matchup will be played in Sao Paulo, Brazil. This will quite literally be foreign territory for both teams. The Eagles made significant upgrades to their struggling defense, signing guru Vic Fangio as their defensive coordinator. They reunited with gritty DB C.J Gardner Johnson, and signed veteran LB Devin White to improve their middle of the field defense. The Packers signed new DC Jeff Hatley, who should improve an already stingy defense. At altitude in a brand new environment in Brazil, I expect these offenses to take a bit to get started. This total is too high.

The Eagles added both Saquon Barkley and Jahan Dotson this offseason to an already explosive offense. While I do like the Packers to win the NFC North, this Eagles team has continuity with a lot of key players in the mix. Defensively, Philly got significantly better in the secondary this offseason.

I'm looking at this game and seeing a number extremely low and trying to figure out what is going on. Are the Eagles only -2 1/2 over the Packers in Brazil? They get a boost with Saquon Barkley this year. The same receivers in the same offense that we saw dominate the first half of the season last year. We know the Eagles failed in the playoffs and we know the Packers excelled in playoffs and I think that is too much towards the perception of the spread. Eagles to cover.

These are two teams I'm high on this season, but the market has clearly backed Philly in this game. With this being on a neutral field, this line makes the Eagles three points better than Green Bay, which I can't get behind even though only five teams are higher in my power ratings than Philly. The Eagles' upgraded secondary will be put to the test by Jordan Love, who played like an MVP in the second half of last season. I expect the Packers defense is likely being underrated heavily by the market, as I expect a big improvement under new DC Jeff Hafley. I have this game at Eagles -1 in Brazil so if you see Packers +3, grab it.

Everything about this game will be foreign to both teams. First time in Brazil on a surface that tends to favor the offense. Two offensive-minded head coaches with unique QB talents. I don't trust the Eagles D and the Packers have a new DC who might need time to adjust. In the first month of last season, GB was 3-1 to the over, going over by 7 points on average, PHI was 2-1-1 to the over, games going over by 6.83 points on average. Both were in top 6 of over margin in first month of season. I expect this game to be played 51+