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Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is perhaps best known for his college football expertise. Fornelli co-hosts the popular Cover 3 Podcast and appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@TomFornelli
LAST 11 MLB PICKS
+408
RECORD: 8-3-0
+408
8-3 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS

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Tom's Past Picks

May 18 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Florida
6
@ Toronto
1
Analysis:

Matthews finally broke his goal drought in Game 6 to help keep the Leafs alive, and there's no reason to think he won't keep firing away in a Game 7.

Pick Made: May 18, 5:27 pm UTC on FanDuel
May 18 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Florida
6
@ Toronto
1
Analysis:

Reinhart has only three goals in the postseason, and one in this series, but he's been firing shots throughout the series, and there's a good chance the dam breaks today.

Pick Made: May 18, 5:26 pm UTC on FanDuel
May 18 2025, 8:10 pm UTC
League
Seattle
6
@ San Diego
1
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Taking a punt here, as the combination of the weather in San Diego and the matchup against Seattle starter Bryan Woo plays into Merrill's favor this afternoon.

Pick Made: May 18, 5:24 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 18 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Denver
93
@ Oklahoma City
125
Analysis:

SGA has gone over this assist total in all three of OKC's home games in the series, and he's averaging 7.0 assists per game overall.

Pick Made: May 18, 5:30 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 17 2025, 2:15 am UTC
League
Athletics
1
@ San Francisco
9
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Logan Webb has been the most reliable starter for the Giants, and MLB overall, for a few years now. He's taken a step forward this season, though, as his strikeout rate has increased with a new fastball and improved changeup.

Pick Made: May 16, 2:41 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 16 2025, 9:10 pm UTC
League
Cleveland
4
@ Cincinnati
5
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Tanner Bibee has failed to go over this number in his last two starts, but I like the matchup for him against a Reds offense that strikes out frequently.

Pick Made: May 16, 2:44 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 16 2025, 6:20 pm UTC
League
Chi. White Sox
3
@ Chi. Cubs
13
+408
8-3 in Last 11 MLB Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MLB O/U Picks
+369
7-3 in Last 10 CHW O/U Picks
Analysis:

It's hot and the wind is blowing out at Wrigley this afternoon. Any ball -- and I mean any -- hit in the air has a chance today.

Pick Made: May 16, 2:40 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 12 2025, 11:40 pm UTC
League
Miami
2
@ Chi. Cubs
5
+408
8-3 in Last 11 MLB Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MLB O/U Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 CHC O/U Picks
Analysis:

It won't be frigid, but tonight will be one of those cooler spring nights at Wrigley Field with the wind blowing in directly from center. The park tilts far more into the pitcher's favor on nights like that.

Pick Made: May 12, 2:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 12 2025, 11:15 pm UTC
League
Washington
3
@ Atlanta
4
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Grant Holmes has gone over this number in four of his last six starts. While the Nats don't have a high overall strikeout rate, they do chase out of the zone a lot, which Holmes can take advantage of.

Pick Made: May 12, 2:36 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 10 2025, 1:40 am UTC
League
L.A. Dodgers
14
@ Arizona
11
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

The ERA is misleading, because Eduardo Rodriguez looks more like the pitcher Arizona thought it was getting last season. His K% has climbed from 21% in 2024 to 26.5% in seven starts, and he's had two double-digit strikeout games. I wouldn't count on that tonight, but I like his chances of getting halfway there.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:10 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 10 2025, 12:10 am UTC
League
San Francisco
1
@ Minnesota
3
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Paddack has the lowest K% of his career so far in 2025, and has been very boom-or-bust with strikeouts. He's had five or more in three starts and only two in each of the other four. Tonight he's facing a Giants offense with plenty of swing-and-miss to it, and I like our odds for a boom.

Pick Made: May 09, 2:07 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 04 2025, 5:35 pm UTC
League
Minnesota
5
@ Boston
4
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

The Twins have a strikeout rate of 21.5% as a team but that number jumps to 26.9% against lefties, which is the third-highest rate in the league. Enter Garret Crochet, who is capble of striking out anybody.

Pick Made: May 04, 3:11 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 02 2025, 1:38 am UTC
League
Detroit
10
@ L.A. Angels
4
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Yusei Kikuchi was awful in his last outing against the Twins and lasted only two innings. Look for a bounceback today against a Tigers offense that has plenty of swing-and-miss to its approach. Kikuchi had at least five strikeouts in his first five starts before the disaster in Minnesota.

Pick Made: May 01, 1:39 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 01 2025, 5:10 pm UTC
League
Kansas City
8
@ Tampa Bay
2
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Lugo got off to a slow start this season when it comes to missing bats, but he's averaging 5.75 strikeouts per start over his last four outings and I have his projection closer to 5.5 here.

Pick Made: May 01, 1:36 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 29 2025, 11:07 pm UTC
League
Boston
10
@ Toronto
2
+308
7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Bowden Francis isn't a big-time strikeout pitcher by any stretch, but my projections say this number should be 5.5. Francis has at least five strikeouts in three of his five starts and the Red Sox offense ranks 24th in strikeout rate.

Pick Made: Apr 29, 1:20 pm UTC on FanDuel
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