Emory's Past Picks
The second time around, the Eagles have a bit of an advantage in the secondary. This unit has two cover corners and two safeties that can turn the ball over. On the interior defensive line, I feel like they are much better there than they were in 2022. And finally, the Saquon Barkley factor is the biggest reason why they get revenge on the Kansas City Chiefs.
What makes the Chiefs such a tough opponent in games like this is that they don't beat themselves. What also gives me reservations about the Bills in this matchup is them being without S Taylor Rapp who was an integral part of the run defense and two high safety look. Expect a big day for Kareem Hunt and Isaiah Pacheco vs the Bills.
Two things that really show up in title games that can have an effect are a team's ability to run the ball and a defense. Both teams are elite in both categories, which will make this a tight game. Also, it's a one game season so expect some tight nerves to play a factor as well and cause this one to be called much tighter because of the little room for error.
Baltimore has a really good advantage in this game and it is their ability to play any type of game necessary to win. With that being the case, for this specific matchup it'll be more of a heavy personnel that'll give them the edge. I expect this to be a run game and defense type of matchup for Baltimore en route to a road cover.
Ohio State's offense is equally as explosive, if not more so than Texas, but what gives them an edge is that they are peaking at the right time and they are not allowing teams to hang around. Defensively they are shutting down both the run and the pass, putting the ball in their explosive offense's hands.
With both teams being eerily similar along both sides of the line of scrimmage, it makes the chess match between the two teams even more important. These teams will play a strong point of attack game and we may be looking at two touchdowns and a series of field goals.
Jaguars will have the ability to making things difficult for the Titans because of their ability to run the ball and pressure the QB. Without Will Levis playing in this game, Mason Rudolph's statuesque nature in the pocket will prove to be a bit of an issue for the Titans offense. Expect the Jags to slow down the run game and make Rudolph have to beat them consistently through the air.
One of the best things this season about the Army football team is that they do a great job of excelling on both sides of the ball. Considering what it took for the La Tech team to get into this bowl game in a last minute change, I don't think they'll be too locked in to put up much of a fight against the Black Knights of the Hudson.
This game will be an excellent showcase for both teams. But why Colorado has more to show is because of it being the final look at both Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter. This game can help strengthen both players draft stock and I expect it to be a high scoring affair coming from the Buffs side of things.
Where the Bengals can give the Broncos a big problem in this game is on the defensive side of the ball. I like how active Cincinnati is around the football and will get their chances to turn the ball over against Bo Nix. Also, the Broncos run game is hit or miss, which will make them essentially one-dimensional. Look for Burrow and the offense to be able to easily cruise to covertown.
Miami's QB Cam Ward is looking to boost his draft status and will be more than ready to put on an aerial show against the Cyclones. We know Iowa State struggles to get home and he'll have all day to throw. We also know the Canes defense can't truly be trusted to take a side on the spread, which is why I like them to just win straight up.
Northern Illinois will be competitive but what will keep them from covering the spread is the amount of losses they suffered in the transfer portal. With what the Bulldogs have on defense, I expect them to steal a few possessions away from NIU and help keep this one under this number.
Roadrunner QB Owen McCown gives UTSA the best chance because of his ability to generate the explosive play. When you couple that with how explosive UTSA is on offense, playing on a fast surface, this team should be able to score. Also, and most importantly, there weren't too many losses to the portal for them.
What Jacksonville has over the Raiders in this game is the ability to generate chunk plays on offense. Las Vegas couldn't find any offense against the Falcons last weekend and face a much stiffer test this game against the Jaguars. Look for the Jags to go on the road and cover.
With the uncertainty at QB for the Seahawks, the Vikings should be able to go on the road and get some key stops defensively. There's enough offensive balance for them to figure out a path to success vs Mike McDonald's defense enough to cover this short spread.