Five of the Giants' six halves of football this season have been abject failure. The one success came with Saquon Barkley and starting offensive linemen on the field -- all of whom will be out for this game -- against a Cardinals team expected to be the worst in the league this season. The Seahawks have a bevy of their own issues both in terms of team composition and health. However, I like Kenneth Walker to get whatever he wants in this game, which should move the clock and keep Seattle on top. Not a huge fan of the line shifting this much, but it's still a play on the Seahawks.

The Giants' defense was gashed for nearly 120 total yards by Christian McCaffery of san Francisco, but he is the definition of a unique talent. Walker is a boom-or-bust RB who likes to get to the outside, sort of a poor man's Saquon Barkley. He will likely need a long but to hit this over because the Giants will be stacking the front, especially on early downs, in an effort to dare Geno Smith to beat them with downfield passing.

Seems like almost a must win for the Giants, who are off a mini-bye week, because the Bills and Dolphins are up next and New York is most likely staring at 1-5 with a loss tonight -- this is the team's only home game in a stretch of five weeks. New York's two losses also have come against two of the NFL's top teams. The Giants are pretty healthy other than Andrew Thomas and Saquon Barkley. I'm still not sold on Seattle, which is banged up in the secondary and O-Line. That win in Detroit looks good but the Lions had two horrible turnovers. Even sorry Carolina hung 27 points on that Seattle defense. Maybe NY brings back the yips to Geno Smith.

This line has now flipped 4 points from an opener that made the Giants a slight favorite and caught many observers off-guard. But I think the start from both teams is a bit of a smoke screen. The Giants ultimately aren't nearly as bad as they've appeared in losses to the Cowboys and 49ers, who could meet in the NFC title game. What's more, I'm not sold on a Seahawks club that overachieved last year doing the same this season. They have some key injuries on the defensive side, and it's pretty much a desperate situation for the Giants. Buy to +3 if available and affordable.

Jones has a pick in each game this year. He has 16 interceptions against Cover 3 defense, and only seven to other formations. Seattle coach Pete Carroll is known to play Cover 3. Take this plus-money prop.

For the last two years there has been a correlation: The more Geon Smith throws, the less the Seahawks win. Trust me. I’ve done the math. This year Seattle has had an OT shootout with 10 extra plays and a wild shootout where they ran 15% more plays than expected. And even with that being two of the three games, he is still only averaging 34 attempts per game. Take the Under.

This sets up as a big game for Darren Waller, as the Seahawks struggle against the pass in general and specifically in the middle of the field. Waller had subpar games against the Cowboys and 49ers, but he caught six passes for 76 yards against Arizona -- a much fairer comparison to Seattle's defense. With a high total of 47 and the Giants playing without lead running back Saquon Barkley, Waller should be targeted often.

Wan’Dale Robinson made his return to action last week with four catches and twenty one yards receiving. It was not a blockbuster night but getting back on the field is a start. With the Giants offense struggling to gain traction do not be surprised to see the Giants intermix their wide receiver packages. Take Robinson over his small receiving prop.

The Giants ground game has been completely ineffective without Saquon Barkley on the field. Barkley is listed as doubtful to play tonight as he nurses a high ankle sprain. Matt Breida will form a committee with Gary Brightwell and Eric Gray. Last week sans Barkley, Breida led the Giants backfield with 7 touches which he turned into 18 yards, meanwhile Brightwell ended up with 36 yards on 6 touches. Seattle quietly has a solid run defense as well and are top 10 in EPA allowed per rush and defensive run grade.

I think this is a great spot to buy low on the Giants, who are faced with an absolute must-win primetime home game. Losing Saquon Barkley isn't fun, but this team has played some strong defensive competition against Dallas and San Francisco. This Seahawks defense isn't remotely close to the level of those teams, especially with the final injury report we're likely to see. Expect a heavy mix of blitzing on the Giants' side, as Geno Smith has struggled with picking up the blitz throughout his career. Daniel Jones does enough with his legs and finds Waller at the right times to extend drives. I'll take the points with the home team as I make this game a pick'em

This line has trended toward Seattle with Saquon Barkley and Andrew Thomas sidelined, but I'm more concerned with the state of the Seahawks, who are likely to be down both starting tackles and three cornerbacks, with five more key players questionable. Seattle's defense has been suspect all year, including against a bad Panthers pass offense last week, and Brian Daboll will finally get some relief after playing the Cowboys and 49ers defenses in two of the first three weeks. At home in what feels like a must-win spot, the Giants come to play. I don't think we're getting the +3, so I'll hop on now.

Is it fair to condemn the Giants for losing 40-0 to the Cowboys and 30-12 to the 49ers, two of the best teams in the NFL, for what’s about to happen tonight against the Seahawks? The Giants only win was a furious second-half comeback at Arizona to win 31-28 and they still didn’t cover. They’re 0-3 ATS. I see the 30th-ranked offense of the Giants routinely not executing. The Seahawks are still working on some things but looked great in wins at Detroit and Carolina, and we didn’t even get to see the strong run game shine as it will throughout the season. I have a Seahawks squad that is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Seahawks get the win.

Why is this plus money? Seattle has been lousy against the pass but also will have its ideal defensive backfield on the field for the first time this season with Jamal Adams finally healthy and Riq Woolen back after missing Week 3. Jones has at least one pick in four straight games dating to last season's playoffs.

I'll stick with the trends here: New York is 1-13 SU in primetime games since 2019 and 0-8 SU in primetime home games since 2017. They haven't scored a touchdown in the first half this season, their offensive line is a mess, and likely they'll be without their biggest weapon, Saquon Barkley. Plus, I still think Seattle is a playoff-caliber team once again and Geno Smith might want to exact some revenge on the Meadowlands faithful who bashed him as a member of the Giants several years ago. Seahawks win 23-16.

Pete Carroll is conservative and old school and likes the bird in hand. Myers is used to kicking outdoors in elements and is tied for the NFL lead with 11 attempts through three weeks (8 made). He converted two in the win over the G-men last year.

The offense is lacking multiplicity and there isn’t much to fear these days besides Darren Waller, maybe. You kinda know where the ball might be going. I could see Pete Caroll’s zone looks giving him issues, especially his Cover-3 stuff; Jones has thrown more than twice as many picks (16, with just 11 TDs and an 80.1 rating) against Cover-3 as any other zone look and he was under heavy fire when these teams met last year (5 sacks).

Tyler Lockett has just 103 receiving yards through three games, but I like him to have a great game Monday. Giants sixth-round rookie Tre Hawkins III is the Giants' starting left cornerback; as such, he will see a lot of Lockett. Hawkins, out of Old Dominion, has been overmatched so far. He's been targeted nine times, giving up eight catches for 127 yards and a 155.8 passer rating. The Giants blitz at the second-highest rate (51.3 percent). Under pressure, Geno Smith knows he can trust the 31-year-old Lockett to read the blitz and be in the right place.

I'm not big on New York's chances to win on Monday night but I would think that they have to move the ball at times somehow. Seattle has been susceptible to tight ends, surrendering the sixth most receiving yards to the position through three games. I don't trust the Giants' receivers and I could see Daniel Jones in catch-up mode peppering Waller with targets. I'll lay the juice and take the over, and would even play this prop up to 55 yards.

Another matchup with contrasting offenses. Seattle has chalked up 37 points in each of its last two outings. QB Geno Smith is adept at handling the blitz, a favorite tactic of Giants coordinator Wink Martindale. The Giants have a combined 12 points in five of its six halves to date. They did catch the Cardinals off-guard with 31 second-half points after getting shut out until then, but that is an outlier this season. Go figure: New York has lost its last seven Monday nighters straight-up and QB Daniel Jones owns a lone outright win in a dozen prime time gigs.

The Giants have allowed multiple field goals made in every game this year with kickers trying at least three field goals in each of their past two games. Myers made five field goals last week and has attempted at least three field goals in every game in 2023, notching two in 2 of 3 games.

The Giants were 6-1 and riding a four-game win streak when they visited Seattle last season and lost by two touchdowns. This year's Giants are in much worse shape as they prepare for Monday Night Football, perhaps without Saquon Barkley (high ankle sprain). If not for a miracle second half versus Arizona, the G-Men would be 0-3. The Seahawks re-established their beloved run game in their 37-27 win over Carolina and welcome back dynamic safety Jamal Adams this week. Corner Tariq Woolen (chest) also has a good chance to return after missing Week 3. Look for the Seahawks to enter their Week 5 bye on a high note.

While the Seahawks will get back S Jamal Adams on defense, there is still some questions about whether or not they can keep teams from connecting on the big play. Fortunately for them, their offense gives opposing defenses that same conflict, and if Wink Martindale blitzes Geno Smith as much as he did Brock Purdy, Smith has the passing skills to make them pay significantly.