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Alex Selesnick

PropStarz

An experienced poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and "The Early Edge," the popular daily betting show. He is 417-297 (plus 77.28 units) in MLB entering the 2025 baseball season, and 524-418 (plus 44.8 units) in the NFL. PropStarz also is coming off a monster 2023-24 NBA season that saw him go 338-246 on prop plays (plus 42.72 units). PropStarz appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and "The Early Edge" and publishes frequent articles with sophisticated analysis on SportsLine.com. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
+1624.5
RECORD: 141-101-0
# 5 NBA EXPERT
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks

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Alex's Picks (1 Live)

May 24 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Indiana
@ New York
Alex's PickSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Josh Hart led the NBA in minutes per game. ..

Pick Made: Thu 8:49 pm UTC on BetMGM

Alex's Past Picks

May 23 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Minnesota
103
@ Oklahoma City
118
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

We successfully backed Julius Randle in Game 1 of this series, but we’re going to fade the former All-Star tonight. Randle has certainly been tremendous in these playoffs and done a lot to shed his playoff disappointment label. With that being said, Randle is playing above his head and I don’t believe his current shooting splits are sustainable, particularly from behind the arc. Couple that with facing the best three point defense in the league, on the road, where the Wolves are nearly double digit underdogs, in addition to a low total, this looks like a great spot to fade him to me. I’d play this for a full unit at 19.5.

Pick Made: Thu 8:43 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 21 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Minnesota
88
@ Oklahoma City
114
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Prior to this season, Julius Randle had really struggled in his previous postseason appearances. Fast forward to this year and not only is Randle playing well but he’s significantly elevated his play and is averaging nearly 5 additional PPG from the regular season. Randle has eclipsed this in four consecutive games and averaged 39 PRA against Golden State. The 3x All-Star had a pair of double digit assist games and is routinely stuffing the staff sheet and contributing in a myriad of ways. Look for Anthony Edwards to continue to command a lot of attention and Randle has taken advantage.

Pick Made: Mon 11:40 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 21 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Minnesota
88
@ Oklahoma City
114
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Rudy Gobert has really struggled throughout the postseason and has largely been ineffective. Aside from a single game in each series, Gobert is averaging just 5.5 PPG and has been off the floor during crunch time and in the 4th quarter. Now Gobert is facing an elite OKC defense that should give him fits. I expect Minnesota to play Naz Reid more in this series which will come at Goberts expense.

Pick Made: Mon 11:52 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 18 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Denver
93
@ Oklahoma City
125
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This number suggests a bump in usage and that Aaron Gordon is doubtful to suit up for Game 7. Christian Braun has played great basketball but this is a tough spot for the former Kansas Jayhawk. Even if Aaron Gordon doesn’t suit up there is some significant blowout potential and Braun is facing the leagues best defense on the road in a hostile environment.

Pick Made: May 17, 12:25 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 17 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Boston
81
@ New York
119
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This is already a low combo line for Jrue Holiday, especially considering his playing time and usage is set to increase after Jayson Tatum suffered a serious injury. I expect Holiday to play upwards of 40+ minutes if he is able to stay out of foul trouble. Jrue is also a capable rebounder and he will need to provide Boston with a well rounded game if the C’s hope to force a Game 7.

Pick Made: May 16, 10:12 am UTC on DraftKings
May 16 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Oklahoma City
107
@ Denver
119
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

We just successfully faded MPJ but I believe the oddsmakers over adjusted his lines, especially considering this game is being played in Denver where he’s been far more productive in the playoffs. The Nuggets are in desperate need of another scoring option. I’m willing to roll the dice here and bank on a bounce back for the talented forward.

Pick Made: May 15, 8:14 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 14 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
New York
102
@ Boston
127
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Al Horford has had a great career however at 38 years old, this is a hefty combo line for the big man. Horford has failed to eclipse this line in 8/9 playoff appearances this year. Even without Jayson Tatum, I don’t expect Horfords usage to increase significantly. Kristaps Porzingis said he felt good for the first time in these playoffs and I anticipate him, along with Derrick White, Jrue Holiday and of course Jaylen Brown to be the primary beneficiaries with Tatum missing.

Pick Made: May 14, 12:10 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 14 2025, 1:30 am UTC
League
Denver
105
@ Oklahoma City
112
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This is a low combo line for Russell Westbrook who has been more good than bad throughout the Nuggets postseason run. Denver is having to rely on Westbrook as they play a very thin 6-7 man rotation, not to mention Michael Porter Jr. really struggling, particularly on the road. Russ is coming off two poor performances and I think he has a good shot to bounce back and see a few extra minutes in the event MPJ continues to struggle.

Pick Made: May 13, 10:57 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 14 2025, 1:30 am UTC
League
Denver
105
@ Oklahoma City
112
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Michael Porter Jr. has struggled in the postseason seeing his scoring average dip to just 10 PPG on 40% shooting. MPJ has been just dreadful on the road as well having failed to eclipse this line 4/5 road games, while averaging just 7.8 PPG and shooting 13-43 from the field. He’s also playing significantly fewer minutes and considering both the blowout potential coupled with the strength of OKC’s defense, it’s hard to see Porter turning things around in Game 5. I would play this for a full unit at 11.5.

Pick Made: May 13, 12:15 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 12 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Boston
113
@ New York
121
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Payton Pritchard came up big for the Celtics in their game 3 victory. The reigning 6th man of the year award winner chipped in five three pointers on his way to scoring 23 points while logging a playoff high 35 minutes. Kristaps Porzingis is clearly operating at less than 100% and the Celtics have adjusted by playing Pritchard extra minutes which I suspect will be the case tonight as well.

Pick Made: May 12, 7:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
May 12 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Cleveland
109
@ Indiana
129
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

I like this spot for Tyrese Haliburton to bounce back at home after a subpar Game 3 performance. Haliburton has performed better at home this season versus on the road and has fairly drastic home/road splits. We’re also working with a high total in a game that should be competitive. Look for Haliburton to more aggressive against a desperate Cleveland team.

Pick Made: May 11, 12:15 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 11 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Minnesota
102
@ Golden St.
97
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Buddy Hield has struggled from a consistency standpoint throughout his career, particularly in high leverage/clutch situations. This game has a minuscule total, is going to be paced down, and Minnesota possesses an elite defense. It wouldn’t shock me in Gary Payton Jr absorbed some of his minutes if Hield is struggling shooting.

Pick Made: May 10, 1:08 pm UTC on BetRivers
May 10 2025, 2:25 am UTC
League
Oklahoma City
104
@ Denver
113
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

If you’ve been following me or my picks you’d know how highly I think of Aaron Gordon and his ability to make an impact on both ends of the court. Gordon has been incredible in the playoffs and has really elevated his play. With that said, this is a high scoring line for him, in what is certainly a very difficult matchup against the best defensive team in the NBA. Anytime the Thunder play there is blowout potential as well as we witnessed in Game 2 of this series.

Pick Made: May 08, 5:07 pm UTC on Caesars
May 09 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Cleveland
126
@ Indiana
104
+1624.5
141-101 in Last 242 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Andrew Nembhard has been sensational throughout the playoffs and is a big reason why the Pacers find themselves up 2-0 on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Whether it’s been his shooting, playmaking, defense, he’s been contributing in a myriad of ways. With that being said, this is a very high line for his AR considering he’s not a high output rebounder and is a secondary ball handler. Nembhard has averaged under 9 combined RA in the regular season and postseason. My projections have a nice edge here.

Pick Made: May 08, 5:02 pm UTC on BetMGM
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