The Clippers are suddenly at full strength.

Deni Avdija has been playing excellent basketball as of late but this is simply a massive line for the versatile forward. Even in a great matchup against a Wizards team that is terrible, a lot will have to go right for Avdija to eclipse this line including a shot usage distribution that is heavily in his favor. In most outcomes Deni stays under this line as I would fade him at this high of a number versus any opponent.

This is a low number for Zion who despite being much maligned for having trouble staying on the court, he has continued to be an elite scorer. Zion’s minutes are also starting to ramp up which is a welcome sign as well. He’s also coming off a couple extra days off after missing the Pelicans last game for personal reasons. Zion is likely headed for another Questionable tag but considering it’s not injury related and how good he’s looked, I am very comfortable backing him.

KAT is having what I would consider his best season since entering the league and has thrived at the Center position where he is a major mismatch. With that being said, I expected this line to open a few ticks lower. For starters, KAT has failed to eclipse this combo line in six of his previous seven appearances and he is averaging just 32 PRA over that sample. This is also a difficult matchup against a Miami Heat squad that is ranked 12th in Defense and plays at the 4th slowest pace. Additionally the Heat are tough on opposing Centers and have surrendered the fewest Rebounds and Assists to the position over their last 15 games.

This is a massive number for Deni who has been playing excellent basketball but this is a way inflated combo line. There is also the chance that the Blazers get a few guys back in the lineup, thus Deni is like to see a few less minutes. Either way he is a fade for me at this high of a number regardless of opponent and matchup.

This is a big line for Josh Hart who averages 29.9 PRA on the season, however that number has dipped to 25.4 PRA in the month of March. Hart's teammate Mikal Bridges recently commented that he felt Knicks HC Tom Thibadeau was playing his starters too many minutes. For a guy like Bridges who has never missed a start or publicly complained this carries a lot of weight. Hart leads the NBA in MPG and is coming off of a 42 minute outing. I expect him a couple fewer minutes and this would qualify as a difficult matchup vs a suddenly excellent Golden State defense. I'd play this for a full unit at 31.5.

We're gettting a heavy discount on Domantas Sabonis combo line who has a realistic shot of suiting up for this game. This is also an excellent matchup against a Suns "defense" that surrenders the third most points, in addition to the fifth most rebounds to opposing Centers. If Sabonis does play and gets around 30 minutes, I expect him to cruise over this combo line.

Kevin Durant has torched the Kings throughout his career and they're not equipped to stop him. KD has been awesome at home where he averages 28 PPG on the season. Considering KD is averaging just under 27 PPG, I will happily take the discount in what is a plus matchup.

Franz Wagner has enjoyed a terrific season but much like his team has struggled, Wagner's scoring has dipped in the month of March. Wagner is averaging just 21.8 PPG and has been held under this line in three of his previous four appearances. Minnesota is also very tough on opposing forwards and have been playing great defense recently. The Magic are on the back half of a B2B and on the road where they are double digit underdogs. Lots of ways for Wagner to stay under this line.

Ja Morant has had 28+ points in four consecutive games, however he has faced four of the best possible matchups. Morant doesn't look right to me and his outside shot has not been reliable. He's really struggled from an efficiency standpoint having shot just 50% or better once in his previous twelve appearances. Now he faces a Cleveland that ranks 6th in Defensive Efficiency and have two exceptional rim protectors in Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. Jaren Jackson could also potentially return to the lineup as well. I expect Ja to continue to struggle from the field.

We're getting a sizable discount on this scoring line for Fred VanVleet who missed around 10 days due to an ankle strain. This will be VanVleet's second game back and he logged 28 minutes in his return. I expect that number to eclipse 30 tonight and there is likely to be some additional shots available as Amen Thompson who is the teams third leading scorer is out.The Mavs meanwhile have surrendered at least 122 points in seven consecutive games and have been getting torched. VanVleet could go over this line in a half if he is aggressive.

Going back to the proverbial well and fading one of my favorite players to pick on Ivica Zubac. To Zubac's credit hes having a tremendous season and he has maintained his production and usage despite appearing like a regression candidate. This is just a big number that I would fade regardless of the opponent, especially with Kawhi Leonard back in then lineup which he is expected to play tonight.

Trey Murphy has had a solid season and is averaging career highs in every statistical category. However I expect him to potentially struggle tonight against Orlando who play at the slowest pace in the league, in addition to ranking third in Defensive Efficiency. Furthermore the Magic defend opposing SGs better than any team in the league and surrender the fewest points to the position per 48 minutes. With over half of Murphys field goal attempts coming from behind the arc and with Orlando allowing the fewest three point field goals per game, it doesn't get much more difficult from a matchup standpoint.

The Bulls will be without both Josh Giddey and Lonzo Ball tonight. Meanwhile the Nets are an above average team defensively and still compete. They also play at the second slowest pace in the league. I dont often play totals but this is a rare one that I do like.

Deni Avdija has been a nice addition to the young Blazers and is coming off a monster performance where he exploded for 36/16/6. As a result, we're looking at an inflated combo line considering Avdija averages 25.3 PRA this season. In addition to this combo line being bloated, I also consider it a difficult matchup against a Knicks team who are very tough on opposing forwards.