Giannis is a one man show at the moment.

Here we go again. …

This is a huge combo line for Deni Avdija who has been playing great basketball, however this is inflated. It I worth noting that Anfernee Simons is Questionable, however he’s yet to miss a game due to the injury that’s bothering him, in addition his backup Dalano Blanton being a volume scorer. The Hawks are a good matchup but I am fading Avdija at this number regardless of the opponent.

We’re going right back to fading Josh Giddey however his PRA line is significantly lower so I’m pivoting to his points. While Giddey has certainly developed offensively and improved his shot, I still would argue regression is coming. There is no better perimeter defense in the league than OKC. There is also some major blowout potential here. I’d play this down to 18.5.

Kel’el Ware has been a key rotational player for the suddenly rebuilding Miami Heat squad who are still fighting in both their division and the playoff picture. While Ware has been a promising rookie, this line is inflated, even in what would certainly qualify as a good matchup. Ware is averaging approximately 22 PRA in March which has been his most productive stretch of the season, however he has failed to eclipse this in 12 of his last 15 games. There is also some blowout potential here as well as the Wizards have nothing to play for.

We unsuccessfully backed Domantas Sabonis in his last game but we’re going right back to the proverbial well. We’re getting a discount on this combination line as Sabonis averages over 39 PRA per game. This is also a much better matchup against a Pacers team that ranks eighth in possessions per game. This is a must win game for Sacramento and the game projects to be competitive and features a healthy 235 point total. I expect this line to close at 37.5 or higher.

Amen Thompson has been a revelation for the young Rockets who have taken the Western Conference by storm and currently own the number 2 seed in what is a stacked playoff picture. Thompson who has a strong case as the NBA’s MIP, has earned a big role and is able to contribute in a myriad of ways while routinely posting double doubles and piling up plenty of helpers. This looks like a good spot considering we’re getting a discount on this combo line, in addition to being a strong matchup, in a game that projects to be competitive as well.

The Phoenix Suns are broken and while I consider Devin Booker one of the best players in the league, the team is playing with no cohesion, the body language is terrible, and there are reports of infighting. Booker has struggled this season and he is playing out of position as the teams primary playmaker. Booker has also struggled against the top defenses in the league and he will be facing a top 3 defense in the Rockets. Almost all of Booker’s numbers are down this year, including his efficiency, and its culminated in a rough March where he’s averaging just 22/8/4 and has been held under this line in 10 of his last 15 appearances.

This is a good spot to fade Draymond Green who has been fairly quiet in the box scores recently and hasn’t been playing big minutes which I believe is by design. Golden State is also getting healthier and load management is very real at this stage of the season. This is a big combo line for Draymond in a game with some significant blowout potential.

Credit to Josh Giddey who is playing excellent basketball but now we’re approaching Jayson Tatum territory as far as his PRA line is concerned. I will fade Giddey at this number against any opponent and if he makes a fool out of me then I will tip the proverbial cap to him. While he’s playing great I believe there is a fair likelihood that this stretch will go down as the best statistical one of his career. I still believe regression is coming.

We are getting a sizable discount on this combination line for Domantas Sabonis. This would certainly qualify as a brutal matchup against the Magic who play the slowest pace in the league, in addition to possessing an excellent defense that surrenders the fewest PRA to opposing Centers. However Sabonis averages over 39 PRA and I consider him matchup proof because of his skillset and usage.

Devin Booker has been forced to be the Suns primary playmaker and while he’s talented enough to be effective in this role, it’s not his natural position and it’s negatively impacted his scoring. This is also a tough matchup against a Wolves team that has been playing very good defense down the stretch. This game also has some sneaky blowout potential. I would play this for a full unit at 36.5.

Another day another Deni Avdija fade. You’d think judging by the amount of times I’ve faded him recently that I’m not a fan, however that is not the case. I’m just dispassionate and I firmly believe the oddsmakers continue to over inflate his lines. While this may be a good matchup, Avdija is less productive on the road. The Blazers also have a bevy of high usage players and volume scorers. Avdija took 18 shots in his last outing and still stayed under this line.

Anfernee Simons has proven to be a streaky scorer but he’s a very talented scorer and has a green light in Portland’s offense. He’s facing a Kings team that doesn’t play much defense and plays at a fast pace. Simons averages nearly 3 additional PPG on the road and this game will be played in Sacramento. Simons is coming off a dreadful performance and I like his chances of bouncing back.

Josh Giddey has been playing the best basketball of his career, however this line is now approaching Jayson Tatum/Anthony Edwards territory. Giddey is also a regression candidate when it comes to his perimeter shooting. The Lakers also are a tough matchup as they not only have been playing good defense but a very slow pace. If LeBron and Luka suit up there is certainly some additional blowout potential here as well.