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Alex Selesnick

PropStarz

An experienced poker player, Alex Selesnick (aka PropStarz) specializes in NFL, MLB and NBA prop betting, where he implements a combination of research, statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. He is arguably the nation's No. 1 props expert. Since joining CBS Sports in 2021, PropStarz has delivered consistent winners on SportsLine.com and "The Early Edge," the popular daily betting show. He is 417-297 (plus 77.28 units) in MLB entering the 2025 baseball season, and 524-418 (plus 44.8 units) in the NFL. PropStarz also is coming off a monster 2023-24 NBA season that saw him go 338-246 on prop plays (plus 42.72 units). PropStarz appears regularly on CBS Sports HQ and "The Early Edge" and publishes frequent articles with sophisticated analysis on SportsLine.com. For Alex Selesnick media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
+1422
RECORD: 132-94-0
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks

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Alex's Past Picks

May 05 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
New York
108
@ Boston
105
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Josh Hart is playing massive minutes for the Knicks and started to appear worn down versus the Pistons. Hart led the NBA in MPG during the regular season and I anticipate him playing huge minutes in this series against Boston. Game 1 isn’t until Monday so Hart will get 3 full days of rest which should really help him considering he was fatigued down the stretch. We’re getting a discount on this combo line.

Pick Made: May 02, 4:10 pm UTC on BetMGM
May 03 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Houston
115
@ Golden St.
107
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This is a huge number for backup Center Steven Adams who is playing under 20 mins a game in this series, while averaging 11.6 PRA. The bulk of Adams production came in game 1, where he collected double digit rebounds while chipping in six points. In a must win game for Houston, starting Center Alperen Sengun is going to get all the minutes he can handle. I’d play this down to 11.5 for a full unit. This is going to be a paced down low scoring environment.

Pick Made: May 02, 7:03 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 02 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Denver
105
@ L.A. Clippers
111
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132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Aaron Gordon has eclipsed this line in every playoff game this season and has seen his usage spike, in addition to his playing time. Gordon is playing upwards of 40 minutes and stuffs the stat sheet. I would make this line 21.5 and would play this for a full unit at 18.5.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 3:17 pm UTC on DraftKings
May 01 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
103
@ L.A. Lakers
96
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132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

LeBron looked gassed to me at the conclusion of Game 4. LeBron did get an extra day off, however this game has a low total of just 209 points and this is a huge line for him. I also like the way Minnesota can defend him and bother him with their length I expect some adjustments to be made and as long as LeBron doesn’t get to the line 10+ times I think he’ll stay below this combo line. I would scale to a half unit at 42.5.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 6:17 pm UTC on BetRivers
Apr 30 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
Orlando
89
@ Boston
120
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

We’re getting a hefty discount on this combination line for Jaylen Brown who appears to be at full strength and playing without limitations after logging 41 minutes in the Celtics Game 4 victory. Brown dealt with a nagging knee injury which depressed this line but he certainly appears to be operating at full strength. I also like that this game is in Boston where Brown averaged over 35 PRA compared to just 29.8 PRA on the road.

Pick Made: Apr 28, 1:42 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 29 2025, 10:00 pm UTC
League
Milwaukee
118
@ Indiana
119
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132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

The Pacers look like they might be playing spoiler once again in the postseason and sport a very deep rotation. As a result they’re getting significant contributions from 8 to 9 players on a nightly basis. Andrew Nembhard has been an unsung hero and strong two way player, however this is a large combination line for him, especially considering his usage and role in Indiana’s offense when they’re operating at full strength. Nembhard is shooting 53% through the playoffs and we’re getting an inflated line.

Pick Made: Apr 29, 1:05 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 29 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Houston
106
@ Golden St.
109
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

I rarely play rebounding props due to them being highly volatile but this is one I like quite a bit. First and foremost Alperen Sengun is one of the Association's best rebounders. Sengun averaged over 10 RPG in the regular season despite playing less than 32 MPG in the regular season. Sengun is playing over 35 MPG in the playoffs and I expect that number to rise in what is a must win Game 4 for Houston. I’d play this at 11.5 for a half unit.

Pick Made: Apr 28, 12:41 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 25 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
Boston
93
@ Orlando
95
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Derrick White continues to show why he is one of Bostons most valuable players and truly one of the leagues most underrated two way players. With that being said, this is a huge line for the combo guard in a game with an anemic total of just 196 points. The Magic are a good defense and play at at the leagues slowest pace. I would play this for a full unit at 17.5.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 4:37 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 23 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
Orlando
100
@ Boston
109
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Despite being an NBA Champion and very well respected amongst his peers, I would argue that Derrick White remains one of the most underrated players in the Association. White has the ability to contribute in a variety of ways, is versatile on both ends of the court, and has a very high basketball IQ. That being said, while he may attempt a few more shots tonight, his usage remains fairly consistent with and without Jayson Tatum (Doubtful) in the lineup. This combo line is typically 8.5 to 9.5 and in addition to the Magic playing at the slowest pace in the Association, Orlando surrenders the fewest Reb+Ast on a per game basis.

Pick Made: Apr 23, 12:20 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 23 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Minnesota
85
@ L.A. Lakers
94
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This line is simply too low for Anthony Edwards who has consistently elevated his level of play and scoring in the playoffs. I also like that the Lakers are significant favorites here and Ant tends to be his most aggressive when playing from behind. I also like that Ant averaged 29 PPG on the road this season. I consider Ant a top 5 player in the league and I like his chances of reminding everyone with a big performance tonight versus Luka and Lebron.

Pick Made: Apr 22, 2:00 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 22 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
L.A. Clippers
105
@ Denver
102
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Jamal Murray has elevated his play in the postseason throughout his career. Murray played a whopping 48 minutes in Denver’s Game Overtime victory and compiled 37 PRA. Murray shot just 7-20 from the field and I expect him to continue to be aggressive offensively in Game 2. His hamstring issues that plagued him through the last month of the regular season appear to be in the rear view mirror. Murray is capable of eclipsing this PRA line with just points alone. I expected this number to open between 31.5 and 32.5. With another big performance there is a good chance this line won’t ever be below 30 for the remainder of the playoffs. I like this as a full unit play at 29.5.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 3:16 am UTC on DraftKings
Apr 20 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
Orlando
86
@ Boston
103
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

We’re getting a chunky discount on this scoring line for Jaylen Brown who is dealing with a troublesome knee, however the reigning Finals MVP was able to practice ahead of Game 1 versus Orlando. I’m betting on Brown being close to 100% considering he’s nearly 2 weeks off and his practice participation in very encouraging. I also believe the Celtics would hold him out if they were worried about his knee.

Pick Made: Apr 17, 5:00 pm UTC on FanDuel
Apr 19 2025, 7:30 pm UTC
League
L.A. Clippers
110
@ Denver
112
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Kawhi Leonard played great basketball down the stretch and looked as good as ever over the final month of the season. Kawhi is healthy and in great form as he heads into a first round date with Nikola Jokic and Denver. I expect this series to be high scoring up tempo, and competitive. Leonard is likely to play 40+ minutes as well. Looks like the oddsmakers adjusted Leonard’s points, however his RA line I expect to be 11.5-12.5 as the series progresses.

Pick Made: Apr 15, 1:33 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 19 2025, 1:30 am UTC
League
Dallas
106
@ Memphis
120
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

PJ Washington is a key starter for the Mavericks and he certainly has the trust of HC Jason Kidd. Washington is a capable of defending multiple positions and his three point shooting creates spacing on the other end. He also plays huge minutes and I expect that number to approach 40 on Friday versus Memphis. Washington was able to eclipse this line, despite shooting 5-15 from the field. This combo line is way closer to his floor. I would play for a full unit at 24.5.

Pick Made: Apr 17, 12:48 pm UTC on BetRivers
Apr 17 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
120
@ Sacramento
106
+1422
132-94 in Last 226 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

This is a large number for Domantas Sabonis who averages 19.1 PPG on the season. I also consider this a difficult matchup against a Dallas team that has a trio of quality frontcourt defenders in Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and Dereck Lively Jr. it’s also worth noting Sabonis averages only 16.9 PPG in 11 games he appeared without Malik Monk this season. It’s also going to be a paced down environment with fewer possessions.

Pick Made: Apr 14, 9:43 pm UTC on BetRivers
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