Scoring is down as a whole in the NFL, but I still think this number should have been set in the 50's. The Cowboys put up 33 points on the Browns, who have a top-5 defense, while the Saints erupted for 47 points against the Panthers. I see this game ending up in the range of 30-24, going comfortably over this number.

Alvin Kamara only amassed 27 receiving yards last week, but I like him to rack up at least 30 Sunday. The Saints figure to be trailing, and that's when Kamara typically posts bigger receiving yardage. Dallas registered six sacks and 17 QB hits last week. If the Cowboys bring that sort of pressure again, Derek Carr will look to get the ball out quick to Kamara.

Both team showed they can move the ball in week one, even though Dallas only had 265 total yards of offense. The Saints did take advantage of a weak Carolina defense and should be able to have some success against this Cowboys defense that can be lackadaisical at time. Dallas had the number one scoring offense last season and the game went over the total at home in six out of nine.

New Orleans beat up on a Carolina team that truly has nothing going for it, while Dallas similarly wrecked a Cleveland team known for its defensive acumen – particularly at home. Even pushing the Week 1 results aside, the Cowboys should beast on both lines of scrimmage getting tons of pressure on Derek Carr and continuing to open holes for a surprisingly resurgent Ezekiel Elliott. Dallas was unstoppable at home last season, and while it may take a bit of working out in the first half, it will pull away over 60 minutes.

This is historically the type of game the Cowboys take care of, at home against a limited opponent and particularly early in the season. Value play inside of a TD spread.

Cowboys second-year linebacker DeMarvion Overshown was all over the field in Week 1 before getting pulled with most of the starters in the blowout win. He had a 20.5 percent tackle rate and finished with nine combined stops. It was a terrific debut for Overshown after he missed his rookie year, owing to a torn ACL he suffered in the 2023 preseason. Overshown played well alongside Eric Kendricks and should have another big game against a Saints team that emphasizes the run.

We already have one piece of this game, but I'm going to jump on the spread as well. It's going to be difficult for the Saints offense to score points if their questionable offensive line, which saw first-round left tackle Taliese Fuaga downgraded to DNP on Thursday, has the same issues that Cleveland's beat-up O-line had last week, as Derek Carr does not handle pressure well. For the Cowboys to cover, they'll need to score against this underrated Saints defense, but with Marshon Lattimore not practicing and Tyrann Mathieu banged up, that may be easier than expected. If Cowboys exploit those issues to build an early lead, we should have this in the bag.

The Saints should give up points this week. I’m projecting 3.33 TDs- with lamb better than 60% to score

The Saints play a lot of man D which is exactly what Lamb shreds. At home as well, Lambis primed to have a break out game. This number will climb

Easily two of the most impressive teams of Week 1, but the Cowboys dominating in Cleveland is certainly a major step up from the Saints trouncing the Carolina White Sox. Saints Pro Bowl cornerback Marshon Lattimore is in major doubt and left tackle Taliese Fuaga is also in some question. Dallas generally routed teams at JerryWorld last year (six wins by at least 20 points) ... until that playoff game. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their past seven overall as at least 5-point favorites.

CeeDee Lamb had a relatively quiet game in week one, catching five passes for 61 yards as he shook off the rust. He has a good track record in home openers, with 11 receptions for 143 yards in 2023. The key factor is that the Saints' top cornerback, Marshon Lattimore, is doubtful due to two separate injuries to his hip and hamstring. If he does play, he won't be close to 100%. My model has him pegged for 99 receiving yards.

The Saints looked incredible in Week 1, scoring on nine straight drives to open the game en route to 47 points. This is a much different test for their refurbished offensive line, which wasn't tested at all against the Panthers. Going on the road to face the Cowboys, I expect the Saints offense to look much like the Browns last week with their offensive line issues, and I expect Derek Carr to really struggle with Micah Parsons breathing down his neck. This is a smarter play for those worried about how much the Cowboys score, as I can't see the Saints getting past 20 points even if they're able to cover the spread.

Cowboys offense hits another level at home, and Prescott has averaged 36 pass attempts at home since the start of last season, despite most of those games being blowouts for them with huge halftime leads. I'm not sure game flow will go that way here, and Saints can hang close enough and Dallas run game is probably even worse this year than last year. I figure Cowboys are chucking it around for 4 quarters. He's thrown for 31 at least in that sample since last year and tossed it 32 times last week on road and on grass (where this offense suffers) and despite nursing huge lead all game. He will check into plenty of pass looks he likes.

This is a great spot for the Cowboys. Home opener, offensive line playing reasonably well, plus Marshon Lattimore could miss this game for the Saints, opening up a chance for Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb to really go off and the Saints flying high after . The Kubiak stuff is interesting because new Cowboys DC Mike Zimmer spent a TON of time coaching with both Gary and Klint Kubiak and I think he'll generally know how to slow down the Saints offense. I also think the Saints offensive line looked better than it is against a joke of a pass rush for Carolina.

This is a big number for Rico Dowdle considering his usage in Week 1, coupled with the matchup being difficult. Dowdle handled 9 touches which he turned into 32 yards against the Browns. It's also worth noting that more than half of his touches came late in the 4th quarter with the game out of hand. The Saints run defense looked very good Week 1.

The Saints put up 47 points in Week 1, but that was at home against a non-existent Carolina pass rush. Things will be different for Derek Carr facing a Dallas defense that registered 17 hits and six sacks on Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson. The Cowboys did not lose a regular-season home game last year. I like them to get off to a fast start in their home opener and win by at least a touchdown.

Since October 1 of last year, New Orleans is top-five in the NFL in points scored. Last year they scored more points than the Chiefs. In their last seven, NOLA has a median of 28 points per game. And last week they were up 30-0 in the first half. Dallas plays high scoring games at home. The Cowboys might win….but the Saints get to 20.

We saw the Cowboys offense work through some rust against the Browns. What will be the difference in this game is how the Cowboys defense can affect the pocket and subsequently effect how Saints QB Derek Carr plays. Dallas plays a great game in their home opener.