Bob's Past Picks
New York’s Clarke Schmidt makes his season debut against a Royals lineup that has not been off to a good start offensively. Kansas City is hitting .184 on the road thus far and have only scored more than four runs twice in their six road games of the season. The Yankees bats have cooled off, hitting .234 over their last seven days and go up against Kris Bubic who’s only allowed two earned runs in 12 innings on the road. These are also two of the better bullpens in the AL to this point.
New York’s Clay Holmes own a 2.89 road ERA thus far and takes on a Twins team that is only hitting .236 at home. Six of the last seven games for Minnesota has seen less than eight runs and Joe Ryan has a good track record this Mets lineup. Despite how powerful this New York could be, they’re off to a slower start offensively this season, hitting .215 as a team so far. Both starters are backed by two of the best bullpens in the league as well.
San Diego is 5-5 in their last 10 in terms of the over/under. However, the Athletics have seen nine runs, or more, in seven straight and are still winless at home. Even though they have yet to win a game at home, there have been nine runs, or more, in each of those four games. San Diego is only hitting .257 against left handers but Jeffrey Springs comes off four earned runs to the Cubs in his last outing and San Diego has just as much power throughout their lineup. The Athletics bullpen also currently own the AL’s worst ERA, 6.08.
The National Title game is 13-6 to the under in the last 19. Florida is a team that will push the pace the entire game, but the Cougars will want to control this game in the half court. Houston is 360th in adjusted tempo and 22-15-2 to the under on the year and will give a lot of attention to Walter Clayton Jr. and they won’t be able to shut down him down totally but will attempt to do their best at limiting him. Since the Cougars play much slower, they’ll keep his game in the half court and limit the possessions from Florida from getting out in transition.
This will be a fun contrast of styles match for the National Title. Florida is going to push the pace for the entire game while the Cougars will want to control the tempo as they’re 360th in the nation in adjusted tempo. Both teams rely heavily on the three, but Houston allows opponents to shoot just 30.1% from behind the arc while also allowing the lowest field goal percentage in the country, 38.2%. The Gators have the best scorer in the country in Walter Clayton Jr., but this experienced Houston defense has been tough, disruptive and will look to keep this a half-court game.
This early in the season and we got the lowest total yet. Tampa Bay is hitting .167 against lefties thus far and even though Justin Steele has had difficulty with his control to the year, this is a favorable matchup for him. The Cubs have a powerful lineup but are still only hitting .196 at home. Nathan Eovaldi attacks the strike zone and has yet to walk a batter this season. The temperature at Wrigley will be in the 30s with 20 MPH winds blowing in.
The first two games of this series went under the total. The weather is calling for the winds to be blowing in around first pitch with cooler temperatures than the first two games. New York is still struggling to hit as a team, despite winning three straight, .191 average overall. The Blue Jays don’t have the deepest lineup and are only hitting .209 on the road in their last two. In their nine times this two teams have played, the under is 6-2-1.
These have been two of the best defenses in the country throughout the season. Duke has the height advantage, and the Cougars want a slower paced style of game. It will be difficult to slow down this Duke offense, who has more offensive weapons and the number one offense in the country in terms of efficiency. The Cougars want to control the offensive glass, but they may struggle with Duke’s size and if they aren’t controlling that, they’ll rely more on the three. The Blue Devils are the more complete team on both sides of the ball.
The Mets currently own the lowest team batting average in the league at .184. Toronto was shut out yesterday but have former Met Chris Bassitt on the hill today, only allowing one earned run in 13.3 innings against his former team. Both teams are middle of the pack in terms of OPS with runners in scoring position and these two are a combined 10-5 to the under to start the season.
Johni Broome’s health for this game is the cause for the Tigers to be underdogs. This game would most likely be closer to a pick ‘em if he was 100%. However, the public seems to forget how dominant Auburn was throughout the season. They matchup very well with the Gators and have the guard play to defend the perimeter, as Florida relies heavily on the three. The Tigers perimeter defense has been excellent, holding opponents to less than 33% in the tournament. Florida was down most of the game against the Red Raiders and Auburn won’t forget this team putting up 90 on them in the last meeting.
Florida’s games have gone over the total in 11 straight games. Both teams are in the top 10 in defensive efficiency and while they’re also the number two and three offenses in the country, it may take a little to get used to playing in the Alamodome. The Tigers defense have been the best part of their game in postseason, going under the total in five of their last six games. The total has also gone under in five of the last six meetings between these two.
New York finally returns home after a six-game road trip to start the season. This Blue Jays lineup has struggled against Tylor Megill in their careers, .206 overall batting average. In his career, Kevin Gausman owns a 5.40 ERA against New York and is backed by a bullpen with a 5.47 ERA thus far. The Mets bats haven’t been great to begin the season, .188 average, but they may wake up in their home opener with a favorable pitching matchup.
Cincinnati has been shutout in back-to-back games, and they’ve scored four runs, or fewer, in five of their six games. The Brewers are hitting .220 as a team against left-handed pitching this season and only averaging four runs per game thus far. Milwaukee’s Nestor Cortes allowed eight runs in two innings in his first outing of the season but now faces a Reds lineup only hitting .148 against lefties as well.
These two teams combined for 32 runs in their first two games of this series. Chicago is hitting .273 as a team on the road and have a favorable matchup against Jeffrey Springs, who just had a great outing in Seattle, a very pitcher friendly ballpark. Jameson Taillon allowed six runs to the Diamondbacks, on the road, in his first outing of the season and even though the Athletics lineup isn’t as potent as Arizona’s, they’re still hitting .261 as a team at home.
The public is all over Los Angeles and for good reason. The Braves are now without Jurickson Profar who was suspended for using PEDs. They’re also still without Ronald Acuna Jr. and their offense has only scored eight total runs to begin the season. Chris Sale has been impressive against this lineup in this career, holding them to a .219 average. However, Atlanta is hitting .036 as a team to begin the season and the Dodgers have plenty of hitters to get the victory at home.