Wilson has thrown just one interception in the past five games, following four combined in the first two. He's taken at least four sacks in the past three contests, suggesting he's learning when to live another day as opposed to throwing the ball up for grabs. The Chargers hardly have a ball-hawking secondary, with just 6 interceptions on the season. The plus-money payout is a decent overlay for a performance trend headed in the right direction.

I think the Jets should win this game….they have a dominant Defense that will stifle a Bolts O that is very banged up at WR. The chargers will not get to 23 or more. Let’s bank on a Jets D and conservative game plan.

Garret Wilson is going to be the focus for the Jets as they will attack a Chargers D that is not great at Corner. There will be chances for the Jets best weapon to thrive. Over.

Took this in the Bolts last prime time game and it cashed 8 plays into the contest, Ekeler should roll v Jets D that isn’t great against Opposing TEs and RBs….

The Jets are good at the corners. Herbert can struggle with the outside receivers. I expect lots of short completions whee he does not get to this number. Under

Gerald Everett has taken a dip in production compared to his best season in the NFL last year. Over the last three games he has failed to eclipse 27 yards receiving, and had thirty yards or less in all but one game. In a difficult road spot look for Justin Herbert to look for his tight end more than he has in recent weeks. Take the over on Gerald Everett.

Los Angeles only has one win on the road this season. Since 2022, the Chargers are 1-9 SU against teams with a winning record. New York’s secondary is one of the best in the league, ranking 4th in yards per attempt. The Jets were able to intercept Mahomes and Hurts a combined five times. Los Angeles’ defense is 32nd in the league in yards per attempt. Zach Wilson can make throws downfield, like he did last week against the Giants with less than a minute to go and will need to do so against this Chargers secondary. New York must contain the run to stay within the number.

The Jets are leading the NFL in tight end touchdowns allowed per game, and in fact, they've allowed more touchdowns to that position than any other this year. In comes Donald Parham, who has seven red zone targets, two more than fellow TE Gerald Everett. Four of Parham's 19 catches have resulted in touchdowns. At this price, it's worth a half-unit.

I like the Jets in this one and I think they have a good shot to win outright. The Chargers just don't have enough firepower on either side of the ball to keep my confidence. The Jets defense has humbled plenty of high powered offenses and good quarterbacks this year and I think the Jets offense has just enough to move the ball down the field against a porous Chargers offense. Look for Zach Wilson to get the ball out early to avoid the pass rush and have a relatively efficient game through the air.

The Chargers catch a break in that it won't be wintry weather in East Rutherford, but it will be a bit chilly and that has to benefit the home side. Zach Wilson may be able to move the ball against a Los Angeles defense ranked 27th in DVOA. New York's defense is vastly superior.

It seems unavoidable these two will play anything but a close game. The Jets couldn't even shake the G-Men last week, fortunate to force OT and then prevail in improbable fashion. :Along the way they found a new weapon in Thomas Morstead, who four times pinned the Giants inside of their own 20-yard-line with his punts, though it's big-play RB Breece Hall who has been more likely to bail out the offense. Meanwhile, although Justin Herbert looked a lot better last Sunday night, Kellen Moore's offense still isn't running the ball with any consistency The gnarly Jets defense is not likely to prove any easier. With home Ws vs. Buffalo and Philly already, the J-Men are capable. Play Jets

The Chargers are favorites for this game despite being 3-4 and 2-4-1 ATS while the Jets are ugly but play with passion and fight going 4-3 and 4-2-1 ATS. The Chargers have no home field and a head coach in Brandon Staley who loves to reinvent football strategy leading to losing games. The Chargers just beat the Bears who had a backup QB, the Raiders who had Josh McDaniels, and the Vikings before they got hot. The Jets have won three straight. The Chargers have stayed Under the total in their last five. Chargers No. 31 defense against the Jets No. 31 offense. Under is the top play.

If the Jets want to consistently move the ball against LAC, they may need to lean on Zach Wilson in the same way the Bears leaned on Tyson Bagent: exploiting the short and intermidate area of the defense. Last week we witnessed Tyson Bagent rely on Cole Kmet in a huge way (10 targets and 10 receptions for 79 yards) and I see a similar path this week (to a slightly lesser extent) knowing that LAC has been bad covering Tight Ends all year. Conklin will cede some work to teammate C.J. Uzomah but he will outsnap him and run more routes and he's better after the catch.

This is a juicy line but Johnston is raw and unpolished and if Mike Williams or Josh Palmer were on the field, Johnston wouldn't be. The Jets are also an incredibly stingy pass defense ranking 3rd in coverage grade. Theyve also surrendered the fewest yards and receiving yards to opposing WRs this season. They defend the boundaries extremely well.

Breece Hall has received at least 17 touches in each of the past three games, showing he's fully healthy. He's exploded for 130 receiving yards over the past two outings. The Chargers give up the second-most receiving yards to opposing running backs (54.9 per game). Against a fierce LA pass rush, look for Zach Wilson to utilize Hall as a quick-throw outlet.

): His finger on his non-throwing hand doesn’t seem to be bother him as much, but he did throw four INTs in the previous three games before shredding the Bears in the first half last week. This task will be much tougher and we know Sauce Gardner gets up for big games like this. Chargers are down several key pieces on offense and I see him forcing something to Keenan Allen that gets jumped. Jets allow just a 78.1 QB rating with as many picks as TDs allowed (8). Jets ability to not have to sacrifice anyone in coverage to get a pass rush will present problems. I like the value here

Are the Chargers going to punt on second down? Cuz unless we are going full Brandon Staley I can’t find a game script in which this guy isn’t targeted a ton against this defense. Make CJ Mosley chase him around in coverage. Give Herbert easy and quick looks against a top defense. Lean into a pass catching demon on the road in hostile conditions. I would not be surprised if he had a catch-and-run of this length. He’s gone over this in 3 of 4 games this season and sailed over it when healthy in recent years. Another seven catches for 90-some yards would shock me and I’ve played it at 50+ in alt markets.

A great defense can stop a good offense, right? That’s what I’m banking on here, with New York holding Justin Herbert in check. As deficient as Chargers defense is, the Jets are incredibly bland and limited pushing the ball with Zach Wilson. They aren’t built to stress them enough. And the Jets have just eight offensive TDs all season, tied for last. Jets have yet to top 20 points and the Chargers on the road will look a lot more like the unit that put up 17 points against the Chiefs two weeks ago; 30 against pathetic Chicago last week was the anomaly. Chargers are under five in a row and the Jets are under in five of their last six at home.

Ekeler continues to display his trademark versatility in the Chargers' offense. Since returning from injury, he has 177 receiving yards in four games. Ekeler has struggled between the tackles, and I think the Chargers realize that the optimal use for Ekeler is catching passes. I expect them to continue getting him the ball in space. L.A. is short-handed, with Mike Williams out and second-leading receiver Joshua Palmer dealing with an injury, as well. I like this matchup for Ekeler, as the Jets are stingy against opposing receivers but have surrendered the fifth-most receiving yards per game to running backs. This line could shoot up past 40 yards if Palmer is unable to play. Even if Palmer does suit up, I love this spot for Ekeler.

The Chargers' pass rushers are looking forward to facing the Jets' makeshift offensive line, and there's definitely a chance Khalil Mack, Joey Bosa and Morgan Fox force Zach Wilson into a few bad mistakes. But the Jets still have Breece Hall (5.7 ypc) and he should excel on the ground and catching passes out of the backfield. LA has allowed the second-most yards after the catch over expected (plus 116 yards). The Jets give up the fourth-fewest yards per play (4.8). In two primetime spots against New York, Josh Allen (Week 1 MNF) and Patrick Mahomes (Week 4 SNF) combined to throw for just 439 yards with three TDs and five INTs.

The Chargers are off an impressive primetime win, but I didn't adjust them at all for beating an undrafted rookie QB at home. Another of their wins came at home against fourth-round rookie QB Aidan O'Connell in his first start, and the Chargers needed three turnovers to win by seven. This is not a good team, particularly on the defensive side of the ball, and I don't think they can be laying 3.5 points on the road to anyone with a pulse. The Jets have three straight wins and hung with the Chiefs in the game prior to their streak. I'm worried about the state of their O-line, but the defense should give Justin Herbert problems and the offense should do enough to cover.

After staggering through a scary early season schedule, the Chargers found rejuvenation Sunday against an opponent with an undrafted rookie QB. They catch another schedule break next. The Jets on Monday placed C Connor McGovern and G Wes Schweitzer on injured reserve, doubling the number of original starting O-linemen on the list. New York has won three in a row outright but primarily with defense. The starter at right guard Sunday will be its fourth of the year. L.A. QB Justin Herbert has grown accustomed to playing with a broken finger on his non-throwing hand.The Chargers might be able to outscore N.Y. with one hand tied behind his back.