Rams RB Kyren Williams has gone full workhorse mode, getting 29 carries in back-to-back games. Williams has rushed for 80+ yards in 4 of his last 5 games, and has 15+ carries in 13/14. Williams may have to shoulder a heavy workload again, as this west coast indoor Rams team will head to play in the bitter Meadowlands cold. Expect Williams to put his head down and run for hard yards against a Jets defense that has been vulnerable on the ground (allowing 121.1 rush ypg). The Jets will now be without DT’s Quinnen Williams and Leki Fotu. I like Williams to continue being the Rams bell cow.

The Jets showed a little life last week against the similarly hapless Jags. But this club is just 2-4 at home and doesn't appear in a great spot for a second straight win against a Rams club that is still fighting for a division title.

This feels like an overadjustment has been made to the Jets because they played well against a terrible team (Jaguars) and bad defense (Dolphins) in consecutive weeks. New York beat Jacksonville by a TD after losing four straight. Rams-49ers was a grind last week, but Los Angeles is healthy, and it enters this game on extended rest ready to go toe-to-toe with whatever offense is thrown at them. Yes, it will be cold, and yes, the Rams are not as efficient offensively when playing outdoors under Sean McVay. But LA has won four straight away from home, it is a far better red zone team, and frankly, this is a must-win game to stay atop the NFC West.

Towards the end of the season it’s rare but there are cases of poor teams finishing strong. The New York Jets may have a 4-10 record, but they have been in position to win a majority of games. After finally breaking through against the Jaguars, look for the Jets to show some confidence against the Rams. This is a pressure spot for LA to maintain in the NFC West in a cold environment. Take the Jets plus the points.

The Jets are giving up the 5th most receiving yards per game over the last five games. We saw what Brian Thomas Jr. did to their secondary last Sunday. We know Nacua has been the alpha receiver for the Rams since he's come back from injury this season. He has 26.9% target share and should feast in this matchup.

The Rams, one of the most injury-impacted teams early this season, arrive in the Big Apple without a single player listed questionable or worse on the depth chart. In mid-December, that is a rare blessing. Jets QB Aaron Rodgers looked like the old A-Rod last weekend, but the antagonist was lowly Jacksonville. New York notched only its second outright win in 11 games against the Jags, which hardly signals a turnaround. They have covered once in six tries against plus-.500 foes. Conversely, L.A. has ripped off three SU wins in a row and seven of the last nine. This spread seems based on how the Jets should be, not how they are.

I really like this spot for Williams. The Rams offense is much better when they have a rushing attack to lean on, and the Jets have been mediocre against the run this season. The Rams need a win here to hold their lead in the NFC West, and I expect them to lean on Williams to get the job done.

Kyren Williams has 58 rushes over the last 2 games alone. Sean McVay is prone to ride him hard and especially vs this defense, traveling across country in what should be far different weather conditions than they are used to, expect the conservative HC to lean on the run. WIlliams is over this in 4 of his last 5 road games. I expect the Rams to be milking a lead in the second half vs a run D that wilts under volume,

The Rams usually start slow on the road. They've scored a total of two touchdowns in the first half of away games all season (7 games). The Jets' offense has come alive thanks to an O-line giving Aaron Rodgers all day to throw. New York has averaged nearly 27 points over its last five games. That bodes well against a Rams team that ranks 27th in pass efficiency defense and 29th in explosive pass rate allowed.

The Jets are playing out the string in a lost season, but their performance has ticked up of late, including with back-to-back 400-yard games from the offense. The Rams defense showed up in bad weather last week but remains 29th in points allowed per drive, and I expect the Jets offense to put up a big number. The Rams franchise hasn't covered in sub-30 temperature since the 70s, and I wouldn't make them more than three-point favorites in this spot.

The LA Rams are overrated, ranking 21st in net yards per play, while the Jets are ranked 7th. The Rams have a net yards per play of -0.53 in road games, while the Jets are +0.76 at home. The Jets' secondary is healthy, with D.J. Reed a full participant at practice. The Jets are significantly better in key defensive metrics for passing and running. The Rams are a dome team playing outdoors in freezing weather. Last season, Matthew Stafford had a record of 1-1 straight up and 0-2 against the spread in two games played when the temperatures were below 40 degrees. His win was a 1-point victory in East Rutherford against the Giants as 4-point chalk. Aaron Rodgers has consistently excelled in freezing conditions.

I’m playing Rams at -3 on Tuesday before this line inevitably moves to -3.5/-4.5. The Jets are coming off a comeback victory over Mac Jones & the Jaguars… color me unimpressed. The Rams have to be licking their chops after watching the Seahawks lose and sustain an injury to their starting QB. The NFC West is now theirs for the taking. Rams WR Puka Nacua and RB Kyren Williams should overwhelm this disappointing Jets defense. DE Jared Verse and this explosive Rams D-line should have Aaron Rodger’s under pressure all game long. Bet Rams asap!

You may recall that I was on the Jets TT over last week, which came in nicely thanks to a rally in the 4th quarter. While the Rodgers/Davante connection has been clicking, a lot of that was the Jags pass defense simply being bad. I expect the Jets offense to sputter throughout this game, but more importantly, I expect the Jets defense to continue to get exposed by Sean McVay's Rams. The Jets defense hasn't been good for quite some time and the injuries continue to mount. Not a good setup against a hungry Rams team.

These teams are coming off very different road wins, with the Rams outlasting the 49ers in a field-goal fest 12-6 while the Jets beat the Jaguars 32-25. The latter is more indicative of the matchup I expect here after the Rams dealt with bad weather for much of last Thursday's game. The Jets offense is playing its best football right now, while their defense suffered several key injuries in the secondary Sunday. That should help set up a shootout between these two teams where both get to 20 points and at least one likely reaches 30.

The Jets lucky to beat Mac Jones and the lowly Jags. Sean McVay is 24-10-1 ATS in December ; 12-6 on the road, covering14 of 16 in Dec. Covered against a stud Ravens team in the rain in Baltimore this time last year and this game is huge for Rams and I expect them to be ready to play. Jets 0-4 vs the NFC losing every game by at least 5 points. Rams speedy pass rush will be a big problem for broken Aaron Rodgers. Jets 2-4 ATS at home. Rams on extra rest will give them a boost and their OL play been much better in recent weeks. Jets have allowed at least 25 points in 5 straight games and 7 of 8.