The Chiefs have used Xavier Worthy in creative ways this season and given him 20 rushing carries in the regular season and three rushing carries in the postseason. Worthy had 16 rushing yards on two carries against the Bills in the Conference Championship. I expect the Chiefs to get creative against this tough Eagles defense. This is a low line for this speedster to clear on Sunday.

Saquon Barkley is Offensive Player of the Year after an insanely great season for the Eagles. I believe Barkley (on his birthday) will be a difference-maker for the Eagles in Super Bowl 59 and I want to find multiple angles to bet his props. I think the Eagles will find creative ways to get the ball in Barkley's hands, so I like betting he will clear his receiving line. Barkley cleared this line 37% of the time this season. But he cleared this line mostly in competitive games. We know Barkley is explosive, so he can do this on just a few receptions.

Jalen Hurts already has four postseason rushing touchdowns, and I believe he'll add at least one more in Super Bowl 59. We know how often and how successful the Eagles' "Tush Push" has been with Hurts. In addition to Hurts' four rushing touchdowns, he has 14 regular season rushing touchdowns in 15 games started this season. I like this price for Hurts' Anytime Touchdown and I'll sprinkle on Hurts 2+ Anytime Touchdowns as well.

Patrick Mahomes takes off and runs more in the postseason when everything is on the line. Through 19 postseason games in his career, Mahomes averages 28.3 rushing yards per game. Sunday should be a competitive game against the Bills and I like Mahomes to take off and put the team on his back if needed. Unless we get major negative yards kneel downs, I like Mahomes to clear this number Sunday.

While the Bills have been more run-heavy this season, I believe they'll put the ball in Josh Allen's hands when it matters most. Allen has historically played the Chiefs well, as he's thrown for seven touchdown passes in three playoff matchups against the Chiefs. Allen threw for two or more touchdown passes in 11 games this season. I like getting plus odds and this price for something Allen has done two of three times against the Chiefs in the playoffs.

After a mediocre regular season, Travis Kelce exploded last week in the Divisional Round for 117 receiving yards and a touchdown Saturday against the Texans. This was similar to last season, after an average regular season, he broke out for 355 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Since Patrick Mahomes has been his quarterback, Kelce has 19 postseason touchdowns in 19 postseason games. I like getting plus odds for Kelce to add to his postseason touchdown total on Sunday.

Jayden Daniels has thrown for two or more touchdown passes in the last seven full games played. In week 18 he only played the first half. He threw for five touchdown passes against this Eagles defense in week 16. While touchdowns may be hard to come by against this stout Eagles' defense, I believe they'll come in the passing game. So I like getting plus odds for Daniels to throw for two or more touchdown passes.

Saquon Barkley has been the most explosive running back in the NFL all season. He has the most touchdown runs in the NFL from outside the red zone (nine). Barkley has the most 50+ yard touchdown runs (six). He has cleared this longest rush number nine times this season. More importantly, against the weak Commanders' run defense, he has long runs of 39 and 68 yards. I love targeting Barkley's longest rush in Sunday's Conference Championship.

Over five seasons and seven playoff appearances thus far, Lamar Jackson has averaged 86 rushing yards per game in the NFL Playoffs. Jackson ran for 54 yards on just six carries in the matchup earlier this season against the Bills. With everything on the line, I expect Jackson to rush more than six time times on Sunday. I like his over this rushing prop and have bet the alt of 60+ rushing yards for plus odds.

While Derrick Henry isn't known for getting much receiving work, it should only take one catch in space for Henry to clear his receiving line on Sunday. The Bills' defense gives up the most receiving yards to running backs by a wide margin. I like the Justice Hill receiving line too, but I want to take advantage of this low-hanging fruit. Henry had at least one catch in 13 of the 17 regular season games. He had 10 receiving yards and a receiving touchdown when he faced the Bills earlier this season. The goal should be to get the ball in Henry's hands in any way possible and I love betting the over on this low line.

When everything is on the line, we know Josh Allen isn't afraid to run and put his team on his back. Last year in the playoffs, Allen rushed for three touchdowns in two games. He racked up another 12 rushing touchdowns this season to make it 65 career rushing touchdowns through seven seasons. It is always hard to pinpoint who will score for the Bills outside of James Cook and Josh Allen. So I'm going to take the plus odds for Allen to find the end zone Sunday.

David Montgomery is off the injury report and back for the Detroit Lions. While we may have to speculate how much of a workload Montgomery will have in his first game back, we can also take advantage of lower-than-normal lines. Montgomery was much more involved in this passing game this season. Before he was injured late in the season, he had seven games in a row with 20 or more receiving yards. Montgomery can exceed this line in just one or two catches.

We know Jared Goff has had an amazing season heading into the postseason. What I particularly love about Goff's matchup Saturday night is his statistics against man coverage. The Washington defense plays man coverage at the 5th highest rate in the NFL. Goff has completed 72.2% of his passes for 9.4 yards/attempt this season against man coverage. Goff has gone over this line in over half the games this season. I expect the Lions to be aggressive as usual and I like Goff to soar past this number.

One of my favorite bets this season has been Sam Darnold to throw for multiple touchdown scores. That bet was cashed 12 times this season. And Darnold threw for three or more touchdowns six times this season. I like Darnold to bounce back Monday night after a brutal regular-season finale. He threw two touchdowns against the Rams in their first meeting. I like Darnold to throw for multiple touchdown passes again Monday night and I'll sprinkle on his three touchdown passes at plus money as well.

Rookie Jalen McMillian has been a key factor in the Buccaneers making the postseason. In the last five weeks, he has caught 316 receiving yards on 19.4% of the team's targets. He has gone over this receiving line in four of the last five games. Washington plays a lot of man coverage, and McMillian is targeted on 28.6% of his routes against man coverage these last five games. I like McMillian to go over this line again on Sunday.