Puka Nacua has fully recovered from his early season injuries. In consecutive games he has sixteen catches with 98 and 123 yards receiving. On the other side Cooper Kupp has also had his best three game stretch of the season. That’s going to test a Philadelphia secondary that had issues last season against the Rams. Kupp himself had eight catches for 118 yards in last year’s matchup. Look for Nacua to feast as Matthew Stafford continues to pepper Nacua with high targets.

I was hoping this would get to 50, but at this point I need to move it or lose it. Both of these young, fast, impactful defenses are poised to shine here. Both have shutdown the run since the first month of the season and both front 7 can menace these QBs. Jalen Hurts holding the ball a little too long and Matt Stafford been hit a lot behind a shaky OL. SNF is 37-18 to under last 55 G and 8-3 under this season. Hurts is 21-12 to under on road. Eagles allowing under 14 PPG since Week 6.

This is a long way to go for the Eagles – across the country against a talented Rams offense facing do-or-die games the rest of the way. Los Angeles has all its weapons healthy for Matthew Stafford -- though he has historically struggled as a primetime underdog – but inconsistent defense has been a concern all season. Philadelphia has the NFL’s second-ranked pass defense and top-ranked total defense. Conversely, its top-ranked rushing offense goes against a middle-of-the-pack LA unit. Jalen Hurts is nicely completing 69% of his passes this season, and Saquon Barkley has been other-worldly in their one-two ground attack. Getting under a field goal here is great value for Philly; I would take -3 (-105) if the reduced number is not available.

Two potent offenses will square off on Sunday night, which has most bettors headed to wager the Over. However, I think defense will be on display tonight. The Rams defense ranks 9th in pressure rate, and Jalen Hurts ranks 25th in yards per attempt under pressure, as opposed 2nd when protected in a clean pocket. Philly will also be without WR Devonta Smith, allowing the Rams to place full attention on A.J Brown. This Eagles defense has turned into an elite unit over the last 6 weeks. If they can contain Cooper Kupp & Puka Nacua, I don’t see the Rams contributing their share to the total. Sunday Night Football Unders are 8-3 this season, let’s play another one.

24 is a key number in terms of betting 1H total, so the line sitting just below it almost turned me away, but I’m willing to play this at plus money. I think we could see a bit of a stalemate early on. Vic Fangio has this Eagles secondary sporting the best passing defense in the NFL since their Week 6 bye. If they can limit LA’s star receiver duo of Cooper Kupp & Puka Nacua, the Rams may start slow. In fact, the Rams are 27th in the NFL in first half scoring (8.3 PPG). The Eagles will be without WR Devonta Smith, and the Rams play much better defense at home. Philly is 8-2 to the 1H Under.

Saquon Barkley has 104 receiving yards over the past three games, and I like him to clear this low number Sunday night. The Rams have a top-notch pass rush, so Jalen Hurts -- already down Devonta Smith -- will be looking for some quick outlets. In addition, the Rams have been vulnerable to receivers out of the backfield lately.

A lot of talk about the Eagles defense playing great this season, but the Rams defense has also been a nice surprise. I think we could see some long sustained drives, particularly from the Eagles, and I don't expect quite as many splash plays coming from the Eagles without DeVonta Smith.

I like Hurts to score here. The Eagles have been scoring and Hurts is automatic if they get to the one.

The Eagles have won six in a row and covered four of their last five games. The Rams have salvaged their season somewhat winning four of their last five to make them 5-5 on the year. The Eagles have the No. 5 offense in the NFL aided by the No. 1 rushing game at 181 yards per game. Eagles also have the NFL's top defense allowing 273 yards per game. They're great against the run and great against the pass. The Rams are going to have to play a perfect game to beat the Eagles. Jalen Hurts has 12 touchdown passes, 5 interceptions, and 11 touchdowns running. Eagles only have to win by 3 which they've done in their last six games. Eagles to cover.

As potent as the offense is, the Eagles have ridden the defense to their six-game outright win streak. Two opponents were held to single digits in scoring, three others to the teens. The numbers do not quite show it, but the Rams' D has improved the past several weeks. L.A.'s offense has struggled in the red zone, so threes instead of sevens against Philly's stingy defense inside the 20-yard line enhances the chances for an Under.

In a battle between two explosive offenses, expect both teams to have some big time splash plays. What it will come down to will be which QB can you trust to play above the Xs and Os in a clutch situation; and that answer to me is Jalen Hurts.

What the Eagles defense has done since the bye is pretty remarkable, holding four of six opponents under 250 yards and the other two not much over. While this Rams offense is better than many of the offenses they've faced, it was also exposed a bit by the Dolphins two weeks ago, with Matthew Stafford under siege on third downs in particular. I could see this going a similar way, while a Eagles offense without DeVonta Smith focuses on running the ball against an ascending pass rush for the Rams. These teams have each trended Under in their last six games, yet this total is as high as any they've seen in that stretch. That puts the value on the Under.

DeVonta Smith didn't practice all week and seems unlikely for Sunday. On the 62 snaps Goedert's played without Smith on the field this year, he's averaged a ridiculous 38.7% target per route run rate. And we've already seen Goedert get 62 and 90 yards in two road games without Smith on the field. Even go back to last year and Goedert saw a still-solid 18.2% target per route run rate in snaps without Smith. He's obviously a great play if Smith is out, but even if Smith plays, Goedert should be in line to do well, especially against a Rams defense that's let up at least 45 yards to a tight end in six games this year including one in each of its past two.

The last 10 times Stafford faced Vic Fangio lead defenses - this was all with Detroit - he threw 10 picks. He tossed two or more picks in 4 of the last 6 times he faced a Fangio D (Fangio lead the Bears D during Stafford's time with the Lions). Stafford has thrown a pick in 6 of his last 7 games this season.

Have to keep playing this. Hurts has done this in three straight road games. He's done it in 3 of the last 5 games overall. It's how they set a tone and fire up their sideline and their defense and the Rams don't exactly have the heaviest defensive line in the NFL. In a big primetime game I see the Eagles dancing with what got them here.

Every week I look where this opens and shake my head. He is a generational TD scorer, The Brotherly Shove is as alive as ever, they love doing it and Saquon finally hit paydirt multiple times last week, but usually its the QB gobbling those up (Barkley scored from distance). He's scored in 5 in a row and this offense leans into that. Against a very tough and fast Rams defense the keepers will be critical.

The Eagles are on a roll. Like the old dude at the YMCA who can’t miss. No matter what you do it’s all coming up Kirkland brand sneakers. Well why fight it? This is a nice price for a team that has won 6 straight and in the last 5 is avg over 30ppg. Meanwhile the Rams are a tepid shower: Sorta getting the job done but I’m not excited about it.

The Eagles are 7-0 and averaging nearly 30 points whenever A.J. Brown suits up. If the Jaguars had not scored on a fluky fumble-return TD, Philly would have an eight-game streak of allowing 18 or fewer points. Opposing QBs have a 78.9 passer rating (fourth-worst) this season and are averaging 173.2 passing yards (second-fewest) despite negative game scripts. Philly dominated the Rams in last year's visit to SoFi Stadium, holding the ball for nearly 38 minutes. This one will be more competitive, but I love Philly, playing on extra rest, laying a field goal or less.