This price is brutal, but I believe this is a fairly safe bet. With Tee Higgins back in the mix, Burrow looked like a completely different quarterback. I expect a big day from the former LSU star on Sunday.

Joe Burrow showed signs of life in Week 3, and the Bengals' offense is a different beast with Tee Higgins in the mix. I'm chalking up the Panthers' Week 3 win as a fluke, and I fully expect a strong showing from Cincinnati here.

This looms as a dangerous ATS spot for a winless Bengals club that has shown a dangerously fragile defense going up against a rejuvenated Panthers offense. Even so, it's fair ML price for Cincy to salvage a win in what has already become a near-disastrous season.

The Bengals’ overall numbers are solid even if they are not showing up in Ws on scoreboards. This feels like a massive overreaction to last week’s results, and the spread would likely be a full touchdown or higher if not for the Panthers’ shocking breakout effort against the Raiders. Andy Dalton is clearly much better for Carolina’s offense, and yes, Cincinnati’s secondary has struggled. The question is whether Joe Burrow & Co. can be stopped by this defense, and while he received some criticism this week, it was misplaced. This is way down from the lookahead line, and ultimately, the Panthers just don’t have the horses to keep up with the Bengals.

I'm going back to this one after hitting it last week. Chase Brown isn't seeing nearly as many snaps as Zack Moss, but he's the far more efficient runner and when he's on the field he's getting touches. Brown is projected to get 7 carries against a bad Carolina rush defense and that should be enough to get him to 30+ rushing yards.

Each team is 2-1 to the over this season. Carolina found some success offensively with Andy Dalton behind center, scoring 36 points last week in their first win of the season. Their defense has still struggled, allowing 31.7 points on the year while the Bengals defense has also not been up to par, allowing 26.7 points on the year. Even though the public is heavily on the over, points are to be expected this afternoon.

With Tee Higgins back, Joe Burrow should dissect a Carolina defense that's produced seven QB pressures all season. The Panthers won't have nose tackle Shy Tuttle, and fellow defensive lineman A'Shawn Robinson is questionable. They're also missing one, and possibly two starting offensive linemen. Cincy's season is on the line, and I like the Bengals to put up around 30 points and cover.

Typically I target Unders when betting totals, but this one felt too low to not take a stab at the Over. The Panthers defense has been atrocious, and the Bengals has not been much better. Despite losing last week, the Bengals finally got their offense kickstarted against Washington, putting up over 400 total yards of offense. The Panthers have the league's worst red zone defense, so I expect to see a few different Bengals players score touchdowns. On the Panthers side of the ball, veteran QB Andy Dalton proved to be an immediate upgrade over Bryce Young. Dalton can efficiently run coach Dave Canales's offense. I see this score going into the 50's in a back-and-forth affair.

Given the expanded playoff field, no game in September can be labeled as must-win. This is as close to must-win as it gets for the Bengals, who are 0-3 straight-up with a date against Baltimore next week. Carolina's defense is lousy and S Jordan Fuller is a scratch, so QB Joe Burrow should find the end zone regularly. Andy Dalton excelled last week in place of Bryce Young, but he won't have ailing WR Adam Thielen. Cincy has a bank of knowledge on the former longtime Bengals QB and can bring Dalton back to earth.

They want you on this under so bad. Moss has maxed out at 12 carries per game so far this season, but this figures to be a matchup where the Bengals might be able to win without Burrow having to throw 35 times. This is a back-against-the-wall game for the Bengals, and while Carolina's run defense looked great last week, but it was against the Raiders, I am still not a believer that the Panthers have resolved their run game issues after one week. But I am a believer that Moss remains the Bengals' lead back, and if they're playing with a lead in the second half then he's going to get fed.

Chase Brown has gotten more carries each week, going from three to four to seven last Monday. And he continues to produce explosive runs. Brown is averaging 7.4 yards per carry. This is a great matchup against an injured, depleted Carolina defensive front. The Panthers give up 4.7 yards per carry. With Cincinnati potentially playing from ahead, look for Brown to get at least seven carries and fly Over this number.

Andy Dalton has actually made this Carolina offense look competent, including Hubbard, who surprisingly has been quite efficient this season regardless. He has averaged 5.2 yards per carry and has caught nine of his ten targets over the last two weeks. In what could be another high scoring game, Hubbard should handle 15+ touches (his average) but his 169 total yards from last week seems like an outlier. I could see him rushing for 70 and catching three passes for 25 yards to clear this number easily.

Cincy showed they can start fast and can score. And I believe in JChase and JBurrow in the 2 min (late in half)

Andy Dalton provided a massive boost to Carolina last week and now gets to face his longtime team, which has had issues on defense that includes stopping the Commanders zero times on Monday. The Panthers defense has been terrible as well, and the Bengals should be more in sync with Tee Higgins playing his second game, and I don't know how the Panthers plan to cover these elite receivers or generate pressure on Joe Burrow. This one gets Over 50 and I'd look to play alt totals as well.