Josh Jacobs should get the bulk of the work against a Bears defense that will be primarily focused on shutting down the deep throw from Jordan Love. Whether it be a broken tackle, a draw play or some other way, he will get plenty of chances to go over here.

The Bears' points total over the past three weeks -- 27 -- is not the most glaring stat. How about no touchdowns in their last 23 possessions? A change in offensive coordinator might help eventually but likely not this soon. Here's another number: 10-0. That's Packers coach Matt LaFleur's straight-up record against Chicago, driven by an average points allowance of 12.7. There is risk in yielding more than a field goal to a team with a respectable defense, but Green Bay should be okay if it can score in the mid 20s. The Pack have done so in seven of nine games.

The Bears offense has hit rock bottom, and while it will be getting some reinforcements back along the offensive line, making a midseason coordinator change for an underperforming rookie QB like Caleb Williams will not have the same affect it would on a veteran. The Packers had won four straight -- all against better teams than this -- before losing to the Lions while banged up going into their bye. They are healthier coming out on both sides of the ball – obviously more rested, too – and need to pile up wins with the 49ers and Rams among teams pushing for those wild card playoff spots. Snag this under a full TD before it hits -6 or higher before kickoff.

Everyone believes Chicago is in disarray and they very well may be. But the just fired their offensive coordinator and Thomas Brown will take over the play calling. The Packers have won five straight at Soldier Field, but Chicago has lost three straight, and a new OC may be the spark they need. The public is heavily on the Packers, for good reason, but Chicago has one of the best red zone defenses and can’t afford another loss if they want to remain in the hunt for playoffs.

Winds are expected in Chicago during this game, so I expect the Packers to feature a heavy dose of Josh Jacobs. Green Bay is well-rested coming out of their bye week, and should be prepared to attack this Bears defense on the ground. Chicago’s defense ranks 6th best against the pass… but 3rd worst against the rush (30th in Rush DVOA). Jacobs has surpassed this Rush yards total in 4 of out his last 5 games.

Tucker Kraft has only had one monster game in his last four outings, but this is a tremendous matchup. The Bears have been shredded by opposing tight ends the past four games, allowing 357 yards in all. With Jordan Love fully healthy following the bye, I bet Kraft to go Over on receiving yards.

The Chicago Bears have sustained three straight losses, and now will face a Packers team that has owned them. Additionally, the Packers are coming in with extra time to prepare off their bye week. Still, the Packers have had weaknesses offensively in the division this year with two of their three losses. On the first over adjustment on a Bears spread all season, take the value with the home underdog.

The Bears are getting their starting offensive tackles back, but I still like the rested Packers to win by margin. Green Bay has won and covered 10 straight in the series. New Chicago playcaller Thomas Brown did not impress in Carolina last season. Jordan Love practiced fully and, being healthy off the bye, should cut down on the mistakes that have plagued him this season.

Jayden Reed has some drastic splits. In games the Packers have lost, Reed averages 130 receiving yards, compared to Packers victories where Reed has been held under this line in 5/6 GB wins, while averaging just 38 receiving yards per game. Considering the Packers are 5.5 point favorites against the Bears, I think he may get minimal opportunities. Also the Bears have a very strong pass defense, ranking 1st in EPA allowed per dropback, in addition to sporting the 7th best defensive success rate. The Bears have become a run funnel and I anticipate GB to lean heavily on Josh Jacobs.

This week is going to tell us a lot about this Bears team. Given everything that's happened this week and with the way the season has gone thus far, there is a very real chance that players will be making business decisions. Nonetheless, I love this spot for Green Bay coming off a bye week. Jordan Love should be rested and as healthy as he's been in several weeks. I have the Packers projected to score 27+ here.

The Bears will play a ton of two deep worried about Jordan Love chucking the long ball. Matt Eberflus D gives up a lot of long runs - only 6 teams have allowed more 15-yard rushes than CHI. They have allowed one in 7 of their 9 games. Jacobs has a run of 27+ in 3 straight games and a run of 15+ in 5 of 9. He should get plenty of volume here with Love still working back from injuries. Bears D is wilting in recent weeks, if not quitting on their unpopular head coach.

The Bears shook things up, firing Shane Waldron and handing offensive play-calling duties to Thomas Brown. What's more troubling to me, though, are the rumblings of divide within Chicago's locker room. There were reportedly multiple veterans who would have rather seen rookie Caleb Williams benched before Waldron getting fired. That doesn't bode well when matching up with a well-coached Green Bay team that is coming off a bye. The Bears are a flat out disaster right now, and I expect the Packers to cover for the sixth straight time at Soldier Field.

Jordan Love has thrown at least one pick in every game, and while the Bears make me sick offensively, and good freaking riddance OC Shane Waldron, they are still playing well for the most part on the other side of the ball. That's probably the only reason HC Matt Eberflus hasn't been fired yet as he oversees the defense. Don't think I've ever rooted for the Bears to lose to the Packers before, but that's where we are. May as well get a last-place schedule and as high a draft pick as possible to start over under a new regime. Although with my luck the Bears will hire Matt Patricia as the new HC. Apparently it has to be a Matt and I'm unavailable.

Are the Bears quitting on their coach? Either way they stink and Caleb Williams is struggling and breakouts vs the terrible JAX and CAR secondaries look hollow now. One offensive TD in 3 weeks. GB will be ready coming off a bye, Jordan Love might finally be himself, and their D is legit and feasts on turnovers. Packers have covered 5 straight in Chicago, winning every game by at least seven, and have won 12 of the last 13 there (winning 10 by 7+ points). They are 11-2 ATS at Soldier Field since 2011. Bears OL starting to look like the joke they were early in the season. Matt LaFleur is 19-13 ATS vs the NFC North and has covered five straight road division games.