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Mon, Oct 2112:20 am UTCAcrisure Stadium
61 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New York
Jets
NYJ
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-10
ATS5-9
O/U8-6-0
FINAL SCORE
15
-
37
Pittsburgh
Steelers
PIT
Last 5 ATS
W/L10-5
ATS10-5
O/U8-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
4-10
Win /Loss
10-5
5-9
Spread
10-5
8-6-0
Over / Under
8-7-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
NT
Avatar
CB
Avatar
G
Key Injuries
Avatar
QB
Avatar
DT
Avatar
CB
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYJ @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
NYJ @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
NYJ @ PIT
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

59%
PUBLIC
41%
MONEY
56%
PUBLIC
44%
MONEY
Over67%
PUBLIC
Under33%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadPittsburgh +3 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+2094
66-41-4 in Last 111 NFL Picks
+1994
65-41-4 in Last 110 NFL ATS Picks
+1281
37-22-1 in Last 60 PIT ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

The prevailing sentiment is that the Jets are better with Davante Adams, and Mike Tomlin is crazy moving to Russell Wilson leading the Steelers. Both may be true. Also true is that WR was not a problem in New York, and Tomlin didn’t flip a coin; he had six games to watch Justin Fields struggle despite the 4-2 record. Wilson should move the Steelers more smoothly, even if he’s shaking off rust and under duress. Aaron Rodgers, who will similarly be under constant pressure, has 3 TD and 4 INT in three losses against the best defenses. Pittsburgh also has a special teams edge … yet the line has shifted FOUR points with Pittsburgh a full FG ‘dog at home in primetime? Risk worth taking.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 11:38 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerJustin Fields Anytime Touchdown Scorer +370
LOSS
Unit1.0
+423
11-7 in Last 18 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Russell Wilson is a small guy who doesn't want to activate his legs anymore. Justin Fields was a drive-finisher for Mike Tomlin and running the ball is the way to beat Jets D. Goal to go, we should see Fields. Had 2 rushing TDs in 2 of the last 3 games. Wilson is gonna be rusty and been out a long time. I'm playing this hunch.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 11:36 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadPittsburgh +3 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+100
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
+95
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+195
3-1 in Last 4 NYJ ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I don't love the Steelers overthinking their QB situation, but I do believe Justin Fields will play some option football for them and maybe even finish a drive or two on the ground. Jets have to play real winning football not just make fantasy football-type transactions. Running the ball more makes more sense than passing, but with Davante Adams in prime time, the QB will show off. Mike Tomlin is 17-6-3 ATS as a home dog (11-4-1 since 2018), Steelers +38 PD was top 2 in AFC through 6 weeks, Steelers 7-2 ATS last 9 in prime time, where Jets falter. Give me the field goal. Steelers have the better kicker, too.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 11:33 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadN.Y. Jets -2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+923.5
26-15-4 in Last 45 NFL Picks
+823.5
25-15-4 in Last 44 NFL ATS Picks
+198
2-1 in Last 3 PIT ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

This pick comes down to one thing for me: Russell Wilson. Pittsburgh is starting its third-string center and Wilson doesn't move nearly as well as he used to. Davante Adams should add another dimension to the Jets' offense, and I like the Gang Green to go into Pittsburgh and win by a field goal.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 10:33 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Made Field GoalsChris Boswell Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+566.5
34-26 in Last 60 NFL Player Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

Boswell has been outstanding in 2024, and I expect the Steelers' red zone issues to continue on Sunday night. Getting this pick at this price is quietly a great value.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 10:30 pm UTC on BetMGM
1st Quarter Total Points1st Quarter Under 7.5 -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Game Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

I've never been more disinterested in a Russell Wilson vs. Aaron Rodgers primetime matchup. Both of these teams are paced by upper-echelon defenses, and their offenses have been wildly inconsistent. Wilson is making his first appearance of the season and I expect some rust.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 10:29 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJaylen Warren Over 11.5 Total Receiving Yards -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+847
100-76 in Last 176 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jaylen Warren wasn't on the injury report this week, and he's the better receiving back in Pittsburgh. He could conceivably clear this prop total in one catch. Warren also should benefit from Russell Wilson starting, as Wilson has become a conservative, checkdown king late in his career.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 9:37 pm UTC on Sugar House
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsAllen Lazard Over 27.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1603.5
51-34 in Last 85 NFL Player Props Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

The Jets new-look offense under Todd Downing had success, and I expect them to build on that in this game. Most bettors will be targeting Jets new addition WR Davante Adams, or perhaps Garrett Wilson. For that reason, Aaron Rodgers’ longtime reliable target Allen Lazard has a low receiving yards total of just 27.5. Lazard has gone over this total in 5/6 games, and has been a regular target for Rodgers while this offense has worked through its early struggles. I expect Lazard to get enough target share to clear this total, even with Davante Adams in the mix.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 8:49 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineN.Y. Jets -125
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1531.5
85-60 in Last 145 NFL Picks
+337.5
8-5 in Last 13 NFL ML Picks
Erik's Analysis:

I don’t think Russ cooks here. I will play the Jets to start turning around their season

Pick Made: Oct 20, 6:58 pm UTC on Sugar House
Money LineN.Y. Jets -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+899
44-31 in Last 75 NFL Picks
+138
4-2 in Last 6 NFL ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Jets have lost their last three games to three pretty good defenses. But their defense has maintained the No. 2 status in the NFL, allowing only 273 yards per game. They're also No. 2 against the pass. This game moved three points from Pittsburgh being favored based on Russell Wilson starting. Who knows how good he'll be, but we’ll see Justin Fields at some point. This is a good spot for the Jets to win.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 6:51 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineN.Y. Jets -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1372
50-32-2 in Last 84 NFL Picks
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL ML Picks
+75
2-1 in Last 3 NYJ ML Picks
Sia's Analysis:

The Jets are by no means a complete team, but with Davante Adams active, it'll be tough for the Steelers defense to cover everyone. The rapport between Rodgers and Adams should be there and he has his regular reinforcements with Wilson, Hall and Lazard. The unknown of Russell Wilson is intriguing in this game, but Russ hasn't cooked in a few years now, and I'm not sure this is the matchup for him to suddenly find success. Look for both of these teams to regress to the mean and that means a win for the Jets.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 4:34 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadPittsburgh +2 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+819
29-19-2 in Last 50 NFL Picks
+319
24-19-2 in Last 45 NFL ATS Picks
+671
10-3 in Last 13 PIT ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It appears as if there's a good chance that Russell Wilson makes his debut in the starting lineup for the Steelers on Sunday night. If not, Justin Fields is at the ready after winning four of six starts. No matter, the QB, the Steelers seem to be able to do more things to win games than the Jets, especially as Mike Tomlin's defense constantly rises to the occasion. The Jets showed some spark in their first game post-Robert Saleh on Monday vs. the Bills, but in the end interim Jeff Ulbrich was no better able to extract a win. Sunday marks the Davante Adams Jets debut, reuniting with old connection Rodgers, but he could have picked an easier defense to debut against!. Play Steelers

Pick Made: Oct 20, 6:20 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total ReceptionsGarrett Wilson Over 4.5 Total Receptions -116
WIN
Unit1.0
+847
100-76 in Last 176 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Davante Adams hasn't played in nearly a month. Yes he will be a big factor for the Jets eventually, particularly in the red zone, but in his debut I expect Garrett Wilson to maintain alpha status. Wilson has caught 21 passes the past two weeks and has cleared this prop total in five of six games this season. The Jets are facing a Steelers defense that gives up just 3.6 yards per carry. Look for Wilson to make at least five catches.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 5:13 am UTC on Sugar House
Money LineN.Y. Jets -116
LOSS
Unit2.0
+178
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
+88
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ML Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

If you can shake off the PTSD from losing on Jets +2.5 last week in painful fashion, they are worth a bet this week. The Steelers have overachieved. Despite finding success with QB Justin Fields, they will switch to Russell Wilson. As the classic football proverb states, "If you have two quarterbacks, you have no quarterbacks." I don't understand the decision, nor do I think it will prove useful. The Steelers should look to go run heavy, but Fields offered QB rushing upside that an older Wilson no longer does. Add offensive line injuries into that mix, and I think Pittsburgh's offense struggles here. The Jets addition of star WR Davante Adams should give their new-look offense another boost. Jets fly in this one.

Pick Made: Oct 20, 4:44 am UTC on Sugar House
Point SpreadN.Y. Jets -1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+414
9-5-1 in Last 15 PIT ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The Jets didn't need to add Davante Adams, but he is a big playmaker who should make longtime running mate Aaron Rodgers more comfortable. The Steelers will likely regret their puzzling change to Russell Wilson at quarterback. The veteran will make more plays in the passing game but will be a statue for opposing defensive units, including that of the Jets.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 10:23 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerDavante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer +165
LOSS
Unit0.5
+426.5
41-26 in Last 67 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I believe Aaron Rodgers is the most overrated NFL player this century. Truly. What has he done? Won as many NFC title games as Rex Grossman. And yet he gets this star-starved franchise to just capitulate to him. He is Uncle Rico but on a bigger scale. I hope the Steelers, who are the opposite of the Jets in terms of stability, just trash the Gang Green. But I also believe Rodgers' arrogance will at least mean an end zone toss or two to Davante.

Pick Made: Oct 19, 12:54 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadN.Y. Jets -1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+754
37-26-1 in Last 64 NFL ATS Picks
+1828
55-33-1 in Last 89 PIT ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

There are big offensive changes of note on both sides, with Davante Adams and Russell Wilson set to feature. The closest Pittsburgh has come to facing an offensive with multiple receiver threats was giving up 195 yards to Michael Pittman and Josh Downs. If Alex Highsmith can return, maybe Pittsburgh generates enough pass rush to disturb Aaron Rodgers and keep this one close. I'm more pessimistic about the change on the other side, as Russell Wilson gives Pittsburgh a less-mobile QB behind a third-string center who should negatively affect the run game. He hasn't shown he's enough of an upgrade as a passer for that tradeoff, so I agree with the market in backing the Jets in a must-win spot.

Pick Made: Oct 16, 3:16 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

New York Jets
Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Avatar
CB
Michael Carter II
BackOut
Wednesday, Dec 18, 2024
Avatar
G
Alijah Vera-Tucker
AnkleQuestionable
Monday, Dec 16, 2024
Avatar
NT
Quinnen Williams
HamstringQuestionable
Sunday, Dec 15, 2024
Avatar
RB
Braelon Allen
BackQuestionable
Pittsburgh Steelers
Saturday, Dec 21, 2024
Avatar
QB
Justin Fields
AbdomenInactive
Avatar
DT
Larry Ogunjobi
GroinInactive
Avatar
CB
Donte Jackson
BackInactive
Avatar
DB
DeShon Elliott
HamstringInactive
Avatar
WR
George Pickens
HamstringInactive
Avatar
CB
Joey Porter Jr.
KneeQuestionable
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