I expect a high scoring game and Goff will be up for it with ample weapons in the short, intermediate and deep game.

I think Prescott is throwing 40 times, and there will be ample chances to pick up chunk yards against this defense along the way. Lions pass rush isn't deep enough and Dak will have more than enough time to operate downfield to hit this,

This line has appropriately come down from a high of Dallas -6, which was too rich given Detroit’s offensive ability. The Cowboys are reeling a bit having lost consecutive road games, but we have all seen how much better they play at home -- even against talented offenses. The Lions do not have enough defensively to stop Dak Prescott across four quarters, while Dan Quinn should have the Cowboys D ready to feast. Detroit has not done well against top-tier quarterbacks this season, and if Dallas can slow the visitors’ run game, it should be able to pull away in the second half.

Should be plenty of carries to go around in this game for both backs. Gibbs in space and Montgomery between the tackles. Lions OL is healthy and they have a chance to out-physical an opponent here, which is vert on brand for Dan Campbell. Between short yardage and normal run of play I project over 15 carries for Montgomery here with the Lions leaning to the run game. Montgomery is over this in four of the last five games, and against this pass rush, on the road, sometimes less is more from a playcalling standpoint. I think Ben Johnson gets explosion out of volume and multiplicity in the run game. Big plays from Gibbs and a steady workload for Montgomery against a smallish front

This is a great spot for tight end Jake Ferguson; the Lions have been torched by tight ends in two of the past three games. Ferguson's role is secure. He's drawn eight targets in four straight games, with books expecting him to catch five passes Saturday night. Detroit gives up the fifth-most explosive pass plays and Ferguson is primed to take advantage.

Dallas is a good team, but hardly great. They punch down but this is a fair fight and the Lions can beat them up in the trenches running the ball and stopping the run. Dallas defense needs a lead to t-off but I don't see it here. Cowboys due for a let-up at home and got all they could handle from a suspect Seahawks team. Dallas better get much better tackle play than last week but I'm not sure they will. They will wilt if they have to play from behind.

If it's a home game, we'll go for the Cowboys. Seven games this season at JerryJjones AT&T Stadium, and seven wins, all by six points or more (often many more), and scoring better than 39 ppg in the process. Yes the schedule has worked out well but it might again tonight with the Lions a week removed from sewing up their first division title in 30 years (albeit still with a chance at the NFC top seed if the Niners slip up between now and next week). Still, the difference has been so stark in the Dallas performances at home vs. the road that we stick with a trend that has worked six of seven times this season. Play Cowboys

Gibbs has been over this number in five straight and has had 60+ rush yards in four straight. In his past five Gibbs is averaging 6.4 yards per carry with an explosive run (12+ yards) on 17.9% of his runs. Both of those marks rank top-3 at his position. In three games without D-lineman Jonathan Hankins, Dallas has allowed 5.1 yards per carry and a 10-plus-yard rush rate of 13.8%, both bottom-four. Hankins has been ruled out. I am aggressive on this one and would play this up to 54.5 without a sweat.

I love this spot for Lamb, who leads the NFL with 109 receptions and ranks second in receiving yards with 1,424. Detroit has been susceptible against the pass, and I expect Lamb to have a monster game. I'm going over here.

Dallas' success at AT&T Stadium is no secret. The Cowboys need a win to keep pace in the NFC East, and the Lions are coming off an ugly win. I expect this game to be a bit of a shootout with Dallas coming out on top by a touchdown.

This total opened at 53.5, with oddsmakers and the betting public expecting lots of scoring in this matchup. Detroit's defense has been porous, and both the Lions and the Cowboys thrive in indoor stadium environments. However, with the large majority of the bets and the money coming in on the Over, the total has dropped to 52.5 and is now at 52 on most books. I cannot ignore the reverse line movement in this primetime standalone game. I will fade the public and take the Under.

Cowboys safety Donovan Wilson has recorded 20 tackles the past two weeks. Last week he played 98 percent of the snaps -- a dramatic increase from earlier this season. Wilson plays over 60 percent of his snaps near the line of scrimmage, giving him more opportunities to rack up tackles. The Lions run the ball at the 10th-highest rate. I bet Wilson to make at least seven combined tackles at even money.

Even before I saw that our SportsLine AI PickBot had this as a 5-star play, I thought Saturday's game might be a semi-smash spot for Ferguson. He's received exactly eight targets in each of the last four games so the volume is there. In what should be an absolute shootout (I say Dallas 34-26), Ferguson should exploit the suspect Lions' secondary as Cole Kmet (5-66) and T.J. Hockenson (4-58) did in the last two weeks. A game of 60+ yards seems well within reach assuming the volume stays the same.

Since Week 7, Dallas has the NFL’s best overall scoring offense and Detroit is tied for the second-worst scoring defense. The Cowboys have scored at least 30 in every home game this year. The total of 53.5 in this game is the NFL's highest this season.

This is a massive number for two teams very much involved in the NFC postseason. The Lions are still alive for the No. 1 seed and while a win here would put them in decent position to secure the bye, it's not likely the 49ers lose out and gift them the top spot. The Cowboys are licking their wounds after losing at Miami and continuing to lose on the road (just three road wins and none are impressive), while the Lions are coming off a massive road win against Minnesota that helped them clinch the division for the first time since 1993. Dallas has been absolutely dominant at home, no matter the opponent.

The Cowboys are coming off a disappointing result in Miami but Dak Prescott played well and their defense held strong in the red zone, with an early red zone fumble proving to be the difference. The Lions were gifted several turnovers by Nick Mullens that they can't expect against one of the league's best QBs, and their 9.3 yards per pass allowed last week doesn't portend well for this matchup. The Lions are in a letdown spot after clinching the division last week, and I think the opening line of Cowboys -6 was fair before you factor that in, so I'm going to play Dallas now that it's 4.5 at FanDuel.

The Cowboys are just 16th inside the redzone, due in large part to their rushing struggles. Getting the tough yards has been very tough and we're too deep in the season to expect them to fix it now. They will challenge this secondary from all over, and I see plenty of RZ passing versus a team that's allowed 24 passing TDs. Dak is over this in four of his last five home games. If this is the shoutout I envision, he will need to be throwing them to 6 and not settling for 3.

In case you haven't noticed, Dallas can't run the ball. And the Lions are great stopping the ground game, anyway. Even with all of their blowouts and home games that were essentially over by halftime, Dak averages 36 passes/ home game. I expect this to be close and high-scoring and for Dak to chuck it 40+ times. The Lions secondary has struggled against far lesser passing attacks than this. This offense has been shutdown two straight weeks on the road and will come out trying to throw to an early lead. Their winning scripts require it; tight and close ain't their jam.

The Lions will lean on both backs against a poor run defense and expose Dan Quinn's defense again. He lacks the linebackers and thumpers at the second level to handle this run game, and ifs loathe to load the box. Lions can feature Gibbs the way the Bills did James Cook in screen game and outside runs. Gibbs is over this in three straight games and 100 scrimmage yards is hardly out of the question here even with David Montgomery sure to get his touches, too. Gibbs's explosion is a difference maker, and with the Lions OL healthy it's clear how to best attack this defense.

Gibbs has 10 TDs in his last 9 games and has two TDs in two straight games and has more of a role in the redzone now than he did early in the season. Gibbs is tied for second on the team in redzone targets over the last four weeks. Rookie has a nose for paydirt

Lamb might be the best slot receiver in the NFL, I expect a lot of passing and scoring in this game, and the Lions have issues defending here. Lamb averages 104 yards/G at home and has 4 straight games with 10 or more targets. Dak is going to look his way plenty and the Lions issues at cornerback will be most acute in this match-up. I see a lot of YAC potential here, too.

After a hiccup late in the season, the Lions have regrouped in their last two weeks to look similar to the offensive juggernaut they’ve shown throughout the season. The Lions are 11-4 and NFC North Champions, but they still have work to do. They’ve covered the number in 10 of 15 games and they’ve gone Over the total in 10 of 15 games. Indoors, Lions and Over has been money home or away. The Cowboys score 39 ppg at home. The Over is the top play with the Cowboys fighting hard offensively riding a two-game losing streak.

Wouldn't be surprised in the least if each of these teams scores 30. The Cowboys D is over-valued by all the time they get to spend pass rushing and not having to worry about stopping the run in blowouts. But that won't be the case here and Detroit will the ball on them on ground and win in play action.. Lions have 30+ in 5 of 7 and Goff cooks indoors. Dallas has scored 30+ every game at home. Both teams built for speed/turf and perfect conditions. 4 of the last 5 Dallas homes games are 55+ game total. Lions games in domes since their bye: 54, 59, 61, 51, 57, 79 (LAC, sort of a dome).

The Cowboys are undefeated at home where they average 39.9 points. They're facing a Lions defense that's given up 24-plus points in six of the last seven games. In last season's meeting in Detroit, Dallas sacked Jared Goff five times and forced him into four turnovers -- two INTs and two fumbles. This is a spot that favors Dallas. The Cowboys are fuming after consecutive road losses and facing a Lions team that just celebrated clinching its first-ever NFC North crown.

They won't run and hide. This will be more like the Seahawks game, if anything. Longer the Lions keep this close - and force Dallas to play even or from behind - the more an upset looms. Cowboys can't run the ball and got lucky with Mostert getting hurst last week but this 2-back attack will create issues. Dan Quinn tries those light fronts again here he'll get gouged for 250 yards on the ground. Cowboys are reeling and their D is not that special, particularly when Micah has to play the run. Cowboys are 28th in pts/drive allowed in last 4 weeks and 29th in yards/play and have a history of wilting down the stretch. Lions OL can push them around.