This actually doesn't have a ton to do with the Raiders but largely fading the mega-disappointing Chargers. It simply feels like Quittin' Time for that team after Sunday's gut-punch home loss that ended their season for all intents and purposes and definitely ended Justin Herbert's year. Brandon Staley is Dead Coach Walking. Now the Bolts have to go on the road in a quick turnaround without Herbert, Keenan Allen and a few defensive starters? The Raiders at least seem motivated to get interim coach Antonio Pierce the full-time job and their defense is healthy with Maxx Crosby cleared. Half unit.

Slot receiver Hunter Renfrow has the best matchup among the Raiders' wideouts, and his role has increased lately. He's drawn 14 targets the past three games, clearing this yardage total easily in each.

This game perplexes me; I’m trying to find the best ways to play Ekeler without being conflicting. I liked his receptions at 3.5 but that’s gone; I like his carries at 12.5. But I’ve settled on rec yards. The young QB should dump off to Ekeler and I don’t have to worry about carries being poached.

Chargers backup QB Easton Stick had a great deal of success in college using his legs. At North Dakota State, Stick rushed for 41 TD's, with 17 of those coming in his Senior year. In 13 NFL preseason games, Stick has rushed for 5 touchdowns. The Chargers are missing starting LT Jake Bailey, and when the pressure comes I expect Stick to run on instinct. When the Chargers have the ball in the red zone, this bet will be live. I like Stick's over 19.5 rushing yards, and at +400 or better, I feel the Anytime TD is worth a .25 unit sprinkle as well

The Chargers are 1-4 SU/ATS their last five games and now must deal without starting QB Justin Herbert. Easton Stick has very little experience, and it doesn't help this start is on the road. The Raiders are on a three-game losing streak but 3-1-1 ATS their last five. I'll take Aiden O'Connell over Easton Stick. Go Raiders Go!

Yes, the Raiders just got shutout, but against this Los Angeles Chargers defense, there's reason for optimism. The Chargers are allowing the fifth-most yards per pass attempt, the fifth-most explosive passing plays per game and the fifth-most touchdowns per game to WRs. That adds up to some TDs with these pass-catchers, and this value on Jakobi Meyers is worth a sprinkle, he's around +350 on FD. Meyers leads the team with 6 TDs and his red zone usage isn't that much lower than Davante Adams. Grab Meyers tonight.

Whereas previously punchless sides like the Patriots and Jets and Giants displayed some bite last week, these low-scorers continued to be stuck in neutral. Now, the prospects of an Easton Stick vs. Aidan O'Connell QB matchup lowers the expectation bar even further, plus the fact Josh Jacobs is either going to miss or be compromised by his quad injury on the Vegas side. "Under" has been the way to look in this series (three straight, four of five), and definitely the way to look this season for both, with the Bolts on a 9-1-1 "under" run and Raiders 10-3 "under" this term. These teams combined for seven points last week, and getting past 34 looks quite a task. Play Chargers-Raiders "Under"

These North Dakota State QBs usually can run, and Stick had 82 yards on 11 carries in the preseason.

The math isn't adding up on these Raiders props...someone has to hit an over. Between Adams, Meyers, Renfrow, and Mayer, the receiving yards add up to around 158. O'Connell's passing yard line is 204. Adams and Jacobs are both questionable which should lead to more passing targets. Meyers is averaging 26 yards in his last four games and 29 in last seven games since becoming a 'starter'.

The Chargers' pass defense is better, but the bar was in the basement. They still allow the fourth most receiving yards in the league, and at this point, how much motivation are they really playing with? The over is 4-2 in games Aidan O’Connell had at least 25 pass attempts. With Josh Jacobs on the wrong side of questionable right now, this ball will have to see some air. Even the Raiders' backup RBs are more receiving threats than between the tackle threats. Our model makes the number 235.

This line is catching steam. In grand scheme, Quentin Johnston is having an objectively bad season compared to other rookie wide receivers. But he has been showing positive signs the past seven weeks, averaging 38 yards and 3.1 receptions. I like looking at the receivers that were in the doghouse with the backup quarter back. No Keenan Allen and a questionable Donald Parham should help his target share. The Sportsline Model projects him for 41 yards.

I mentioned last week on the Sunday kickoff show that Brandon Staley has lost this locker room and I think that reveals itself on Thursday Night Football. Easton Stick looked solid in relief of Justin Herbert last week, but with Keenan Allen out, I don't think he has enough weapons around him to make the offense a threat. I expect some of the questionable tags to play for the Raiders and I expect the Raiders to continue to win and cover against bad teams (like they have under Antonio Pierce so far this year).

Honestly, I've lost a lot of interest in the NFL this year because as Tom Brady said, the quarterback play is atrocious. I shall not be tuning in much to see Easton Stick face Aidan O'Connell, I promise you that. Fairly certain this is the biggest (only?) Easton vs. Aidan matchup in modern American history, unless there was a Sex and the City character named Easton whom Carrie also was interested in that I can't remember. I was Team Aidan (hey, watching that show only helped with the fairer sex and it frankly was good). Really sounds like an Ivy League fencing matchup. How can we not go Under?

FCS legend Easton Stick is making his first start and he won't have Keenan Allen. He should rely heavily on Austin Ekeler, like he did last week when he entered following Justin Herbert's fractured finger. Ekeler finished the loss to Denver with five catches on seven targets for 49 yards. This number has risen but I think there's still room to go Over.

When Easton Stick learned he would start in lieu of the injured Justin Herbert, his first thought might have been, "Glad I got Keenan Allen to throw to." Wednesday, Stick learned something else -- no Allen. The go-to WR was scratched with a heel injury that he has weathered all season. The Raiders are reeling from a shutout, following two outings in which they scored a combined 29 points. Elite pass-rusher Maxx Crosby, listed as questionable, is determined to play hurt. Who could blame him? The thought of bearing down on a QB who had taken two NFL snaps before Sunday and without his primary target must be motivating.

Not only will the Chargers be without Justin Herbert, they won't have No. 1 wideout Keenan Allen. It seems like an impossible situation for backup QB Easton Stick, but this spread is still out of whack. The Raiders ruled out starting center Andre James (ankle) and standout left tackle Kolton Miller (shoulder) while Davante Adams (illness), Josh Jacobs (quad) and Maxx Crosby (knee) are questionable. In the three games Miller has missed, Vegas mustered a total of 29 points. Stick went 49-3 at North Dakota State and can extend drives by scrambling. He still has good weapons in Josh Palmer, Austin Ekeler, Gerald Everett and Quentin Johnston.

Easton Stick will be making his first career start and will be without Keenan Allen who is 1st in the NFL in receptions. Stick took over for Justin Herbert last week and peppered Ekeler with targets who ultimately finished with a 35% target share of Stick's attempts after Herbert went down. Young/inexperienced QBs tend to lean heavily on RBs and TEs in order to get easy completions which is what I expect tonight. Look for Ekeler to make a big contribution as a receiver.

Easton Stick will be making his first career start and will be without Keenan Allen who is 1st in the NFL in receptions. Stick took over for Justin Herbert last week and peppered Ekeler with targets who ultimately finished with a 35% target share of Stick's attempts after Herbert went down. Young/inexperienced QBs tend to lean heavily on RBs and TEs in order to get easy completions which is what I expect tonight. Look for Ekeler to make a big contribution as a receiver.

Austin Ekeler is a shell of what he used to be. That's not gonna change this late in a lost season. But with Justin Herbert now out for the season and Easton Stick taking over on the fly on the road on a short week, how do they not hand it off to this guy at least 15 times? He's over this number in 6 of 9 games and while he's been stuck on 10 lately, Chargers ran 37 times in the 1st meeting with LV and Ekeler was out then. Raiders are just 23rd against the run, and I could see upwards of 40 total rushes here again, with at least 13 for their highest-paid RB.

Easton Stick taking over an offense that wasn't going anywhere with Justin Herbert at the helm. Teams that can't score TDs. And two kickers who can be pretty good from distance. On a night where there isn't much to bank on, I'll lean into this. Over a span of the last five weeks, Dicker made at least 2 FGs every other game and he didn't try any last week .. so, I'll bite. He's also made at least 2 FG in 4 of 6 road games. First team to six might win this one. I figure both coaches, fighting to keep their jobs, lean into that prospect.

The best play in this game is the Under. Everything we need to handicap is right in front of our eyes, beginning with the Raiders anemic offense that hasn’t scored over 17-points in their last four games. Then we have the Chargers without Justin Herbert for the remainder of the season. Meet Easton Stick who left North Dakota State in 2018 after posting a 49-3 record as starter. He’s the backup in control this week for an offense having trouble scoring to begin with. The Chargers haven’t scored more than 10-points in their last three games. Both the Raiders and Chargers are each 3-10 to the Under. Under is the top play.

This line moved seven points off the lookahead with Justin Herbert sidelined, and while it feels like that might not be enough, Easton Stick did move the ball better than Herbert after being forced into the game. He also didn't do anything with his legs, but that should be a key part of the gameplan now that he's the starter. The Chargers defense was solid against Denver and now gets a Raiders offense that couldn't score at home last week and might be without Josh Jacobs. The Raiders defense played well last week but can give up 17 points to anyone, and with the Chargers defense solid on third down and in red zone, they'll win or lose a close one.

We keep riding Raiders unders at home. Two terrible offenses and the Chargers likely without Justin Herbert on a short week with barely any prep time. Aiden O’Connell’s warts keep riding to the fore. Raiders did not run the ball enough last week but fear not, they’ll atone for it here. Raiders are 10-3 to the under and the Chargers mustered all of 36 points in the three full games before Herbert got hurt Sun. This line was 42.5 on Saturday, so Herbert’s injury has already cost us a touchdown and two-point conversion ... and dropping. These teams combined for one TD last week while both playing at home. Raiders defense is very solid at home. This should be another prime time, under, snoozefest.