DraftKings. Sterling Shepard is under this line in 7/11 games since he started playing significant snaps. His individual matchup against Jourdan Lewis is much tougher than Mike Evans on the outside, and Cade Otton at tight end. I also expect this is be a huge running back game for TB.

There’s a tax on Mike Evans receiving yards and likely will be for the final three games. In his career he has always eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards, and has his work cut out for him due to missing time with his hamstring injury. Currently, Baker Mayfield is flinging the football all over the field with over ten yards a completion the last two games. Expect Mike Evans to continue to feast as he gets closer to 1,000 yards receiving.

The Buccaneers have won four in a row to take them to 8-6 and they've covered nine of those games. They've also gone over nine times, the same as the Cowboys. The Cowboys have gone 1-6 at home this year. But the Cowboys have won three of their last four and four of their last five have gone over. Where the game's going to be won is with the Buccaneers' third-rated offense, which averages 388 yards per game, against the 26th-rated defense of the Cowboys, which allows 356 yards per game. Buccaneers get the win.

Bucky Irving (back) is good to go for Sunday Night Football. He has been efficient and explosive and will face a Dallas team that ranks dead last in rushing efficiency defense. While this number has risen, I still like Irving to do what he has done lately -- fly over this prop number.

The Buccaneers should shut down the run game and roll through the Cowboys after Dallas got the chance to flex against Carolina last week. This is a value play for Tampa Bay, which has won four straight and covered five of the last six, including three wins and covers on the road. Don't see how the Cowboys stop the Bucs from rolling up and down the field behind Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans and Bucky Irving.

I bet on Mike Evans to go over his receiving yards total, and I like him to find the end zone as well. Evans and Mayfield are in rhythm right now. They connected for 2 TD’s last game against the Chargers, and will now face a Cowboys secondary that has been bad this year, and will finish the year without their CB1 Trevon Diggs. I like Mike Evans to stay hot.

Despite missing a few games this season, Bucs WR1 Mike Evans is 250 yards shy of the 1000 yard mark; a milestone he has surpassed in all ten seasons of his NFL career. Baker Mayfield mentioned at a recent press conference that he is keenly aware of Evans’ stats and incentives. Expect Mayfield to continue feeding his favorite target. Evans has 100+ receiving yards in 2 of his last 3 games, and saw a huge target share in those games (9 Rec/11 Targets & 8 Rec/12 Targets). Mayfield and Evans can easily exploit this weak Cowboys secondary.

It's now four wins on the spin for the Bucs, too, after thrashing the Chargers last Sunday at SoFi Stadium. That's now eight times in the past eleven games that the Bucs have scored at least 30 points, and five of the last six wins have been decided by double-digit margins. Baker Mayfield is also now up to 32 TD passes after firing seven the past two games (four of those last week on the road vs. the Bolts). Dallas remains in the playoff race by its fingernails but could be eliminated before kickoff if Washington tops Philadelphia. Credit the Cowboys for competing hard with Cooper Rush at QB but things often seem to go wrong for Dallas at home (1-6 this season). Play Bucs

The Bucs are playing a fourth road game in five weeks, but I'm still going to back them to get the job done here in a tough spot following a West Coast trip. Their offense has topped 400 yards in four straight games, and good offenses have had no issues moving the ball against the Cowboys all season. The Bucs run defense has stepped up in that same stretch, so this game could fall on Cooper Rush to stay close in a shootout, which seems unlikely. I have this line closer to Bucs -6.

This impressive rookie has had at least four catches in each of his past two games and at least 59 yards in each. He's won on short routes, intermediate routes, in-breaking routes, out-breaking routes, you name it. The Cowboys pass defense is bottom-10 in defensive EPA on the season and bottom-five in yards after catch per reception against wideouts. And in their past five games they've allowed a total of 884 receiving yards, fourth-most in football, just to wide receivers. That's happened because teams continually throw on them. I expect this to be a competitive game with lots of passing. If they miss a tackle on this guy, he could pick up 38 yards in a blink.

During the team's current four game winning streak, Baker Mayfield is averaging 278 passing yards, which by itself is well over this combo line. In addition, Mayfield is averaging 19 rushing yards per game this season and has five games over 25 yards rushing. Starting QBs are averaging 33 rush yards + 236 pass yards vs. the Cowboys this season. I think Mayfield has the potential to top-300 total yards in what could be a shootout on Sunday night.

You'd be shocked how many people whole wholeheartedly believe that there are trap lines amongst the vast landscape of player props. I'm here to tell you that they do not exist, there are simply wildly inefficient lines as a result of the oddsmakers having to account for a seemingly never ending surface area. These are the spots you should be taking advantage of. Bucky Irving has been one of the leagues best RBs this season and ranks as the RB2 in elusive rating. Take out the Raiders game where he got hurt and over his Irving's last four games he is averaging 16.25 attempts/107.5 rushing yards/6.6 YPC. Up next is a Dallas defense ranked 32nd in EPA allowed per rush. This is not a trap.

We keep jumping this most weeks, especially against this sorry defense. Baker has 15 TD passes in 7 road games. And 14 TDs in his last 6 road games. He's gone over this in 4 of the last 6 road games. Mike Evans is playing out of his mind right now and the Dallas secondary keeps taking hits. I expect a lot of points in this game and Baker is chasing the TD crown.

Dallas has won three of four, including a fluky home loss to Cincinnati. But the Cowboys' defense is going to struggle to contain a Buccaneers' attack that's averaging 31 points over the past four games, all wins. In that span, Tampa Bay is giving up 15 points per game. Specifically, Tampa is getting great play from offensive tackles Tristan Wirfs and Luke Goedeke; they allowed Khalil Mack, Joey Bosa, Tuli Tuipulotu and Bud Dupree to register a total of one pressure. Look for Baker Mayfield to get great protection again as the Bucs cover.

These teams are 18-10 to the over, and when you factor in home/road splits 10-4 to the over (5-2 home/5-2 road). DAL is 7-3 to the over outside the NFCE allowing 27+ points in 7 of those games. TB is 6-3 to over vs the NFC, going over by 7.33 PPG on average. Bucs road games averaging 53.9 PPG, 3rd most in NFL. Cooper Rush been more good than awful for Cowboys, who finally have a balanced offense. Five of 7 TB road games are 49+.