Prop's Picks (5 Live)
DraftKings. I’m going to stay on Maxime Raynaud today - the rookie had the best game of his young career (29 points and 11 rebounds) on Thursday in this same matchup against the Trail Blazers. Sacramento will continue to be without Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and Drew Eubanks, which opens up a ton of opportunities for the Stanford product. Coming off a game with a 27% usage rate and 16 paint touches, Raynaud should feature prominently again tonight.
FanDuel. I’ll take a stab on Kyle Monangai again, despite him staying under his rush attempts line last week. He had cleared this line in the four games prior, and there are some positive variables working in our favor this week. Firstly, D’Andre Swift is questionable with a groin injury - even with him suiting up, I’d respect Chicago to lean on Monangai a bit more. And the Bears receiving core is decimated, with both Rome Odunze and Luther Burden out. Throw in some windy conditions, and I envision a run-heavy gameplan for Chicago.
FanDuel. Riding the Cooper Flagg train. The number one pick has cleared this line in seven of his last eight games, with the lone miss against the Thunder. He’ll now face the 76ers who allow the eighth most at-rim points, and are well below average against transition and pick and roll initiators - Flagg’s most prominent playtypes. I’d bet this to over 19.5 points.
B365/MGM. Deebo Samuel is under this long reception line in five of seven games he’s suited up alongside Terry McLaurin (with one over in heartbreaking overtime fashion, as I know all too well). He’ll have a brutal matchup against the Eagles secondary - mainly Cooper DeJean in the slot (Deebo has a 71% slot alignment rate over the last three weeks, since Terry McLaurin’s return). I’d bet this line down to under 17.5.
DraftKings. His role isn’t what it once was, but Ajay Mitchell is still hitting this line consistently. He’s over in eight of ten games when playing between 16 and 26 minutes. And this is a spot against the Timberwolves that don’t defend on the ball as well as years past.
Caesar’s. I’m continuing to buy Jaylon Tyson stock. He’s cleared this line in 8/13 games without either Evan Mobley or Jarrett Allen (the former is out today), and remains the most consistent Cavs role player since entering the rotation and starting lineup. He gets a matchup against the Bulls again (21 points and 2 rebounds on Wednesday) - I expect him to continue to produce against a team that’s below average against Tyson’s strengths.
FanDuel. Maxime Raynaud should find himself in a nice spot against the Trailblazers on Friday night. The Kings will be without Zach LaVine, Domantas Sabonis, and Drew Eubanks - the latter two leaving the team thin at center. Raynaud has shone when given the oppportunity, including clearing this line in five of his last seven games. The Blazers are below average both against points in the paint and rebounds allowed.
DraftKings. It took a few weeks for Rashid Shaheed to get up to speed in Seattle, but he’s registered 67 and 74 receiving yards the last two weeks, on twelve total targets. In those two games, he has a 23.8% first read rate (10 total targets, per FantasyPoints). It’s a fantastic matchup against the Rams defense - LA has been a funnel to outside receivers, allowing the fourth most receiving yards per game (122.3), on the ninth highest yards per route run (2.10) to pass catchers aligned out wide. Shaheed is out wide for 74% of his snaps as a Seahawk, and should be able to cash in against the soft zone coverage. I’d bet this up to over 37.5 receiving yards.
FanDuel. Tyler Kolek should find himself with a good sized workload for the Knicks tonight. Coming off his surprising performance in the NBA Cup Finals, I’m guessing the Knicks lean on their role players in the first leg of a back to back. Josh Hart, Karl-Anthony Towns and Mitchell Robinson have been declared out, along with Deuce McBride and Landry Shamet.
DraftKings. Usage play on Donte DiVencenzo - who has cleared this line in four of six games without Anthony Edwards. Without Mike Conley either, DDV will be relied on to run the offense. Good matchup against a Grizzlies defense that are a top five matchup for opposing point guards. I’d bet this up to over 20.5.