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Will Levis did not play well to open the season, and his arrow has been pointing down since a couple flashy performances last year, but the Jets defense does not appear to be the same dominant unit that ran roughshod over lesser offenses in 2023. New York is coming off a road loss on a short week, and Aaron Rodgers has neither thrown two touchdowns across his last seven starts nor 300+ yards since Dec. 12, 2021. The Titans ran the ball effectively last week with Tony Pollard and should be able to both control the clock and limit possessions. Getting the hook beyond the key number is a cherry on top.
Nothing in New York's performance last week indicated the Jets are worthy of laying this number against a Titans club that had a Week1 victory in sight before a monumental collapse. Look for this to be decided on a short key number either way.
I think the Jets are 70% to win the game, so this price (lower than other books are hanging) becomes attractive
Apparently, the Jets were not aware, but despite throwing more checkdowns than ever in 22, and having a plummeting air yards/attempt, Aaron Rodgers INT nearly tripled from the season before. His spray chart started getting predictable and he threw 9 picks in his final 10 games as a Packer and threw 1 in his Jets debut as we expected. He is facing a legit defense on the road, with a young coordinator who is not afraid to bring heat and get very multiple in the looks he throws at this 40-year-old. Jets OL is not good; if they can't run the ball again this week and there is actually increased volume in the Jets passing game, then a multi-pick game is quite possible.
I'll keep this one short and simple. The Titans have now allowed multiple successful field goals in 19 of their last 21 games dating back to the 2022 season. Zuerlein was tied for 2nd in the league last year in made FGs. Cairo Santos had three against Tennessee last week. I'll continue to play this prop against Tennessee until it loses.
This is a tough spot for the Jets, who are playing their second straight road game following a trip to the West Coast. They'll face a legit Tennessee defense that held Chicago to 2.8 yards per play, lowest in the NFL. The vaunted Jets' defense, which allowed the 49ers to score on eight straight drives, remains without Haason Reddick and is dealing with injuries to starting corners D.J. Reed and Michael Carter. Look for the Titans to run the ball well and keep it close in their home opener.
The Titans can run the ball with Bill Callahan coaching the OL/ground game. They have a legit defense led by a smart DC who implements an uber-multiple system and he had two asskicking DTs anchoring it all. TEN and Will Levis are better at home than road. Levis scares me here - not gonna lie - but Jets run D has been an underbelly for years and TEN can win a TOP game. Jets D on field for 41 mins on Mon night. Short week for their 40-year old QB who wants to check it down. TEN allowed 2.8 yard/play Week 1. Not too shabby. Jets coaching staff is fugazi; Robert Saleh is 9-16-1 ATS on road; NYJ 3-17 in Sept the last 7 years
I think Breece Hall is one of the most dynamic players in the NFL and possesses truly elite attributes. That being said, this is a very difficult matchup and the Jets offensive line is a work in progress. With a healthy Jeffrey Simmons anchoring the Titans front 7, we may be looking at one of the elite rush defenses. Tennessee held Chicago RBs to 14 carries for 44 yards in Week 1.
The Jets offense struggled mightily against the 49ers until the game got out of hand, amassing only 100 net yards until the final three drives. The presumption is that this is an easier matchup, but the Titans defense looks much better after offseason additions and just held Chicago to 148 net yards of offense on the road and 2.8 yards per play. I can see this unit keeping Aaron Rodgers in check and letting the offensive line get enough push in the run game to keep this game close throughout. I'd make this line Jets -2.
We saw what happened last weekend vs the Bears when they turned up the heat on Will Levis. Now, I do expect him to not have as many boneheaded turnovers, but look for that Jets defense to be much better vs the run and getting off the field. Offensively speaking, a 2nd game for Aaron Rodgers will be more than enough for him to shake off the rust.
Plenty of people were crowing about all the Bears offensive talent - it amounted to 148 total yards for them and 2.8 y/play(!!) at home vs a revamped TEN D. TEN DC Dennard Wilson is legit. Bill Callahan has TEN run game cranking and Jets overrated D struggles vs run for years. Aaron Rodgers doesnt want to push ball downfield; ton of runs and checkdowns. Will Levis stinks and will miss a ton of passes. NYJ 15-10 to under on road under Robert Saleh with an NFL-low game total of 39.27. Short week to another road game will be tough on Jets 40-year old chuck-and-ducker. I may go TEN ML here after more study
Over the past few years, teams in their immediate game after playing the 49ers -- as the Jets are doing tonight -- have a terrible ATS record. The presumption being that the Niners beat teams up physically. Plus, obviously a short week for New York and there's always the injury possibility on Monday night. The Titans played great defense on Sunday in Chicago but turned the ball over too much in the 24-17 loss (thank you). Young Titans QB Will Levis had much better home splits in 2023 than on the road as he struggled some against the Bears.