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Mon, Jun 1012:00 am UTCTD Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L63-41
ATS59-43
O/U45-56-1
FINAL SCORE
98
-
105
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L80-21
ATS53-44
O/U50-49-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
63-41
Win /Loss
80-21
59-43
Spread
53-44
45-56-1
Over / Under
50-49-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DAL @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DAL @ BOS
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
DAL @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

53%
PUBLIC
47%
MONEY
11%
PUBLIC
89%
MONEY
Over88%
PUBLIC
Under12%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadBoston -6.5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+388
5-1 in Last 6 NBA ATS Picks
+864
14-5 in Last 19 BOS ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The ever-popular "zig-zag" theory will be implemented by many bettors in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. It has some practical contextual value, considering both of Boston's playoff losses have come in Game 2s on its home floor and Dallas has won a pair of playoff Game 2s on the road after losing the opener. But with Luka Doncic didn't get much help in Game 1, and now he's playing through multiple ailments. Moreover, the Celtics cruised to a Game 1 blowout despite modest production from stars Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum. Expect Dallas to sick around a little longer but Boston to notch another double-figure win.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 11:10 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadDallas +7 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+378
16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0-1 in Last 4 BOS ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

With the Celtics guarding Luka and Kyrie straight up without helping, those two guys know they need to put their foot down in creating their own offense. I trust them to at least keep this game close, if not win and tie the series up.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 10:50 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsKyrie Irving Over 2.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -101
LOSS
Unit1.0
Brad's Analysis:

Kyrie Irving scored 12 points in Game 1 and with Luka hurting in Game 2, he knows he needs to put up a big number tonight. The Celtics are guarding the Mavericks straight up so without passing lanes opening up these guys are going to have to individually create. I think Kyrie gets it going from 3 tonight.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 10:48 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDallas +230
LOSS
Unit1.0
+500
6-1-1 in Last 8 NBA Picks
+347
7-3 in Last 10 NBA ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Boston has lost twice at home this postseason. Both of those losses have come in game two. The Mavericks dropped game one in the first round and semifinal series then came back to win both game twos on the road. Dallas is 3-0 SU and ATS in game two on the road. Worth a shot.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 10:25 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadDallas +7 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+500
6-1-1 in Last 8 NBA Picks
+200
2-0-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
+390
5-1-2 in Last 8 DAL ATS Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Boston dominated game one. The Mavericks shot 7-27 from beyond arc and could be in the running for some positive progression tonight. Dallas came out very flat and simply couldn’t match the intensity of the Celtics. They’ve been one of the best defensive teams this postseason and have shown they can make the adjustments. Dallas is an NBA-best 34-17 ATS as the road team this season.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 10:25 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsJayson Tatum Over 41.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -133
LOSS
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

If Tatum has any alpha male “Big (blank) energy” he will respond. Jason Kidd said unapologetically that “Jaylen is the Celtics best player”. Hey Tatum, what are you gonna do about it? Knowing this team Tatum will fill the stat sheet. I don’t think we will get a blowout…so I’m going over

Pick Made: Jun 09, 9:54 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsJrue Holiday Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -119
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

Jrue Holiday was terrific in Game 1, especially on the defensive end. While he scored a modest 12 points, he also chipped in eight rebounds and five assists. With that performance, he has finished with at least 11 combined rebounds and assists in seven of his last eight games. He posted 13 combined rebounds and assists the first time these two teams met during the regular season. He only played 27 minutes the second time because of the lopsided score, but still finished with nine combined. With the expectation that he plays at least 35 minutes against Sunday, the over is the way to go.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 12:23 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDallas +7 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+160
7-5-1 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
+500
38-30-5 in Last 73 BOS ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The Mavericks were down by 17 points after the first quarter of Game 1. They whittled the lead down to eight points at one time in the game, but ultimately fell by 18 points. They shot 41.7% from the field, 25.9% from three and 63.2% at the charity stripe. The Celtics are a very good defensive team, but I don’t expect the Mavericks to be that inefficient again. Look for them to make enough adjustments for Game 2 to help them cover the spread.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 12:14 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDallas +7 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+228
12-9-1 in Last 22 BOS ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's the last chance of this NBA postseason to invoke the venerable "Game 2 Zig-Zag" after the Mavs were popped by the Celtics in Thursday's Game One. NBA history is replete with teams recovering on the road in Game 2, including Dallas in its first two series (vs. the Clippers and Thunder) when it also absorbed heavy losses in Game 1 just like Thursday at TD Garden. That wasn't the same Dallas that romped past the T-wolves in the previous round; certainly not Kyrie Irving, who missed all five of his triples, and Luka Doncic's 30 points were very quiet (only 1 assist and eight missed triples). Boston's only two losses in the playoffs also came in previous Game 2s. Play Mavs

Pick Made: Jun 09, 9:29 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Over / UnderOver 214.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

The Celtics have now won and covered five straight times against the Mavericks including game one of the finals 107-89. The Celtics beat the Mavs 37-20 in the first quarter and then that was the game, they lost by 18. The whole game was wrapped in one quarter, one wipe out and the stake in the heart. The Maverick shot 42% from the field, 26% from 3-point range, and 63% from the free throw line. They're not going to win games like that, especially against the Celtics. They play better in Game 2. Total Over.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 4:36 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total PointsKyrie Irving Over 22.5 Total Points -133
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

I believe the whole thing comes down to Kyrie Irving shooting poorly and looking disheveled, shooting 6 for 19 from the field and zero for five from three-point range, 12 points are all he scored. If Kyrie shoots better the Mavericks would have won game one or at least competed better and not been down by 17 points the whole game. Others follow his lead. Kyrie has had two whole days to beat down on himself and he'll be better for game two and he'll be the reason the Mavericks show better.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 4:27 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rebounds + AssistsJrue Holiday Over 10.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -132
WIN
Unit1.0
+37
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jrue Holiday had a combined 23 chances for rebounds and assists in Game 1, finishing with 13. Holiday cleared this prop total for the fifth straight time Thursday. He did so in just 35 minutes as Game 1 turned into a blowout. I'm expecting a more competitive Game 2, which could mean 40-plus minutes for Holiday.

Pick Made: Jun 09, 3:38 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineDallas +225
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Dallas survived a brutal Western Conference, they were exceptional on the road in the process, and they started every series slowly. BOS faced inferior foes, tended to cruise in Game 1 and choke in Game 2. They struggle to sustain their best play, but were excellent in hitting high notes despite a long layoff. DAL was sloppy after the respite, but expect a lethal backcourt Sun. Is Kyrie never going to beat BOS again? That 0-11 run will motivate him. Mavs won't shoot as poorly. Bet they find a way to play more above the rim as well.

Pick Made: Jun 08, 2:30 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsAl Horford Under 15.5 Total Points + Rebounds -128
WIN
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

Hartford played 30+ minutes and KP played 20 min. That will flip in game 2. Yet, the Horford number is not anticipating a drop in minutes…so let’s jump this now

Pick Made: Jun 07, 10:13 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total ReboundsDereck Lively II Over 6.5 Total Rebounds +102
WIN
Unit1.0
+40
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

We were on pace for this before Dereck Lively fouled out. He hit 5 rebounds in 18 minutes, and we should see at least 24 minutes from him Game 2. He is much more impactful as a rebounder and as a lob threat than Gafford proved to be in Game 1, and it was obvious that they ideally would have had Lively in there instead.

Pick Made: Jun 07, 3:08 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsAl Horford Under 17.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -104
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a surprisingly chunky combo line for big Al Horford who looked very good in Game 1 on his way to logging 30 minutes, while compiling 20 PRA. However Kristaps Porzingis looked excellent in 21 minutes of action off the bench for Boston. I do not expect Horford to log more minutes than Porzingis as this series progresses. I also have confidence that the combination of Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively will be more effective in Game 2. Even if Boston HC Joe Mazzulla elects to stick with Horford in the starting lineup, this number is closer to Horford's ceiling when logging 30+ mins.

Pick Made: Jun 07, 8:14 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Dallas Mavericks
Friday, Dec 27, 2024
Avatar
PG
Luka Doncic
CalfOut
Wednesday, Oct 09, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dante Exum
WristOut
Wednesday, Jan 08, 2025
Avatar
C
Daniel Gafford
AnkleQuestionable
Tuesday, Jan 07, 2025
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
BackOut
Boston Celtics
Wednesday, Jan 08, 2025
Avatar
SG
Derrick White
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Jordan Walsh
IllnessQuestionable
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