The Thunder are an excellent defensive team that has a ton of options to throw at Anthony Edwards. I expect Edwards to see a heavy dose of Luguentz Dort and Alex Caruso, who are two of the best defensive players in the league. Edwards played the Thunder four times during the regular season and scored 20, 23, 29 and 17 points in those games. He has scored 25 or fewer points in 6 of 10 playoff games already, so I don’t expect him to go off in the scoring column in this difficult matchup.

The big news heading into Game 7 is that Aaron Gordon is playing through a hamstring injury. He is one of Jokic’s best lob threats. With Gordon probably limited, that likely means that Jokic will need to score more himself if the Nuggets are going to win. Jokic hasn’t had more than eight assists in a game in this series and he had six or fewer assists in five of the games. I’ll take the under here.

Mitchell Robinson dominated the glass in Game 5, hauling in 13 rebounds. The Knicks needed him to step up with Karl-Anthony Towns battling foul trouble early. With that big performance, the over on this number comes with added juice. However, Robinson has grabbed at least seven rebounds in all five games against the Celtics. With the Celtics best rebounder in Jayson Tatum (Achilles) out, I like Robinson to grab at least seven rebounds again.

Despite Jayson Tatum (Achilles) being out, the Celtics took care of business at home and won Game 5. Now all the pressure is on the Knicks, who need to win Game 6 at home to avoid a Game 7 in Boston. The Knicks couldn’t get much going on offense in Game 5, shooting 35.8% from the field. Meanwhile, the Celtics made 22 three-pointers and shot 52.4% from the field. To top it off, Karl-Anthony Towns was limited by foul trouble and Jalen Brunson actually fouled out. With the Knicks doing a better job of staying out of foul trouble and shooting better at home, I like them to close out the Celtics with a win in Game 6.

Alex Caruso continues to be one of the key members of the Thunder’s bench. He provides instant energy and is one of the best defenders in the league. He only played 10 minutes in the Thunder’s blowout win in Game 2, but he logged at least 23 minutes in each of the other four games against the Nuggets. In three of those games, he had at least six combined rebounds and assists. He also had at least six combined rebounds and assists in all four games in the first round against the Grizzlies. At plus money, I like taking a chance on this over.

Isaiah Hartenstein had his best scoring performance of the playoffs in Game 5, putting up 15 points against the Nuggets. He also had seven rebounds, meaning that he has recorded at least 20 combined points and rebounds in all five games against the Nuggets. He has logged at least 29 minutes in four of the five games, with the only exception being when he played 22 minutes in the Thunder’s blowout win in Game 2. This should be a close game in Denver with the Nuggets trying to stave off elimination, so I like Hartenstein to hit this over again.

The Warriors have had no answers for Julius Randle. The Timberwolves only scored 88 points as a team in Game 1, but Randle still finished with 18 points. He has scored at least 24 points in each of the last three games, including scoring 31 points in Game 4. He played at least 33 minutes and attempted at least 17 shots in all three of those games. As the Timberwolves look to close out the Warriors at home, expect there to be a lot shot attempts coming Randle’s way.

Jayson Tatum (Achilles) is not just the best scoring option that the Celtics have. He is also their best rebounder. In this series against the Knicks, he averaged 11.8 rebounds. Mitchell Robinson has already been productive on the boards, posting at least seven rebounds in all four games. Expect him to receive enough opportunities off the glass to grab at least seven rebounds again.

No one is going to slow down Nikola Jokic. However, having Isaiah Hartstein to at least provide some resistance for him has been important. Hartenstein had eight points and 14 rebounds in the Thunder’s victory in Game 4. He has reached at least 20 combined points and rebounds in all four games of the series. While he only logged 22 minutes in a blowout win for the Thunder in Game 2, Hartenstein has logged at least 29 minutes in each of the other three games. With a key role in hand, I like his chances to hit this over again.

Despite the Cavaliers being blown out in Game 4, Darius Garland still scored 21 points over just 27 minutes. Donovan Mitchell (ankle) could be out for Game 5. Even if he plays, he might be limited by his injury. The Cavaliers will likely ask Garland to step up his production as the team tries to stave off elimination. Garland averaged 21.2 points and shot 43.2% from behind the arc at home this season, compared to 19.9 points and 36.7% shooting from behind the arc on the road. Don’t be surprised if he blows past 20 points in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns had a difficult matchup in the first round against a very good rebounder in Jalen Duren. The Celtics don’t have a big man who can dominate the boards like that, especially with Kristaps Porzingis playing limited minutes. The result has been Towns grabbing at least 13 rebounds in all three games of this series. In two of the games, he recorded at least 15 rebounds. As the Knicks try to grab a 3-1 series lead, look for Towns to be busy on the glass again.

With the Celtics winning Game 3 in convincing fashion, Jrue Holiday only played 25 minutes. Still, he scored eight points. In Game 1, he scored 16 points over 39 minutes. In Game 2, he scored 10 points across 34 minutes. Holiday also scored at least 10 points in all three games that he faced the Knicks during the regular season. It might help his case that this game will be played in New York. He averaged 10.6 points and shot 42.2% from the field at home this season, compared to 11.5 points and 46.0% shooting from the field on the road. I like Holiday’s chances to reach double-digit points in this crucial Game 4 for the Celtics.

Isaiah Hartenstein only shot 5-for-14 from the field in Game 2. That’s rare for him, considering he shot 58.1% from the field during the regular season. Still, he finished the game with a double-double. He has recorded at least 20 combined points and rebounds in all three games against the Nuggets. Going back even further, he has at least 20 combined in five of seven playoff games. I’ll take this over again.

Russell Westbrook only scored eight points in Game 3. That was his first full game in the playoffs in which he didn’t score at least 14 points. Michael Porter Jr. played well, which resulted in Westbrook logging just 22 minutes. This line has dropped by three points compared to Game 3. I’m not going to overact to one disappointing stat line. I like Westbrook to bounce back and hit this over.

Given that Anthony Edwards averaged 5.7 rebounds per game this season, this line might seem high. However, he has grabbed at least eight rebounds in six of seven playoffs games. That included him recording 14 rebounds in Game 1 and nine rebounds in Game 2 of this series. The Warriors play a lot of small lineups and should have a less efficient scoring attack with Stephen Curry (hamstring) out. That should leave a lot of rebounding opportunities for Edwards again.