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Brad Botkin

Book Nerd

Brad Botkin is a senior NBA writer who has been with CBS Sports since 2011, the first seven as an editor, and over that time he has refined his wagering approach down to one basic rule: Do not trust your first instinct. This most often applies to the glamorous teams and players, but Overs fall into this category, too. Casual gamblers love the big teams and Overs, and the books steal value accordingly. When Brad sees a bet that screams one way, he is always intrigued to look deeper into the opposite angle. For Brad Botkin media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

8-4 in Last 12 NBA Player Props Picks
+585
RECORD: 8-4-0
+585
8-4 in Last 12 NBA Player Props Picks

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Brad's Past Picks

Apr 05 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Denver
104
@ Golden St.
118
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+745
10-4 in Last 14 GS ATS Picks
Analysis:

It feels like the Warriors would have secured their playoff position with all the winning since Jimmy Butler arrived, but they're barely above the play-in line and every game could drop them below. This is must-win time and the Warriors are playing fantastic. It continues tonight, even on a back to back.

Pick Made: Apr 05, 12:21 am UTC on FanDuel
Mar 30 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Indiana
111
@ Oklahoma City
132
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+218
5-3 in Last 8 OKC ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Pacers have been one of the best teams in the league since the turn of the calendar. They took the Lakers to the wire and put 162 points on the Wizards in their last two. This is too many points for a team playing this well.

Pick Made: Mar 29, 10:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 22 2025, 11:00 pm UTC
League
Golden St.
115
@ Atlanta
124
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+745
10-4 in Last 14 GS ATS Picks
Analysis:

For all the talk of Jimmy Butler unlocking Stephen Curry on the offensive end, the same is true for what he's done for Draymond Green on the defensive end. Green is flying around like a top-tier DPOY candidate and the Hawks are not going to match the energy even with Curry out.

Pick Made: Mar 22, 9:58 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 16 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Washington
126
@ Denver
123
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 DEN ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Nuggets defeated the Lakers in a tight game on Friday. Usually, having to turn right back around and play the next night would spell trouble, but Denver is 11-1 on the back end of back-to-backs this season and has won those 11 games by an astounding average of 18 points.

Pick Made: Mar 15, 10:01 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 16 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Washington
126
@ Denver
123
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
Analysis:

I've also picked the Nuggets to cover 11.5 here, but I am even more confident in the under 241 due to the energy Denver expended in holding off the Lakers on Friday. Denver pulls away in the second half, but scoring will hit some dry spells throughout this one.

Pick Made: Mar 15, 10:07 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 11 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Portland
120
@ Golden St.
130
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+745
10-4 in Last 14 GS ATS Picks
Analysis:

Golden State has had to pull out a lot of tough games of late, probably tougher than they had to be against the likes of Orlando, Brooklyn and even Detroit. It's time for a cruiser even with Portland playing pretty well as the Warriors continue their winning ways.

Pick Made: Mar 10, 11:04 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 11 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Orlando
84
@ Houston
97
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 HOU ATS Picks
Analysis:

Amen Thompson is out for the Rockets and that's no small detail. Thompson's impact is massive and Orlando, which struggles to score against everyone, will be grateful for the extra breathing room. That's enough to take the Magic here against a Rockets team that has lost 11 of its last 18 games and could be hitting a bit of a wall.

Pick Made: Mar 10, 11:11 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 04 2025, 2:00 am UTC
League
Detroit
134
@ Utah
106
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Pistons are red hot and in position to make a move on a top-four playoff seed. The Jazz have a two-game "lead" on the Pelicans for one of the league's three worst records, which carries the maximum 14% chance to securing the No. 1 overall pick. In short, Utah needs to lose and Detroit needs to win, and the Jazz have actually won two of their last five. This is a night for both teams to make certain of their respective needs.

Pick Made: Mar 04, 12:01 am UTC on DraftKings
Feb 26 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Dallas
99
@ L.A. Lakers
107
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+82
2-1 in Last 3 DAL ATS Picks
Analysis:

All the hype is about Luka Doncic's first game against the Mavericks since the dumbest trade in NBA history, but I have been following the NBA a long time and more times than not things don't go according to script. Hollywood would love Luka to torch his old team in a blowout, but in reality I think the Mavericks keep it close.

Pick Made: Feb 26, 2:00 am UTC on BetMGM
Feb 25 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Charlotte
88
@ Sacramento
130
+585
8-4 in Last 12 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

LaMelo Ball has only gone over this number in two of his last eight games. You don't average almost 27 PPG by scoring 16.7 PPG over three weeks of basketball without reversing the trend, and the Kings are the perfect opponent for Ball to do so against.

Pick Made: Feb 25, 2:03 am UTC on FanDuel
Feb 22 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Golden St.
132
@ Sacramento
108
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+745
10-4 in Last 14 GS ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Warriors were a tough team even when they had to rely on tough baskets, but since Jimmy Butler arrived they have been getting easier opportunities by way of seven more free throws, six more shots in the restricted area and 10 more points off turnovers per game. Now they're not a tough team; they're a good team. And they'll start off the stretch run right with a win and cover vs. the Kings.

Pick Made: Feb 21, 11:52 pm UTC on FanDuel
Feb 22 2025, 2:30 am UTC
League
Minnesota
115
@ Houston
121
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 HOU ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Timberwolves and Rockets have played two close games this season -- a one-point Wolves win and an overtime Rockets win. It's a tight matchup, and without Julius Randle in the lineup Anthony Edwards will be able to work in better spacing. I like Minnesota to get on a hot streak down the stretch and it starts Friday night.

Pick Made: Feb 22, 12:14 am UTC on BetMGM
Feb 22 2025, 1:30 am UTC
League
New Orleans
103
@ Dallas
111
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+385
5-1 in Last 6 NO ATS Picks
Analysis:

You might not realize it but the Mavericks are quietly 4-2 over their last six games since the Luka Doncic trade and are within two last-second baskets of that being a 6-0 mark. Kyrie Irving is playing brilliantly. Dallas covers against a Pelicans team that is going to begin fully embracing the tank down the stretch.

Pick Made: Feb 22, 12:00 am UTC on Caesars
Feb 13 2025, 2:30 am UTC
League
Golden St.
107
@ Dallas
111
+230
19-15 in Last 34 NBA Picks
+85
10-8 in Last 18 NBA ATS Picks
+745
10-4 in Last 14 GS ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Mavericks are basically without a big man, and the vibes on these two teams could not be any more opposite with the arrival of Jimmy Butler in Golden State and the still-shocking departure of Luka Doncic in Dallas -- not to mention the subsequent and immediate injury to Anthony Davis. Butler is giving the Warriors a huge boost as a second scorer and high-post facilitator; his ability to get to the free-throw line has made them much harder to guard and gives them an option to buoy their offense in rough shooting patches and non-Curry minutes.

Pick Made: Feb 13, 1:28 am UTC on DraftKings
Jan 29 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
L.A. Lakers
104
@ Philadelphia
118
+585
8-4 in Last 12 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

With Paul George and Joel Embiid out, Tyrese Maxey is going to need to have a big night if the Sixers are going to have any chance to beat or even stay close with the Lakers. He is in top form, averaging 28 points per game for the month of January, and he's gone over this number in three of his last four games. I might normally bet on a streak like that to end with such a high number, but given the Lakers' struggles to defend on the perimeter, Maxey should be in for a lot of clean looks even with all the attention on him.

Pick Made: Jan 28, 10:08 pm UTC on FanDuel
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