The Saints are counting down the days to the offseason, while the Packers could contend in the NFC if some things break their way. When it comes down to this game, weather will play a factor, and I just can't see the Saints (without Alvin Kamara) scoring enough points for the over to hit here. I expect a 30-10 type of game here.

The Packers can lock up a playoff spot with a win, and the Saints have Practice Squad players starting in multiple spots. There is some danger of a push here, but at the end of the day, a push doesn't really matter. I have a hard time seeing New Orleans scoring enough to cover here. I expect the Packers to win by 17+ points.

Originally had no desire to play this. Even now, it feels like putting a great week on the line to have action on an island game. But there’s only so many of these left. It’s a struggle to see how the Saints compete Monday night. Spencer Rattler is 0-4 when playing, losing his three actual starts by an average of 21.7 points. RB1 (Alvin Kamara), WR1 (MVS) and DT1 (Nathan Shepherd) are out with Chris Olave still sidelined. It’s snowing in Green Bay. The Packers already have three home wins (five overall) by 13+ points this season – all against better teams, offenses and quarterbacks. With Minnesota next week, Green Bay needs this for playoff positioning. Snagged -13.5 (-110) if you want to wait.

Most books are at 13.5. This is the only book at 14.5. Let’s grab this.

I like Josh Jacobs to roll but if this is a blowout then Wilson should get home. I project 4.5 carries…but if that goes up then I hedge v My Jacobs position.

Tight end Tucker Kraft has been a revelation. But the Saints are decent against tight ends (12th-fewest targets allowed), Luke Musgrave is expected to return Monday, and the Packers could go extremely run-heavy in this matchup. Kraft could very well score, as he's been targeted heavily in the red zone, but I like him to stay Under 35 receiving yards.

Spencer Rattler didn't run at all in the second half against Washington last week, or in the 26-8 loss against the Chargers. But in his first two starts, he took off nine times for a combined 61 yards. The Packers' pass rush showed up in a big way last week at Seattle, registering seven sacks and 12 QB hits on Geno Smith and Sam Howell. With Green Bay likely to be leading and Rattler in comeback mode, I like the rookie to scramble a few times and clear this prop total.

This was the only bet I planned on making in this game. I waited eagerly for books to put out a Rush yards line on Emmanuel Wilson, and I believe 13.5 is far too low. As -14 favorites in a game that may see snow, the Packers should go run-heavy. Green Bay will play Minnesota next week on shortened rest, so I imagine the health of Josh Jacobs will be considered. In the 4 games that the Packers won by 14+ points this season, Wilson went for 40+ rush yards in 3 of them. Wilson is over this line in 9/14 games this year. A positive game script against a weak run defense late in the season sets Wilson up to easily clear this total.

With Saints QB Spencer Rattlers apparently preparing for this trip to Lambeau Field by spending time in the walk-in freezer at the team's training center cafeteria, there are many QBs around the league who are hoping this tactic doesn't pay dividends for the Saints. The bigger picture for New Orleans is that without Derek Carr and Alvin Kamara, this isn't the same offense, and a quick check at recent New Orleans scorelines suggests no matter who is at QB, don't expect a shootout. Saints games have landed beneath 40 points four times in the last five. Expect the Green bay defense to likely do its job and keeping Rattler and the Saints in near-complete check. Play Saints-Packers Under

To prepare for the Lambeau chill, QB Spencer Rattler supposedly spent time in the Saints' walk-in cafeteria freezer which was set at 10 degrees Fahrenheit. It might help Rattler more if RB Alvin Kamara were available (which he isn't). Besides, at normal room temperature, Rattler has only tossed a pair of TD passes in 120 attempts. The Pack is all but mathematically insured of making the playoffs but would like to at least go in as the second wild card, which would likely avoid the NFC North champ (Detroit or Minnesota) in the first round. Note that Jordan Love has tossed 4 TD passes with no picks across his last two home games (both comfy Green Bay wins over the Niners and Dolphins). Play Packers

After facing the lowly Saints, the Packers will visit Minnesota on short rest. That means it would be smart to limit Josh Jacobs to around 20-22 carries and give second-year back Emanuel Wilson some run. He's averaged 4.8 yards per carry and this is an easy matchup against the NFL's second-worst run defense.

Jordan Love hasn't hit this number in any of his last 5 games and I see no reason why this game will be any different. The game script calls for the Packers playing with a big lead which should mean leaning on the running game and taking the air out of the ball for a good portion of this game.

This is precisely Love's average but I don't expect an average game here. Major blowout potential as the Saints cannot move the ball. They will get Love off his feet early if they can with a very competent backup and New Orleans is a bottom 5 team in run D EPA and Green Bay can road grade them. If they get up big fast air will come out of ball. They will take their deep shots but this won't be about volume.

The Packers are playing their best ball of the season and Jordan Love is in great form. I don't know about covering this huge number and GB might call off the dogs in the second half. But I expect a strong early-game script for the Pack, vs a depleted opponent that will not be able to move the ball without its QB, RB and some key pass catching options. I expect a 10-point lead or more at the half. They probably cover the full game, too, but the early energy should be a boost and the weather will be a shock to the Saints system.

Saints linebacker Demario Davis, 35, calls the defensive plays and never leaves the field. He has registered double-digit tackles in three of his past five games. Monday night, he'll face a Packers team that runs the ball at the third-highest rate: 51.2 percent of the time. The Packers are two-touchdown favorites and should be able to lean on the run. The game could be played in a freezing rain, which also would suppress passing. Look for Davis to make at least 10 combined tackles and assists.

Even if Miller is the guy, when breaking down Green Bay games there doesn’t seem to be enough meat on this bone. In three of their last four Green Bay has won about as handily as they are projected to win Monday night. What I learned was that the opposing offenses run far less place than projected as Green Bay generally plays very slow. I made Miller 10.5.

Jacobs is plus money at 20.5 and laying the juice at 21.5 at all other books. I project 23 carries

I think there's a pretty darn good chance that Jordan Love only plays about three quarters on Monday because the Packers should be crushing the short-handed Saints. Love hasn't thrown a pick in four straight games and the Pack haven't been asking him to attempt a ton of passes because they have been running the ball so well. I see no reason why Monday would be any different.

It's expected to be so cold in Green Bay that Saints QBs prepared by practicing in the freezer at Lambeau Field. The absence of QB Derek Carr, RB Alvin Tamara and jack of all trades Taysom Hill cripples New Orleans' offense. The Packers can shorten the game by handing off to tireless RB Josh Jacobs (nine TDs in the last five games), build a safe lead and close it out by 11 p.m. (ET). Green Bay's defense, which yields the eighth fewest points, should keep the visitors in the mid-teens -- or a bit under the temperature.

The Saints nearly rallied for a win once Spencer Rattler got under center on Sunday, but he was just 10 for 21 as a passer and did not impress in his first stint as starter, which featured losses of 18, 23 and 24 points. All those games came indoors, and now the Saints have to play a primetime game at Lambeau Field in late December, a spot where the Packers can pound them with the rushing attack to build an early lead and lean on a defense playing well since the bye to keep Rattler from getting back in the game once again. I'd make this game Packers -15 solely on power rating so I think there's still value at this number.

The Saints are 19-6 to the under outdoors since '21; 13-2 in last 15 (just 2 of 15 games totaled more than 39 points). Saints are 6-3 to the under outside the NFC South this season. Three of the last 4 GB home games are 39 or lower. Saints offense has issues and good luck to Spencer Rattler here. I don't see GB running up the score too much. Very cold night. Run the ball and move on. GB as a home favorite the last 2 calendar years is 7-3-1 to the under and Matt LaFleur is 18-12 to the under in that spot in his career. Packers defense has tightened up through the season. Packers are an under team outside the tough NFC North.