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Wed, Dec 259:30 pm UTCNRG Stadium
Track OnCBS Sports
Baltimore
Ravens
BAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L12-5
ATS10-6
O/U13-4-0
FINAL SCORE
31
-
2
Houston
Texans
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L10-7
ATS7-10
O/U6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
12-5
Win /Loss
10-7
10-6
Spread
7-10
13-4-0
Over / Under
6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BAL @ HOU
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MONEYLINE
BAL @ HOU
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OVER / UNDER
BAL @ HOU
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61%
PUBLIC
39%
MONEY
75%
PUBLIC
25%
MONEY
Over70%
PUBLIC
Under30%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJohn Metchie III Over 25.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1498.5
68-49 in Last 117 NFL Player Props Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

Houston struggled to produce offense after Tank Dell went down with a brutal injury last week. I like Metchie to step up in his place. Metchie was sidelined briefly with a shoulder issue, but was a full participant in Monday’s practice. The Ravens are one of the league’s best run defenses, so I expect the Texans to go pass-happy. As +6.5 underdogs, Houston may be trailing in this game. Metchie will have his opportunities if the Texans are playing from behind.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 8:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsMark Andrews Over 37.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
WIN
Unit0.25
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Texans are down safeties Jimmie Ward and Jalen Pitre. That should open things up for Mark Andrews in the middle of the field. Baltimore’s wideout room is banged up so look for Andrews to record at least 40 receiving yards.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 8:40 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJoe Mixon Over 20.5 Total Receiving Yards -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Joe Mixon likely will struggle on the ground but look for the Texans to throw it to him. Ravens linebackers have been very vulnerable in coverage. I’m expecting the Texans to be playing from behind, which also should help.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 8:12 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadHouston +7 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+241
8-5 in Last 13 NFL Picks
+80
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+537
11-4 in Last 15 HOU ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

There's plenty at stake for both teams as the Ravens continue their late surge toward a division title. The Texans already have the AFC South wrapped up but need to adjust again to their limited offensive personnel following the injury to Tank Dell. The full touchdown is plenty of value for a playoff-bound and motivated home underdog.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 7:29 pm UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadBaltimore -5.5 -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+2577
84-53-4 in Last 141 NFL ATS Picks
+713
14-6 in Last 20 BAL ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Sharps have ballooned this spread, and we’re on the wrong side of the shift. Still, the Ravens are superior, particularly with Tank Dell – a true difference maker for C.J. Stroud – sidelined for the Texans. While the defensive effort has lacked for Baltimore this season, the secondary has stepped up of late. Unlike Houston, which has basically locked up the No. 4 seed, Baltimore still needs to win to clinch a playoff spot and has eyes on taking the AFC North. Also benefitting the Ravens are a more experienced coach and better running game given the short rest with a rare Wednesday game. If you are wary at -6 or you want extra action, a Christmas teaser with the Chiefs through +4 plays.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 4:50 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsDerrick Henry Over 8.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Justice Hill is out with a concussion - a significant loss for the Ravens in the 2-min, screen game and pass protection. Maybe Keaton Mitchell is active but he is coming back from major injury and they don't trust the rookie behind Henry. With 10 days off after this, I see Henry getting 40-plus reps again and 3-5 targets depending on game flow. Looked quite able in this role vs a very good Steelers D on Sat when Hill went down.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 3:47 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerDerrick Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer -160
WIN
Unit0.5
+314
48-32 in Last 80 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I will be so irked if Derrick Henry rushes 18 times for 90 yards without a TD. Why? Because I nearly played Over 17.5 carries and/or Over 89.5 rush yards. But I think this has some blowout potential with Houston really having little to play for. So I'm not 100 percent sure Henry is in there all game. Thus, let's just go this route. Honestly seems a bit cheap even though DH hasn't scored in four straight games (probably why under -200 when it sure wasn't a few weeks ago). And why let Lamar Jackson take more hits than needed near the goal line in his 3rd game in 11 days?

Pick Made: Dec 25, 3:09 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total CarriesDerrick Henry Over 17.5 Total Carries -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

In recent weeks, the Texans have lost three of their five best run defenders (linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair to suspension, and safeties Jalen Pitre and Jimmie Ward to IR). Starting defensive tackle Folorunso Fatukasi (ankle) will miss his second straight game. Even on a short week, I expect the Ravens to lean heavily on Derrick Henry. With regular backup Justice Hill out with a concussion, coach John Harbaugh might not trust Keaton Mitchell and Rasheen Ali with more than a couple carries.

Pick Made: Dec 25, 4:08 am UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total Passing YardsC.J. Stroud Under 252.5 Total Passing Yards -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Ravens' pass defense was the league's worst over the first half of the season, but it's much improved after they benched safety Marcus Williams and let Kyle Hamilton roam the back end. C.J. Stroud just lost Tank Dell, plus a couple key offensive linemen, and Houston's offense looked broken in the second half at K.C. Look for Stroud to stay Under this passing yards total for the ninth time in his last 11 games.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 8:33 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadBaltimore -5.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+1016.5
32-20-4 in Last 56 NFL ATS Picks
+140
2-1 in Last 3 BAL ATS Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

The Ravens simply have more on the line in this Christmas Day matchup. The Texans know they are likely destined for the No. 4 seed in the AFC, while the Ravens are playing to keep pace in the AFC North race. Baltimore was dominant in its recent win over the Steelers, while Houston just lost another weapon when Tank Dell went down in Week 16. The Ravens are playing much better football than the Texans right now, and I expect them to go into Houston and win by 7+ on Wednesday.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 8:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJoe Mixon Over 19.5 Total Receiving Yards -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Russell Wilson just went 16/17 for 138 yards and a TD throwing to the middle of the field vs the Ravens, one of worst teams defending passings between the hash marks in the NFL. Jaylen Warren just caught all 5 targets for 44 yards and should have seen more. Mixon might have more receiving yards than rushing yards. Texans have to lean into screen game. Roquan Smith and Malik Harrison are very vulnerable in coverage. Mixon has at least 23 receiving yards in all 5 home games this season.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 7:52 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsJoe Mixon Under 66.5 Total Rushing Yards -113
WIN
Unit1.0
+1198
34-20 in Last 54 NFL Player Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Joe Mixon has reached 100 rushing yards seven times this season, but this is an awful spot for him to have a big day. He's been under 60 yards in four of his last six games and averaged less than two yards per carry three times in that stretch. The Texans could be down both Shaq Mason and Juice Scruggs on the offensive line as well, making it more difficult to block against the league's No. 1 rushing defense. The Texans were 5-2 in those 100-yard games, but this game script figures to work against Mixon with the Texans big underdogs. I could also see him getting pulled in the second half to stay fresh for the playoffs if Houston is losing. Fade Mixon here.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 2:08 pm UTC on FanDuel
Total Home PointsHouston Under 20.5 Total Pts -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+190
3-1 in Last 4 NFL Team Props Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

This is a rematch of a divisional-round game last year where Houston had just 213 yards of offense while missing Tank Dell and scored three offensive points. Baltimore's defense isn't as imposing as last year's unit, but the Ravens haven't allowed more than 315 yards in a game since Week 10 after giving up five 400-yard games to that point. I don't see much potential for a high Houston point total here. We also have less to worry about in garbage time as if the Texans are down big I think they pack it in, keep the rest of the key starters healthy and get ready for the playoffs as the 4 seed.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 2:01 pm UTC on Caesars
Over / UnderOver 46.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+185
3-1 in Last 4 NFL O/U Picks
+73
4-3 in Last 7 BAL O/U Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Baltimore Ravens have scored 34 or more points the last two games. They're now 10-5 on the season but more importantly they're 12-3 on the season to the over. This team gets over the total because they move the ball and score as the No. 1 offense in the NFL. They average a league-best seven yards per play. They score 30 points per game which ranks third in the NFL. The Texans don't want to play that style but they're going to have to. Ravens get this game over the total. Merry Christmas to all.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 3:36 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerMark Andrews Anytime Touchdown Scorer +170
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Lamar Jackson loves throwing to Andrews more than anyone else. He's caught a TD in 4 straight games and 8 of the last 10. Andrews has 5 TDs in his last 5 road games. Ravens balanced passing attack makes it so tough to clamp down on any one target. But Andrews will always get his looks in the RZ above anyone else. Ravens all-time TD leader has caught almost all of them from Lamar.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 12:20 am UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Longest ReceptionNico Collins Under 28.5 Longest Reception -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Ravens have one deep threat to worry about; they won't let Collins beat them with Tank Dell out. CJ Stroud is terrible vs Cover-2 and Ravens excel at it and keeping everything in front of them since moving Kyle Hamilton off the line of scrimmage and pairing him with Ar'Darius Washington at safety. Since Week 11 Ravens allow 4 completions over 25 yards, tied for fewest in the NFL. Stroud will be going with short passes in the middle of the field. Heavy dose of zone looks and Marlon Humphrey having an All Pro season to shadow him. Texans TEs don't stretch field. Taking away Collins will be priority.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 12:14 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Passing TouchdownsLamar Jackson Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns -140
WIN
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The real MVP will put on another show in a single-game window. The Texans D is very good in many regards, but has allowed 28 passing TDs, tied for most in the NFL. Lamar will pick them apart short and deep and spread ball around to 8 or more pass catchers; tough to defend. Lamar has hit this in 4 straight games and 8 of 9 and 5 of the last 6 road games. I will be playing this 2.5 and above in alt markets.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 12:07 am UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadBaltimore -4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1421
39-23 in Last 62 NFL Picks
+775
53-41-1 in Last 95 NFL ATS Picks
+941
31-21-4 in Last 56 HOU ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Ravens are back in the hunt for the AFC North crown, while the Texans don't have much to play for aside from staying healthy over the last two weeks. A win in this game could put them in the running for the 3 seed, but I'm not sure how motivated they'll be in this spot after losing Tank Dell, which lowers the ceiling for an already struggling offense. Don't expect much from Joe Mixon in this matchup, while Baltimore shook off its Pittsburgh demons to score 30+ for the ninth time in 12 games. We should expect at least high 20s from the Ravens in this game, while I believe the Texans will struggle to even get to 20.

Pick Made: Dec 23, 4:48 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadBaltimore -3.5 -102
WIN
Unit1.0
+275
5-2 in Last 7 NFL Picks
+38
5-4 in Last 9 NFL ATS Picks
+513
8-3 in Last 11 BAL ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Texans are out of their weight class here. They've been struggling with the Jags and Titans, they have one of the most second-half offenses in the NFL and they can't beat zone coverage and Joe Mixon can only do so much. BAL driving for a division title vs a team they destroyed in the playoffs last year. BAL 6-3-1 ATS outside the AFCN and Lamar is 9-2 ATS in last 11 times as a road favorite of 1-4 points, covering 7 of last 8. Ravens have too much balance on offense. Ravens have a top 5 defense since Week 11. HOU just 3-4 ATS at home.

Pick Made: Dec 22, 9:04 pm UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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Team Injuries

Baltimore Ravens
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
CB
Trayvon Mullen
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Owen Wright
FootQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Arthur Maulet
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Charlie Kolar
ArmQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Rashod Bateman
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Jalyn Armour-Davis
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Malik Hamm
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Deonte Harty
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Zay Flowers
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Christian Matthew
UndisclosedQuestionable
Houston Texans
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
QB
Case Keenum
FootQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Jimmie Ward
FootQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Stefon Diggs
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Azeez Al-Shaair
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Zachary Thomas
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Dalton Keene
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Jalen Pitre
PectoralQuestionable
Avatar
RB
British Brooks
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tank Dell
Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Brevin Jordan
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Teagan Quitoriano
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Ka'dar Hollman
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Cade Stover
CollarboneQuestionable
Avatar
SAF
Brandon Hill
LegQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jamal Hill
HamstringQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
8-6-1
6-8-1
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
62%
5-3
3-3-1
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
62%
8-5-1
2-2
50%
When Spread was -7.5 to -4.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +4.5 to +7.5
33%
1-2-1
0-0
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
71%
5-2
1-0
100%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
71%
5-2-1
3-3-1
50%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
50%
2-2-1
1-2
33%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
70%
7-3-1
4-7-1
36%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BAL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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