Tyrone Tracy may end up being the best takeaway from this disastrous season for the Giants. I bet on his Over 61.5 Rush yards prop, and I’m also going to place a half unit bet on him to score. +175 is great value, considering he scored last week and his odds were just +130. When the Giants are inside the 10-yard line, I expect Tracy to get his touches.

With backup QB Tommy Devito taking over in NY, I expect a heavy dose of RB Tyrone Tracy on the ground. Tracy has been a bright spot during this bleak season for the G-Men. He is extremely athletic & shifty, and he can put his head down to get the hard yards. Tracy has gone over this prop in three straight games, rushing for 100+ yards in two of those. The Bucs are not a good run defense, and Tracy is now the clear RB1. I expect Tracy to get 15+ carries and to clear this line with ease.

Daniel Jones is out for good at QB and Tommy DeVito is in for the Giants. That caught some of us by surprise - not so much Jones' demotion (and eventual release), but that backup Drew Lock wasn't given the first chance. We'll see what happens. DeVito, however, can't be dismissed after he piloted the New York to a 3-3 record in his starts last season, so head coach Brian Daboll doesn't have to bulletproof the offense with him taking snaps. Note that Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers have been mostly trending Over this season (six straight prior to Week 10 versus the 49ers), so I like that to continue.

Tommy Devito will be able to inject some life into the offense but at the end of the day, this is still a Todd Bowles pressure-style defense that'll be able to frustrate the young passer. I would expect the Giants to have an early lead in this game before the Bucs pull away in the 2nd half.

Bucs rookie Bucky Irving has averaged at least 4.9 yards per carry in seven of 10 games. The three exceptions were against Baltimore, K.C. and Detroit -- all elite rush defenses. Irving isn't facing an elite run defense Sunday, as the Giants give up an NFL-high 5.3 yards per carry. They also lead the NFL in explosive run rate allowed and miss tackles at the third-highest rate. Irving appeared to seize command of Tampa's backfield before the bye, rushing 13 times for 73 yards in contrast to Rachaad White's 10 carries for 31 yards vs. San Fran. If the coaches see the obvious -- Irving is a much more effective runner -- then the rookie should get enough opportunities to clear this prop total.

This line continues to rise for good reason. Bucky Irving still splits carries with Rachaad White, but I expect him to get double digit carries in a likely positive game script against the Giants. The Giants are a terrible run defense and allow over 5 yards per carry (which includes plenty of explosive runs). My guess is Irving gets a minimum of 12 rush attempts and that should be plenty to vault over this number.

People acting like losing Saquon is the problem with Big Blue aren't paying attention. This kid has twitch and moves and is carving teams up. Since Week 5 he's averaging 5.4/carry and 86 rushing yards per game and the Bucs run D has been brutal, allowing 4.8/rush and 20th in run D EPA. His speed off the edge will be a big problem for their first and second level. He's over this in 4 of the last 6 games. Will be very fresh off a bye.

Bucs WR Mike Evans looks like a go, which is invaluable to an offense missing fellow ace pass-catcher Chris Godwin. Tampa Bay's O has held its own without both, and QB Baker Mayfield should ratchet it up with the future Hall of Famer back. Mayfield's counterpart is causing a stir. The Giants not only benched David Jones but bypassed designated backup Drew Lock in naming third-stringer Tommy DeVito to start. As a bonus, New York has employed Jones as a safety in practice. New York is as good as dead in the playoff race while Tampa Bay remains in the mix despite four straight setbacks. The motivational edge is clear.

Cade Otton is having a breakout campaign and has become Baker Mayfield's top target after the Bucs have been forced to play without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Coming off a BYE, Mike Evans will return to the lineup and should certain eat into Otton's target share. The Giants have also surrenderedd the fewest yards to opposing Tight Ends this season. The Giants defense has been a pretty significant run funnel this season as well, and with the Bucs checking in as heavy favorites, I wonder how many dropbacks Baker will take, thus limiting Ottons ceiling.

By now it's pretty clear that this is Baker Mayfield's favorite guy to throw to while he waits for Mike Evans to come back (and with Chris Godwin not coming back this season). Otton has 39 TAR in the last 4 games (since those stud WRs went down) and he has 77+ yards in 3 of those games and he's averaging 72 receiving yards a game in this span. Giants are allowing 88.1% completions to TEs, worst in the NFL. When they bring the heat Baker will dump it off to his TE and let him rumble.

I know Tampa Bay might get Mike Evans back, but they are still a banged up group who will be on the road in November in the Northeast against the Giants defense that is underrated. Grab this now before we cross under the key number of 24.

Tommy DeVito is taking over as starter for the Giants, and to me that signals a coach that is sure he's back next year trying to get as good a QB in the draft as possible. The Giants scored 12.4 points per game last year when DeVito played at least two-thirds of the snaps, boosted by a 31 against an awful Washington defense that included a late pick-six. The Bucs likely won't have Tristan Wirfs up front due to an MCL sprain, and the Giants D-line can win the battle in the trenches. And I'm not fully counting on Mike Evans returning here and risking reaggravating his hamstring injury. This seems set up for an ugly Under game.