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Sun, Oct 275:00 pm UTCEverBank Stadium
75 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Green Bay
Packers
GB
Last 5 ATS
W/L11-6
ATS9-8
O/U8-8-1
FINAL SCORE
30
-
27
Jacksonville
Jaguars
JAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-13
ATS10-7
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
11-6
Win /Loss
4-13
9-8
Spread
10-7
8-8-1
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
GB @ JAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
GB @ JAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
GB @ JAC
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

80%
PUBLIC
20%
MONEY
93%
PUBLIC
7%
MONEY
Over71%
PUBLIC
Under29%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Receiving YardsRomeo Doubs Over 48.5 Total Receiving Yards -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1498.5
68-49 in Last 117 NFL Player Props Picks
Daniel's Analysis:

Two weeks ago Doubs was suspended by the team, after he lashed out in frustration regarding his lack of involvement in the offense. Since then, Doubs has rattled off two monster games, clearing this total in each of them. Last week Doubs caught 8 receptions for 94 yards, and was targeted 10 times. The double digit targets make Doubs a player worth betting against this Jaguars secondary. Packers QB Jordan Love should have no issue dicing them up, and Doubs has become a reliable target against zone coverage. Look for him to keep continue being involved.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 4:35 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadGreen Bay -3.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2577
84-53-4 in Last 141 NFL ATS Picks
+579
40-31-1 in Last 72 GB ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

The Jaguars’ two wins this season came against teams with inexperienced quarterbacks and frustrating offenses. They’re 0-5 otherwise with four of those losses coming by 4+ points. The Packers frustrated a bit against the Texans last week (despite still winning) but have proven capable of rolling past weaker opponents. Trevor Lawrence is not CJ Stroud, and while Tank Bigsby has flashed (Travis Etienne is out), Green Bay has a top 50% run defense compared to the bottom-third units from opponents he exploited (Patriots, Colts). Jordan Love has struggled a bit with turnovers but gets a lackluster secondary here against all of his receiving weapons. See if -3 is available before kickoff.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 4:28 pm UTC on Caesars
Money LineGreen Bay -180
WIN
Unit0.5
+1938
37-12 in Last 49 NFL ML Picks
+850
10-0 in Last 10 GB ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Green Bay's inactive list is pretty good news for the Pack as few guys who were listed as questionable are playing led by center Josh Myers. There might be more Packers fans in Jacksonville today, and I'm curious how the Jags will fare overall after spending the past two weeks in London eating bad food and drinking warm beer. Both QBs are INT-prone, but Green Bay's secondary is much better than Jacksonville's. If this were Pack -3, I'd play that instead but only 3.5s.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:37 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadJacksonville +3.5 -109
WIN
Unit1.0
+241
8-5 in Last 13 NFL Picks
+80
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+945
10-1 in Last 11 JAC ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

A season filled with flubs and self-destructive tendencies finally found some light last week in their win over the Patriots. If they can build on the version that showed up for the final three quarters last week, there is value in the points against a Green Bay team in a letdown spot.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:19 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total CarriesTank Bigsby Over 15.5 Total Carries -105
WIN
Unit0.5
+314
48-32 in Last 80 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Jaguars running back Travis Etienne has not been ruled out yet but reportedly is unlikely to play. There are a lot of ways you could play Tank Bigsby, then, but he got the ball 26 times last week with Etienne sitting.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:10 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsJayden Reed Over 56.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jayden Reed has been quiet the past two games, putting up 38 total receiving yards on 10 targets. Now we're getting value on his receiving yards prop, in a terrific matchup. Reed should be matched up often in the slot against Jaguars rookie Jarrian Jones. Reed is facing a Jags defense that allows the highest passer rating and second-most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 4:12 am UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total ReceptionsTucker Kraft Under 3.5 Total Receptions -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+378
151-121 in Last 272 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Packers tight end Tucker Kraft saw his targets spike when Green Bay had multiple wideouts unavailable. The Packers' top four receivers are healthy now, and Kraft has drawn four targets each of the past two games. I bet against Kraft making four grabs Sunday.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 3:54 am UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadJacksonville +4 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+961
33-21-4 in Last 58 NFL Picks
+524
22-15-4 in Last 41 NFL ATS Picks
+600
6-0-1 in Last 7 JAC ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Jacksonville Jaguars are still a long ways away from the team they were a season ago. Yet, perhaps they found some new wrinkles offensively in Europe. Running back Tank Bigsby has proven he should be the feature running back, and rookie wide receive Brian Thomas Jr. continues to develop. With the Packers they have had extended travel this season to Brazil, Los Angeles, and now Jacksonville. Look for the Jags to perform well as they did after Europe last season against Indianapolis.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 2:34 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsRomeo Doubs Over 44.5 Total Receiving Yards -114
WIN
Unit1.5
+112
4-3 in Last 7 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Romeo Doubs has been a reliable target earner in the Packers passing offense and now gets blessed with the best matchup for pass catchers, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are flat out awful against the pass ranking dead last in EPA per dropback, blitz rate, while playing man coverage at the highest rate in the NFL, in addition to double coverage at one of the lowest rates in the league. This bodes extremely well for Number 1 options which Doubs is operating as with a 16% first-read target rate.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 3:16 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Passing InterceptionsJordan Love Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -122
WIN
Unit0.5
+314
48-32 in Last 80 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Green Bay's Jordan Love has eight picks in his five games -- remember he missed a couple -- and at least one in each. Through 23 career starts, Love has thrown 22 interceptions. Could the Bears actually have a better QB than the Packers for the first time since, I don't know, hula hoops were cool? (Were they ever?) OK, I'm not going that far. Yet.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 3:11 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Passing TouchdownsJordan Love Over 2.5 Total Passing Touchdowns +175
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Jags have the worst RZ defense in the NFL, and they cannot defend the deep ball to prevent scored from beyond the 20s. They have allowed 16 passing TDs, most in the NFL, despite facing some awful QBs and they have just 1 INT to show for it. Love has gone 9 straight with 2 TDs, and Jags are far more stout vs the run. He can throw short TDs to the TEs and RB, and long ones to the WRs. He's over this in 3 of his last 4 games.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 12:42 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Passing YardsJordan Love Over 256.5 Total Passing Yards -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0 in Last 4 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Jags pass D stinks, allowing a 113.7 rating (31st) and 30th in YPA and giving up 274 yards/G despite facing some of the weakest passing offenses in the NFL. Jordan Love's problem has been INTs killing drives and taking points and yards off the board, but the Jags have just one INT despite getting the ball chucked all over the place against them. Love isn't reliant on any one target and he's due for a 300-yard game. Jags have a toothless pass rush and coverage issues at LB and throughout the secondary. Love will complete several bombs over 30 yards along the way. Love's numbers are depressed from some of the issues they had, but this defense is ripe to get carved.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 12:38 am UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadGreen Bay -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1421
39-23 in Last 62 NFL Picks
+775
53-41-1 in Last 95 NFL ATS Picks
+3989
77-32-2 in Last 111 GB ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Jaguars are coming off a blowout win over the Patriots that I'm chalking up to an improbable punt return TD rather than them fixing their issues. If you still rate them as a well below average team, this line doesn't make much sense. The Packers might be top five and finally got a breakout game from their defense against the Texans, winning without any takeaways. The Jags defense has given up 16 passing TDs versus just one interception this year, ad it's easy to see the Packers scoring several TDs in this game. I don't think this Jacksonville offense can keep up.

Pick Made: Oct 23, 11:05 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadGreen Bay -4.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+275
5-2 in Last 7 NFL Picks
+38
5-4 in Last 9 NFL ATS Picks
+361
7-3 in Last 10 GB ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Not scared to be square here. This spread will rise. Jags spent two weeks in London, not ideal. Jordan Love can carve their weak D (and cutdown on INTs here). Jags passing game is suspect and Green Bay is getting more used to its new defensive coordinator by the week. Love is 4-1 ATS in his last 5 on the road including playoffs and 6-3 ATS in his last 9 overall. Packers have wins of 6, 16, and 2 already vs AFC South teams. Doug Pederson is 4-7 ATS vs the NFC since going to the Jags. Jags are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games. Trevor Lawrence is a turnover machine and Pack D is elite taking ball away.

Pick Made: Oct 21, 12:52 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Green Bay Packers
Sunday, Apr 13, 2025
Avatar
SAF
Zayne Anderson
ConcussionQuestionable
Thursday, Apr 10, 2025
Avatar
RB
MarShawn Lloyd
HamstringQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
C
Elgton Jenkins
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Jordan Morgan
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Mecole Hardman
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Devonte Wyatt
Lower LegQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Romeo Doubs
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Jayden Reed
ShoulderQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
CB
Jaire Alexander
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Christian Watson
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
LB
Ventrell Miller
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Walker Little
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Cooper Hodges
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Patrick Murtagh
AnkleQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
WR
Gabe Davis
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
LB
De'Shaan Dixon
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Trevor Lawrence
Shoulder - AC JointQuestionable
Avatar
WR
David White Jr.
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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