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Sun, Sep 228:05 pm UTCLumen Field
71 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Dolphins
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L8-9
ATS7-10
O/U8-9-0
FINAL SCORE
3
-
24
Seattle
Seahawks
SEA
Last 5 ATS
W/L10-7
ATS6-10
O/U9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
8-9
Win /Loss
10-7
7-10
Spread
6-10
8-9-0
Over / Under
9-8-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ SEA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ SEA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
MIA @ SEA
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

47%
PUBLIC
53%
MONEY
19%
PUBLIC
81%
MONEY
Over68%
PUBLIC
Under32%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Passing YardsSkylar Thompson Over 193.5 Total Passing Yards -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1228
60-41 in Last 101 NFL Player Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

Last year Tua led the NFL in passing yards. It’s a system. And Thompson is a quality backup Who has been in the system for three years. I love the over here

Pick Made: Sep 22, 4:31 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsDe'Von Achane Over 28.5 Total Receiving Yards -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+234
6-4 in Last 10 NFL Player Props Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The Dolphins have already game planned to get the explosive RB in open space on swing passes and this should be an even more prominent part of the game plan with Skylar Thompson at the helm instead of the injured Tua Tagovailoa. Achane could clip this number on one play, but he feels like a safe bet to hit it on volume as well.

Pick Made: Sep 22, 3:40 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadSeattle -4.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+920
46-33-1 in Last 80 NFL ATS Picks
+525
13-7-1 in Last 21 SEA ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Dolphins haven't covered their last five games and they go to Seattle with no Tua Tagovailoa have to start backup Skylar Thompson. And the spread is only four and a half? What am I missing? Seahawks are likely without Kenneth Walker but Zach Charbennet is ready for action. And the Seahawks are home. I don't know how this team that was not functioning with their starter is going to produce anything with their backup quarterback. Seahawks cover.

Pick Made: Sep 22, 3:55 am UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadMiami +4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+987
18-8 in Last 26 NFL Picks
+587
50-40-1 in Last 91 NFL ATS Picks
+546
25-17-1 in Last 43 MIA ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

Skylar Thompson did not impress as a fill-in for Tua Tagovailoa as a rookie, but he's had more than a year to develop under one of the best offensive minds in the game. I'm throwing out his performance as a sub last week down 31-10, and I like that he's had extra time to prepare here. He'll be better supported by the rushing attack in this stint as starter with De'Von Achane in the fold as well. The big reason to play the Dolphins here is the number of injuries on the Seahawks side, with four key players out and five others questionable. That will make it hard to win by margin against an elite offensive coach, no matter his QB.

Pick Made: Sep 21, 5:16 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsDe'Von Achane Over 25.5 Total Receiving Yards -128
WIN
Unit1.5
+546
8-2 in Last 10 NFL Player Props Picks
Dave's Analysis:

Achane has seven targets and seven catches in each of his first two games, and he is desperately needed this week as a check-down guy for Skylar Thompson. What he gives Miami is an explosive play once every 3.5 catches, which is huge, and so far he's averaging 10.4 yards per catch. There is no way the Dolphins let this guy's skill-set go to waste. It begs the question: How good is Seattle against RBs in the passing game? The answer? Amazing. 2.0 yards per catch ... against the Broncos and Patriots. Achane is a much tougher draw for Seattle.

Pick Made: Sep 20, 8:52 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadMiami +4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+122.75
17-13 in Last 30 NFL Picks
+45
2-1 in Last 3 MIA ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

This is a big overreaction, as Tua is simply a league-average QB. However, the market is being priced as if he were a top 3 QB in the league, even with Skylar Thompson stepping in. Thompson knows the system well, and they've had a long 10-day week to prepare for this matchup. Tyreek Hill, De'Von Achane, and the rest of the team will do enough with the short-area passing game. Seattle overvalued after beating a rookie QB in his NFL debut, and winning in OT against a terrible Patriots team.

Pick Made: Sep 20, 12:10 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadSeattle -4.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+1917
59-36-3 in Last 98 NFL ATS Picks
+1087
33-20-3 in Last 56 SEA ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Miami makes the NFL season's longest road trip within the country, and it could be a really long ride home. QB Skylar Thompson steps in for the ailing Tua Tagovailoa. The Dolphins have gone 1-4 straight-up without their main man, scoring an average of 19 points. New defensive-minded Seattle coach Mike McDonald lucks into a third straight meeting against a subpar or green QB after having held Denver (Bo Nix) and New England (Jacoby Brissett) to 20 points apiece. If the Seahawks can reach the mid-20s, a cover is probable.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 8:34 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadSeattle -4.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1789
43-23-1 in Last 67 NFL Picks
+1689
42-23-1 in Last 66 NFL ATS Picks
+999
22-11-1 in Last 34 SEA ATS Picks
Emory's Analysis:

We know the Seahawks offense can spread out defenses and work touchdown-to-check down in the passing game. Where this game will be won for Seattle is on defense. They're facing 3rd year player Skylar Thompson, who is starting in place of Tua Tagovailoa. While Thompson has experience in the system, he doesn't possess the quick release of Tua to make aggressive defenses pay.

Pick Made: Sep 18, 1:47 pm UTC on Caesars
Over / UnderUnder 42 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+322
10-6 in Last 16 NFL O/U Picks
+486
7-2 in Last 9 MIA O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Seahawks will have to run the ball more than they did in New England and I expect that to be the MO here. Either way, this is not an explosive offense thus far and Miami will have to zone it up and make em earn it. Mike McDaniel will try to attack Seattle on the ground with outside zone going back to his days in San Fran (SEA run D is still bad), knowing Skylar Thompson can't do much in the air. Is Tyreek Hill really healthy with how much he is in and out of games? Miami's OL beat up. Seattle HC Mike Macdonald knows how to shut this Miami attack down from his days running BAL defense. Miami wasnt even scoring with Tua

Pick Made: Sep 16, 1:22 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Miami Dolphins
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
MLB
Anthony Walker
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
D'Wayne Eskridge
FingerQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Tua Tagovailoa
HipQuestionable
Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, Jan 05, 2025
Avatar
QB
Geno Smith
HipQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Tariq Woolen
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Tre Brown
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Byron Murphy II
BackQuestionable
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