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Sun, Oct 295:00 pm UTCBank of America Stadium
75 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Houston
Texans
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L9-7
ATS9-7
O/U6-11-0
FINAL SCORE
13
-
15
Carolina
Panthers
CAR
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-15
ATS5-11
O/U5-11-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
9-7
Win /Loss
2-15
9-7
Spread
5-11
6-11-0
Over / Under
5-11-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
HOU @ CAR
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MONEYLINE
HOU @ CAR
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ CAR
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48%
PUBLIC
52%
MONEY
63%
PUBLIC
37%
MONEY
Over70%
PUBLIC
Under30%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total ReceptionsNathaniel Dell Over 3.5 Total Receptions -139
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1720
126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Texans rookie wideout Tank Dell should be heavily involved Sunday, as starting wideout Robert Woods is out. Dell drew four targets and had three catches before suffering a concussion against the Falcons in Week 5. He's still averaging six targets over his last four games.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 3:23 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 43 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+99
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
+185
3-1 in Last 4 HOU O/U Picks
Josh's Analysis:

This battle of the top two rookie QBs should produce some fireworks. Not only will they be motivated to outperform each other, but the Panthers have the NFL's worst scoring defense and Texans have allowed their share of production to capable offensive units.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 3:13 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3.5 -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Sides Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+537
11-4 in Last 15 HOU ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

This should be decent spot for top overall pick Bryce Young and the Panthers to get their first win against an upstart Houston club that is a little overvalued in this line. The Panthers are well-rested off a bye and Young will be motivated to show he was worthy of the top pick as his counterpart, Houston's CJ Stroud, has gotten plenty of praise for his breakthrough season.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:04 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 43.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+949
35-26 in Last 61 NFL Picks
+771
27-19 in Last 46 NFL O/U Picks
+475
6-2 in Last 8 CAR O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

These two rookie QBs each had arguments as the best in the draft, and I expect both to bring their A game today. The Panthers have given up 37-plus points in three of their last four games, and while all of those came against top offenses, Houston has been very good in the passing game all year. The Carolina offense should have a new look with Thomas Brown calling plays, and though Houston has held four straight opponents to 21 points or less, they gave up 400-plus yards in three of those games. Both teams should get to the 20s and push this over.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 1:28 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3.5 -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+285.5
28-22 in Last 50 NFL Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 CAR ATS Picks
Kenny's Analysis:

I think the Panthers get their first win this weekend. Bryce Young has been far better in his last three games than he was in his first two starts. The last three games featured two road games at Miami and at Detroit with the third at home versus Minnesota. In the last three games he completed 65% of his passes for 6.0 yards per pass, four TD's with two interceptions. In his first three games he completed 59%, 4.2 yards per pass, two TD’s and 2 Ints. The Panther defense is allowing 16 less points per game at home than on the road. Houston has wins over New Orleans, Pittsburgh and at Jacksonville. Their losses were at Atlanta, at Baltimore and the Colts.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 3:34 am UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsNathaniel Dell Over 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+515
36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
Sia's Analysis:

Tank Dell had a bye last week and sat out with a concussion the week prior, but he is back and in a great spot against a very vulnerable Carolina secondary. Prior to the injury, Dell hit this number in 3 of 4 games thanks to being a primary downfield target for CJ Stroud. Tank Dell's target and air yard share is elite for a WR2 and while I expect Nico Collins to also enjoy some success, I'm targeting Tank Dell on Sunday.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:59 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsNathaniel Dell Over 46.5 Total Receiving Yards -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+845.5
74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Tank Dell is having an impressive rookie season and will be returning to Houston's lineup today after suffering a concussion in Week 5. Dell is likely to assume an every down role and may even see a bump in targets considering Robert Woods will be inactive as well. This is an excellent matchup against a Panthers secondary that has given up the second most explosive plays in the league this season and is banged up as well. Look for Dell to make a big impact.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:42 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 43.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1053
63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
Sia's Analysis:

Both of these teams have holes on defense and that's particularly true with the Panthers who can't seem to stop the run or the pass (and are particularly injured in the secondary). The Texans have inefficient options at the RB position and I expect CJ Stroud to exploit the secondary with young weapons Nico Collins and Tank Dell. I also expect a slightly more efficient Bryce Young against a beatable Texans secondary. Both teams coming off a bye should also produce greater efficiency on the offensive end.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:41 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Passing TouchdownsC.J. Stroud Over 1.5 Total Passing Touchdowns +102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+327
15-10 in Last 25 NFL Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

Can't pass up on a plus money bet like this. CJ Stroud has hit this in 4 of his last 5 starts. Carolina shouldn't give him too tough of a time as they allow the 9th most passing touchdowns in the league. This game will be ignited by a little extra motivation as both rookies look to prove themselves. I don't see Stroud letting off the gas in this spot.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 10:05 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadHouston -3 -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 HOU ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Houston QB C.J. Stroud has buried fellow early draft pick Bryce Young of Carolina -- as well as many others -- in the Rookie of the Year race. He can put an exclamation point on it against a secondary torn asunder by injury, even after a Panthers bye week. The Texans' defense has surrendered just 14.3 ppg in the last four outings, so a Carolina switch in play-calling might not pay immediate dividends. Carolina is the lone team that has yet to cover. It likely will need a spread larger than this one before it happens.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 6:08 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3.5 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+742.5
54-31-2 in Last 87 NFL Sides Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
+484
8-3 in Last 11 HOU ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Did the Panthers blow it taking Bryce Young over CJ Stroud? Too early to tell ... but heck yes so far. This will be the first game in the common draft era to feature the Top 3 picks of the same year's draft in those two and Will Anderson. I mean, the Panthers aren't going 0-17 right? HC Frank Reich handed over offensive play-calling during the bye week. Can't hurt. Houston has struggled offensively in two of three road games. Feels like a 23-20 game, which so happens to be the SL model's forecast.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 12:22 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadCarolina +3 -110
WIN
Unit2.0
+1895
12-1-1 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
+400
2-0-1 in Last 3 HOU ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

I've been waiting to bet on the Carolina Panthers without Frank Reich's play-calling. Offensive coordinator Thomas Brown has taken the reins, and the Houston Texans have no idea what the Panthers' offensive will look like. The Texans have a negative yard differential (outgained 430-297 in defeating New Orleans before their bye week), while the Panthers are a sneaky good team despite their 0-6 record. Carolina has a solid third-down defense, ranking fourth in the league, and an efficient red zone offense, ranking tenth. On the other hand, the Texans are struggling in third-down defense, ranking 27th, and opponent passer rating, ranking 20th. Moreover, betting on winless home underdogs after their bye week has been very profitable.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 10:34 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+1754
79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+877
22-12 in Last 34 CAR ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

This should be Bryce Young's best game. He has a more innovative playcaller now in Thomas Brown, the former Rams assistant who took over those duties from Frank Reich during the bye. He can build off two somewhat promising performances versus the Lions and Dolphins in which he threw for 464 yards and four touchdowns with two interceptions. And he's facing a Texans pass defense that plays predominantly zone. Young ranks 10th in completion percentage against zone coverage, compared to 38th against man. Finally, right guard Austin Corbett -- Carolina's best offensive lineman -- is slated to make his season debut following his recovery from a torn ACL. Grab the points.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 5:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +3.5 -118
WIN
Unit2.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Sides Picks
+1733
78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
+941
31-21-4 in Last 56 HOU ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

These two teams come off a bye that should benefit both rookie QBs, but the Panthers made a more fundamental change that matters: giving OC Thomas Brown playcalling duties. Expect a step up for a Carolina offense that has struggled this year but gets to face a Texans defense that hasn't allowed more than 21 points in four straight yet gave up more than 400 yards in three of those games. Carolina was competitive in two home games but struggled to stop elite offenses in last three on road, which makes defense's stats look worse than they are. I don't think Houston, expected to be a basement team before the season, deserves to lay even three points yet, as much as I like them.

Pick Made: Oct 23, 3:05 pm UTC on FanDuel

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Team Injuries

Houston Texans
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
CB
Jimmie Ward
FootQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Christian Kirk
CollarboneQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Azeez Al-Shaair
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Zachary Thomas
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
RB
British Brooks
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
G
Jaylon Thomas
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
OT
LaDarius Henderson
FootQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Cade Stover
CollarboneQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jamal Hill
HamstringQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
WR
Braxton Berrios
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tank Dell
Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Brevin Jordan
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Carolina Panthers
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
ILB
Josey Jewell
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
DT
A'Shawn Robinson
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Raequan Williams
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Derrick Brown
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Akayleb Evans
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Popo Aumavae
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DE
DJ Johnson
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Claudin Cherelus
ToeQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Amare Barno
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Xavier Legette
FootQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Chau Smith-Wade
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Trevin Wallace
ShoulderQuestionable
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
RB
Jonathon Brooks
Knee - ACLQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
67%
4-2
0-5-1
0%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
67%
2-1
0-1-1
0%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
0%
0-0
0-5-1
0%
When Spread was -5 to -2
SPREAD
When Spread was +2 to +5
0%
0-0
0-3-1
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-0
0-1-1
0%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
0%
0-1
0-1-1
0%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
vs CAR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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