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Sun, Oct 295:00 pm UTCNissan Stadium
73 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Atlanta
Falcons
ATL
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS5-12
O/U7-10-0
FINAL SCORE
23
-
28
Tennessee
Titans
TEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-11
ATS7-9
O/U6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-10
Win /Loss
6-11
5-12
Spread
7-9
7-10-0
Over / Under
6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ATL @ TEN
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MONEYLINE
ATL @ TEN
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OVER / UNDER
ATL @ TEN
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32%
PUBLIC
68%
MONEY
58%
PUBLIC
42%
MONEY
Over34%
PUBLIC
Under66%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadTennessee +2.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+907
19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
+527
12-6 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Tennessee comes off their bye week. Rookie Will Levis will get the start for the injured Ryan Tannehill. Atlanta only scored more than 20 points once in their last five games. The only reason they are favored in this game is because of Tannehill’s injury. The Titans only allow 110 yards on the ground and will force Desmond Ridder to beat them through the air. In his career, Mike Vrabel is 5-0 off a bye week.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 4:30 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadTennessee +2.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+496
15-9 in Last 24 ATL ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The Titans are starting a rookie QB and, amid one trade and speculation they could be looking to unload their stars in a fire sale, appear to be a franchise in borderline disarray. Of course that makes them a perfect play Sunday against an erratic Atlanta team that isn't used to being a road favorite.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:49 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Anytime Touchdown ScorerDerrick Henry Anytime Touchdown Scorer +160
LOSS
Unit0.5
Josh's Analysis:

This is a pretty decent value considering Henry has scored in half the games so far and, with a rookie at QB, the Titans will rely even more heavily on their run game. Henry should get multiple chances to pay this off.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 2:06 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsDerrick Henry Under 67.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1720
126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

With rookie Will Levis starting at quarterback, the Titans likely will lean on Derrick Henry. But he's facing an Atlanta defense that allows 3.7 yards per carry and ranks No. 1 in EPA allowed versus the run. Per analytics guru Clevta, the last five rushing attacks to face Atlanta have managed a success rate of 37 percent or worse. The Falcons obviously will stack the box and force Levis to beat them. Henry is coming off a 97-yard performance versus Baltimore, but that includes a 63-yard rush. On his other 11 carries, Henry gained 34 yards.

Pick Made: Oct 29, 3:22 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Made Field GoalsNick Folk Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals +120
LOSS
Unit1.0
Allan's Analysis:

Heading into this game understand there are volatilities everywhere, but then again this is sports betting so what's new. Tennessee will utilize both backup QB's in Malik Willis and Will Levis and...yeah who knows what to expect, except the one constant in Nashville and that's kicker Nick Folk. This should be a low scoring affair and every point matters, meaning Folk should get plenty of opportunities. I'll take my shot at +120, he's cashed this in 5 of 6 games already this season.

Pick Made: Oct 28, 5:15 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Total Away PointsAtlanta Over 18.5 Total Pts -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Mackenzie's Analysis:

This is a team who should be averaging 24 points per game. They have had an obscene amount of red zone turnovers the past 2 weeks. It cannot be sustainable to continue that way. The only thing the Titans have going for them is their run defense, which shouldn't exactly effect an offense that hasn't been running the ball anyway. The Falcons are now a bottom half team in yards per carry and average 60 more yards in the air. Look for the Falcons to beat the Titans in the air, and possibly find themselves in some short field opportunities on behalf of Will Levis turnovers.

Pick Made: Oct 27, 10:20 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Total Home PointsTennessee Under 16.5 Total Pts -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+75
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Team Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

If you have two QBs, you have none. The Titans offense was horrible with veteran Ryan Tannehill and it’s about to get worse. Team bracing for a firesale ahead of the deadline and facing a very legit defense in the Falcons. This moved off 17.5 already and we want to grab it now. Titans held to 16 or less in four of their six games. Atlanta has allowed just 11 offensive TDs and is fourth in yards/play and top five in redzone and third down and 8th in yards per rush and 6th in yards per passing attempt. 8 sacks in the last two games. Titans have 8 offensive TD and are 31st in the redzone. Big game for kickers

Pick Made: Oct 27, 1:03 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Made Field GoalsYounghoe Koo Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -127
WIN
Unit1.0
+566
36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
Eric's Analysis:

In six Tennessee games this year, they have surrendered 18 made field goals including five games of two or more. Justin Tucker hit six against them two weeks ago in London. Koo has four games of multiple successful three-pointers and in a low-scoring game where touchdowns should be at a premium, I'll predict another for Atlanta's kicker in Week 8.

Pick Made: Oct 26, 9:43 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Tackles Plus AssistsAzeez Al-Shaair Over 9.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -143
WIN
Unit1.0
+1720
126-88 in Last 214 NFL Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Falcons run the ball at the fifth-highest rate (46.45 percent of the time) but that rate skyrockets when Atlanta has the lead. With the Titans starting rookie Will Levis at quarterback, I'm expecting a positive game script for the Falcons and a high play volume, assuming Tennessee will struggle to extend drives. It sets up as another monster game for Titans linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair, who is coming off back-to-back 15-tackle performances.

Pick Made: Oct 26, 6:47 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Made Field GoalsYounghoe Koo Over 1.5 Total Made Field Goals -127
WIN
Unit1.0
+1375
43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

He’s become one of the most reliable legs in the game and has 13 attempts in his last five games and two or more FGs in four of five. The Titans have had 18 FG attempts against them – fourth-most – and with QB Desmond Ridder awful in the redzone and prone to turnovers, and the Falcons facing a bad offensive team in the Titans, no reason not to take automatic three points when you can get them.

Pick Made: Oct 26, 5:10 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson Over 48.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
WIN
Unit0.5
+126.5
5-2 in Last 7 NFL Player Props Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

The Titans have struggled with their run defense lately, and it seems to be declining each week. It has been quite a while since they have faced a running scheme like the one the Falcons use. Though Tennessee has had two weeks to prepare, Bijan Robinson has had three straight sub-par games. He was spotted on the practice field Wednesday and should be a "full go" on Sunday. My model has him pegged for 57.8 rushing yards, the largest delta from my RB projections. This number has already advanced up by one yard. Grab it now!

Pick Made: Oct 25, 9:32 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsBijan Robinson Over 47.5 Total Rushing Yards -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+845.5
74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Bijan finished Week 7 with a single carry for 3 yards despite entering the game without an injury designation. It has been reported Bijan was experiencing migraines early Sunday. While that was undoubtedly a bizarre situation, Bijan has practiced in full to start the week indicating he will be full systems go. We’re getting a sizable discount on his rushing line as a result of what transpired in Week 7. He will face a stout Titans run defense but they've begun to tail off recently. It is also fair to wonder how the team responds after trading Pro Bowl Safety Kevin Byard. I fully expect Bijan to handle 13-17 rushing attempts in what should be an optimal game environment.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 7:51 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadAtlanta -2.5 -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+91
2-1 in Last 3 ATL ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Sportsbooks are split on whether to set this line at 2.5 or three. Seize the shorter spread as word gets out that the Titans intend to give most of the snaps to rookie QB Will Levis. Granted, the offense has been stuck in the mud under veteran Ryan Tannehill. But anytime a first-year QB not selected in the opening round is handed the reins, it's a play against. Falcons QB Desmond Ridder is on the hot seat after three lost fumbles Sunday, but his running ability is what keeps him on the field. Presumably, he is sleeping with a ball tucked under his arm this week.

Pick Made: Oct 25, 4:05 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Money LineAtlanta -130
LOSS
Unit1.0
+70
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
Allan's Analysis:

The Titans traded Kevin Byard Monday and to say his presence will be missed is quite the understatement. Local underdog who made it to the hometown team and became an All-Pro captain. Tennessee saves $19 million but the team is now officially in rebuild mode. Tannehill is out (and everyone knows he'll be gone after the season), not to mention, Derrick Henry could be traded next. Couple all that with Falcons HC Arthur Smith used to be the Titans OC, he went against this defense every single day for years and knows the holes Byard masked. Not good in Nashville.

Pick Made: Oct 24, 8:41 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 37 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+788.5
85-62-1 in Last 148 NFL Picks
+180
4-2 in Last 6 NFL O/U Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 TEN O/U Picks
Erik's Analysis:

I’ll grab this total at 37, expecting it to grow lower. No Tannehill, and Tenn should play a very conservative game. Atlanta is always up for a slow paced run fest. I’m not sure either team cracks 23 and not sure both teams get to 17. Let’s go under

Pick Made: Oct 23, 7:26 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Point SpreadAtlanta -1 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+1754
79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+1195
43-28-2 in Last 73 ATL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Ryan Tannehill doesn't seem likely to play through his high ankle sprain Sunday, which means I have to back the Falcons even though Desmond Ridder has turned the ball over four times inside the opponents' 12-yard line the past two weeks. Ridder, though, got the monkey off his back while registering his first road win at Tampa. Atlanta has outgained each of its last two opponents (Washington, Tampa Bay) by 1.2 yards per play. The Falcons are stout against the run (3.7 ypc allowed) and that will make it tough on either Malik Willis or Will Levis.

Pick Made: Oct 23, 5:15 pm UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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Team Injuries

Atlanta Falcons
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
CB
Mike Hughes
ShoulderQuestionable
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DE
James Smith-Williams
Lower LegQuestionable
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DB
Micah Abernathy
KneeQuestionable
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CB
Antonio Hamilton
QuadricepsQuestionable
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WR
Darnell Mooney
ShoulderQuestionable
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K
Younghoe Koo
HipQuestionable
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LB
Troy Andersen
KneeQuestionable
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CB
Harrison Hand
KneeQuestionable
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DT
Ta'Quon Graham
PectoralQuestionable
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DE
Demone Harris
HeadQuestionable
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WR
Rondale Moore
KneeQuestionable
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SAF
DeMarcco Hellams
AnkleQuestionable
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LB
Bralen Trice
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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DE
Brandon Dorlus
AbdomenQuestionable
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LB
JD Bertrand
EyeQuestionable
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RB
Jase McClellan
KneeQuestionable
Tennessee Titans
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
K
Nick Folk
AbdomenQuestionable
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S
Quandre Diggs
FootQuestionable
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WR
Tyler Boyd
FootQuestionable
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OLB
Arden Key
HandQuestionable
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DE
Marlon Davidson
BicepsQuestionable
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C
Lloyd Cushenberry
AchillesQuestionable
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CB
L'Jarius Sneed
QuadricepsQuestionable
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FS
Amani Hooker
ShoulderQuestionable
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LB
Garret Wallow
PectoralQuestionable
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LB
Kenneth Murray
WristQuestionable
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WR
Colton Dowell
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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LB
Jack Gibbens
AnkleQuestionable
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G
Logan Bruss
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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LB
Chance Campbell
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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OT
Jaelyn Duncan
ShoulderQuestionable
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LB
Otis Reese
AnkleQuestionable
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DE
TK McLendon Jr.
ToeQuestionable
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RB
Tyjae Spears
ConcussionQuestionable
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WR
Treylon Burks
Knee - ACLQuestionable
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OT
Andrew Rupcich
TricepsQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
29%
2-5
3-3
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
33%
1-2
2-0
100%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
25%
1-3
3-2
60%
When Spread was -4 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +4
25%
1-3
3-1
75%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-0
2-0
100%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <21 PPG
33%
1-2
0-2
0%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
17%
1-5
1-0
100%
vs TEN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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