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Sun, Oct 085:00 pm UTCFord Field
Track OnCBS Sports
Carolina
Panthers
CAR
Last 5 ATS
W/L2-15
ATS5-11
O/U5-11-1
FINAL SCORE
24
-
42
Detroit
Lions
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L12-5
ATS12-5
O/U11-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
2-15
Win /Loss
12-5
5-11
Spread
12-5
5-11-1
Over / Under
11-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
CAR @ DET
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
CAR @ DET
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OVER / UNDER
CAR @ DET
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49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
4%
PUBLIC
96%
MONEY
Over66%
PUBLIC
Under34%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadDetroit -9 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2294
84-55-8 in Last 147 NFL ATS Picks
+1104
20-8-1 in Last 29 DET ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

The Lions are the far better team on both sides of the ball here, even if they are down a couple playmakers. The Panthers have already notched two double-digit road losses and now go against a defense that should limit them further offensively than either of those prior opponents. Do I find comfort in taking Detroit to win by double digits in any game? No. Is it the right play Sunday? Yes.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 4:20 pm UTC on Consensus
Point SpreadCarolina +9 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 in Last 117 NFL Sides Picks
+85
2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
+163
5-3 in Last 8 CAR ATS Picks
Josh's Analysis:

The scrappy Panthers outplayed Minnesota most of the way last weekend and should have another opportunity for a close game Sunday. The Lions are without top WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and explosive rookie RB Jahmyr Gibbs. Those losses will be felt, while Carolina is a little healthier than it was last week. Look for a one-score game.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 1:45 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadCarolina +9.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+917
83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
+362
26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
+159
5-3 in Last 8 DET ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Rookie Bryce Young has broken slowly out of the blocks, but his QB rating has improved each week. Against Detroit's shaky defense, he can take another step. He'll need to be on his toes against a rugged Lions pass rush. The Lions likely will miss two key injured players on offense, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and RB Jahmyr Gibbs. Carolina coach Fran Reich has failed to cover in just two of eight games as an underdog of at least a touchdown. A 10-point spot would be welcome, but this one appears stuck in single digits.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 2:48 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsAdam Thielen Over 53.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+139
9-6 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

The way to attack the Lions’ defense is through the air. They have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game in the league, but they are middle of the pack in terms of passing yards allowed per game. The Panthers have already been relying heavily on Thielen, who has received at least eight targets in each of the last three games. He posted at least 54 receiving yards in each of those games, so give me the over here.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 12:53 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total CarriesDavid Montgomery Over 18.5 Total Carries -161
WIN
Unit1.0
+139
9-6 in Last 15 NFL Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

After sitting out Week 3 with a thigh injury, David Montgomery compiled 121 yards and three touchdowns on the ground in Week 4. He had 32 rushing attempts against the Packers, marking the second time in three games that he carried the ball at least 21 times. With Jahmyr Gibbs (hamstring) having been downgraded to doubtful Saturday, Montgomery could blow past the over on his rush attempts prop.

Pick Made: Oct 08, 12:48 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total CarriesDavid Montgomery Over 15.5 Total Carries -145
WIN
Unit0.5
Matt's Analysis:

Interesting number considering Montgomery has topped this in each game and went WAY past it in two. Backup Jahmyr Gibbs likely will be used more as a receiver this week with Amon-Ra St. Brown probably sitting.

Pick Made: Oct 07, 4:51 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Rushing + Receiving YardsMiles Sanders Under 59.5 Total Rushing + Receiving Yards -119
WIN
Unit1.0
+555
9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
Dave's Analysis:

Sanders' playing time hit a season low 43% as he continued losing work not only on 3rd downs but also in the second-half to Chuba Hubbard last week. Sanders also seems impacted by a groin injury that kept his practices limited both this week and last week. His rushing average has dropped from 4.0 in Week 1 to 1.5 in Week 4. Detroit is great against the run, shedding just 2.9 yards per rush to opposing running backs, which ranks in the top three. Know how many running backs have had 60 total yards against Detroit this year? Answer: One -- Bijan Robinson had 60 on the dot.

Pick Made: Oct 06, 8:47 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Receiving YardsSam LaPorta Over 43.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
WIN
Unit0.5
Matt's Analysis:

What am I missing? The excellent rookie has easily topped this number in three straight and now the Lions might be without Amon-Ra St. Brown so that could lead to more targets for LaPorta.

Pick Made: Oct 06, 4:39 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Passing YardsJared Goff Under 242.5 Total Passing Yards -128
WIN
Unit1.0
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Lions are massive favorites against a Carolina team that has no juice offensively, and the gamescript should work against Jared Goff having a big passing day. The only one of Carolina's games where the opposing QB topped this number featured Andy Dalton at QB for the Panthers and was a shootout. Carolina's defense has seen the third fewest pass attempts in the NFL, and the Lions have run the ball more than they've thrown it. Goff's final numbers here should be similar to the Packers game where he had 210 yards on just 28 attempts.

Pick Made: Oct 06, 1:56 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 44.5 -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+949
35-26 in Last 61 NFL Picks
+771
27-19 in Last 46 NFL O/U Picks
+475
6-2 in Last 8 CAR O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The three games Bryce Young has started for Carolina have followed the same pattern, with the Panthers unable to score but the defense keeping them in each game. Carolina has just five offensive TDs in four games, but only two in Young's three starts. Detroit is capable of putting up 30+ points and doing the bulk of the work to get this over the total, but this profiles more like the workmanlike 20-6 win over the Falcons in Week 3 where the Lions were up 10 at halftime and went more conservative in the second half while letting their defense take care of business.

Pick Made: Oct 05, 3:42 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDetroit -10 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+182
3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
+185
3-1-1 in Last 5 CAR ATS Picks
Will's Analysis:

This is a pure mismatch: the Lions built this team in the trenches. Their stout offensive line will nullify the Panthers best defensive strength (the line). And the Lions defensive line will be a big-time problem for the Panthers offensive line. Homefield advantage isn't necessarily "a thing" the way it was in years past but Ford Field will be rocking with a bunch of Lions fans smelling blood in the water at 3-1 and wanting to see their team dominate at home fresh off a mini-bye and a butt-kicking of the Packers. Jared Goff is going to get Jameson Williams back earlier than expected, giving Detroit a vertical threat to go with the tough underneath weapons.

Pick Made: Oct 05, 5:22 am UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDetroit -8.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 in Last 352 NFL Picks
+1754
79-55-2 in Last 136 NFL ATS Picks
+1117
19-7 in Last 26 DET ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Lions allow 3.0 yards per carry, and over the past two weeks they've notched 12 sacks. They smothered a limited Packers' offense last Thursday, and now they've got extra rest to prepare for Carolina rookie Bryce Young, who ranks 30th with a 75.0 passer rating. This will be Young's second road start. In his first road start, at Atlanta, he needed 38 attempts to produce 146 passing yards. He was intercepted twice in the 24-10 loss. Detroit's balanced offense is clicking and might get a few snaps from newly-reinstated wideout Jameson Williams. Look for Detroit to register its third straight dominant win.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 8:50 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadDetroit -8.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Sides Picks
+1733
78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
+1279.5
44-29-1 in Last 74 DET ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Panthers defense is coming off a solid game despite their injuries with just 14 points allowed, but the offense did nothing against a suspect Minnesota defense. Detroit's defense is much better, ranking fourth in yards per play, and they dominated two less questionable offenses the last two weeks. The Panthers defense is 29th in yards per rush, so this feels like a game Detroit can dictate with the run and keep the backdoor closed against a struggling Bryce Young. I have this line projected at Detroit -11 and love the value laying single digits.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 8:03 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Carolina Panthers
Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025
Avatar
DT
Derrick Brown
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
ILB
Josey Jewell
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
DT
A'Shawn Robinson
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Raequan Williams
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Akayleb Evans
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Popo Aumavae
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DE
DJ Johnson
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Claudin Cherelus
ToeQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Amare Barno
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Chau Smith-Wade
IllnessQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 25, 2025
Avatar
WR
Xavier Legette
FootQuestionable
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
Avatar
LB
Trevin Wallace
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Jonathon Brooks
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Detroit Lions
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
G
Netane Muti
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Amik Robertson
ArmQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Antoine Green
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Nate Lynn
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Ennis Rakestraw Jr.
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Mekhi Wingo
KneeQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
LB
Malcolm Rodriguez
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Connor Galvin
Knee - MCLQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Alim McNeill
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
DE
Aidan Hutchinson
Lower LegQuestionable
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