It's been difficult to get a handle on these teams, but what’s clear is Jordan Love’s gunslinger attitude will continue unabated. The Cardinals impressed taking down the 49ers, but anyone who saw that game realized much of that defensive success was heavily circumstantial. The goal for the Packers will be limiting Kyler Murray on the ground; other than a singular long run by Anthony Richardson, they have done just that with mobile QBs all season. Love is getting healthier, Romeo Doubs is back from suspension, Christian Watson is back from injury and Jayden Reed should not face much resistance. This spread does feel a tad inflated, but home-field advantage is real at Lambeau Field and we are getting 6 as a cover with this line.

Big number, but I'm gonna play a fairly significant amount and not mess around with -5 or -5.5 doing so. Frankly, I might like moneylines simply as I'm lazy and only want to see who won at the end of the night and my tally, but you do you. I do think this price is fairly cheap with Jaire Alexander, Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson all expected back for Green Bay.

Going right back to the proverbial well with Josh Jacobs who we successfully backed last week. He has arguably an even better matchup against a Cardinals defense that may be the worst in the NFL. Jacobs is coming off off of a season high 76% snap share in Week 5. I expect him to be the focal point of the offense for GB.

FanDuel is the lone major book dealing 35.5 attempts, though it's seriously juiced. I would still play this Under 34.5 attempts. Jordan Love has played three games, throwing 34, 54 and 26 times. The outlier middle game came against Minnesota when Green Bay trailed 28-0. This should not be a similar game script. Opponents are running against Arizona at the fourth-highest rate: 51.6 percent of the time. Look for a balanced Packers attack and for Love to stay Under his attempts prop.

Expect this one to be one of the more entertaining games of the weekend. The Cardinals are built similarly to the Packers and both have dynamic QBs that are able to make plays off-script. I can foresee this one coming down to more or less a field goal late in the 4th quarter.

It's not about volume in the Packers passing game, its about explosion. Love will chuck it deep as much as he can and I don't fancy the Cards secondary. Love has a pass of 36+ in 9 of his last 10 games and Arizona is not averse to giving them up 40+. Play action with Josh Jacobs in the backfield freezes linebackers and buys time for targets to get downfield.

Muray loves to chuck picks on the road and he is facing the NFL's top D in interception percentage. Murray has thrown a pick in 9 of his last 13 road games, tossing 11 total in that span. Take him out of his dome and he tends to struggle, and I suspect he tries to do too much chasing this game. He's thrown a pick in 5 of his last 8 outdoors.

Arizona's defense ranks near the bottom of the league in several key metrics. They are 26th in EPA per play allowed, 29th in net yards per pass allowed, 23rd in opponent passer ranking, and 30th in third-down defense. Green Bay's offense is getting healthier with the return of receiver Romeo Doubs from suspension. The Packers are ranked 13th in third-down defense, seventh in opponent passer ranking, and they rank ten spots higher in total DVOA. The Cardinals are coming off an emotional division victory in a game that was closer than it appears. Arizona benefited from a minus -2 turnover differential and was out-gained 384-358. Kyler Murray has never played at Lambeau Field and may struggle with the grass surface.

The Cardinals are coming off a big upset of the 49ers that was aided by San Francisco losing its kicker, and I think that result is keeping this line in check when it should be higher. We saw a few weeks ago upsetting the 49ers didn't have a carryover effect for a Rams team that should've lost by double digits against the Packers if not for one of the worst pick-six decisions ever. Green Bay's defense is certainly capable of letting good offenses hang around, but pair a great home-field advantage with an offense that may be headed for top-tier status as Jordan Love gets closer to 100% and this line should be at least a touchdown.