Much has been made about how this spread has flipped 6 points since the look-ahead line of Eagles -3.5 was released. Those who believe the about-face provides value on the Eagles are buying a bar of fool's gold. Philly's epic last-minute collapse on Monday could spell a continuation of last season's plummet under mercurial coach Nick Sirianni, and a visit to the red-hot Saints is the furthest thing from a get-right spot.

What to make of the Saints' blistering break from the gate and 91 points scored across the first two blowout wins? New OC Klint Kubiak has the offense operating with much smoothness, and making greater use of motion which seems to be putting opposing defenses off balance. Derek Carr is certainly enjoying the many options at his disposal, and Alvin Kamara is running like a few years ago after his 4-TD outburst last week vs. Dallas. Meanwhile, they're still stewing in Philly about blowing that Monday night game vs. the Falcons, with vet but also first-year DC Vic Fangio drawing the wrath of the WIP crowd this past week. Can the Birds rally? Play Saints

The Saints are getting top corner Marshon Lattimore back, which will come in handy versus DeVonta Smith. (A.J. Brown remains out). Philly also could be without hard-hitting safety C.J. Gardner-Johnson, who made the team's best defensive play Monday night. Although New Orleans won't continue scoring at will, I like Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams to have big games against the Eagles' soft run defense.

I am selling high on the Saints here. Their offense has looked unstoppable... through two games. After Philadelphia's late collapse on Monday Night Football last week, the betting public is likely to be down on the Eagles. While their offense did struggle without WR A.J Brown, they were up against a solid Falcons secondary. If Saquon Barkley makes that game-sealing catch, this line might be flipped to Eagles -3. The Saints offensive surge is bound to regress. This +3 line is an overreaction. When playing as the favorite, Saints QB Derek Carr is 22-37-2 ATS.

Saquon Barkley is on pace for 442 touches. That's not advisable, and Eagles coaches will be looking for ways to keep him fresh. Look for Kenneth Gainwell to get more usage as a receiver and for Barkley to stay Under this catch number.

This game looks too good to be true for the Saints laying less than a field goal while their last three straight games scored 44 points or more. They look outstanding and there's no reason not to take them except it's too good to be true. On the other side, you got the Eagles completely collapsing at home in the last 2 minutes allowing a touchdown to the Falcons and their offense didn't look that sharp. On top of that, you got the Eagles losing six of their last seven games last year and looking putrid against the Buccaneers in the playoffs. They got taken to reality last week, expect a good game and expect to win by the Eagles.

New Saints offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak is going to be getting plenty of head coaching interviews this offseason if New Orleans' offense continues to look this good. Derek Carr has been excellent and boasts the highest passer rating in the league and most yards per attempt. In a game which should be high scoring, I think he sails past 250 yards passing. Our AI Model has the number at 278.6. Let's enjoy the fun in this Saints-Eagles game!

Love this as a buy low spot on Chris Olave whose produced minimal production as a result of the Saints routing two consecutive opponents. This should be a more competitive game environment and Derek Carr looks very comfortable in this new Klint Kubiak offense. I also consider this a plus match up as the Eagles are adjusting to new personnel in their secondary. Philly has surrendered the 3rd most yards to opposing WRs.

Philly run defense stinks, they have had two backs go over 85 yards on them already and Kamara is going over 80 a game himself at a 5.7/carry clip. Saints OL looks good and Vic Fangio and his broken scheme have to account for the Saints deep shots downfield, too. Getting them on a short week on a fast track.

The Eagles are fresh off a demoralizing late-game sequence to lose against the Falcons, flipping this line from Eagles -3.5 on the lookahead to the Saints being favored, now by as much as 3 in the market. Barring a QB injury, no line should be adjusted 6.5 points in one week, even with the Saints offense refusing to be stopped and the Eagles defense making Kirk Cousins look way better than expected. We're now at peak value for the Saints in the market, which means fading them is the smart play.