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Wed, May 2212:00 am UTCTD Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-45
ATS52-44
O/U52-46-0
FINAL SCORE
128
-
133
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L80-21
ATS53-44
O/U50-49-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-45
Win /Loss
80-21
52-44
Spread
53-44
52-46-0
Over / Under
50-49-2
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
C
Avatar
SF
Avatar
C
Key Injuries
Avatar
PG
Avatar
C
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
IND @ BOS
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
IND @ BOS
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OVER / UNDER
IND @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

58%
PUBLIC
42%
MONEY
7%
PUBLIC
93%
MONEY
Over93%
PUBLIC
Under7%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + AssistsJaylen Brown Over 27.5 Total Points + Assists -118
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

After playing Miami and Cleveland in the first two rounds, the Celtics will feel like the restrictor plate has been taken off their race car. Indy simply is a bad D team and Brown should thrive

Pick Made: May 21, 9:21 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsT.J. McConnell Under 17.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -118
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

I project McConnell to play about 18 min suggesting he will need to average a point, rebound or assist each minute he plays. Too tall of an ask. Under.

Pick Made: May 21, 9:17 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsPayton Pritchard Over 9.5 Total Points -104
LOSS
Unit1.0
+107
15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Indiana comes off a game seven and tough series. The total is rather high so there should be a lot of points and the line suggests this could be a blowout, so if that happens, the Celtics bench will see an increase in minutes. Payton Pritchard is averaging 23 minutes in the playoffs and Indiana struggles containing shooting guards. Pritchard has scored 10 points, or more, in four of the last five playoff games.

Pick Made: May 21, 7:35 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total AssistsTyrese Haliburton Under 8.5 Total Assists -137
LOSS
Unit1.0
+107
15-12 in Last 27 NBA Player Props Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Tyrese Haliburton is one of the best passers in the league. However, he’s only had 9 assists, or more, in three out of the last 10 playoff games. Haliburton has also gone under eight assists in four of the last five games and went under in game one in both the Bucks and Knicks series. Boston is much healthier, and better defensively, than both of the teams the Pacers have faced thus far.

Pick Made: May 21, 7:05 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadBoston -9.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+378
16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0-1 in Last 4 BOS ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

Boston has won its two Game 1s by 45 points so far, defeating Miami by 20 and Cleveland by 25. More of the same here. The Pacers have seen the bracket break their way to make it this far, but they're outmatched in this series big time.

Pick Made: May 21, 6:35 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsT.J. McConnell Under 0.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -278
WIN
Unit2.0
Brad's Analysis:

There isn't much value here, but this is close to a lock. This line should actually be "attempts a 3" rather than makes one. McConnell likely won't even attempt a 3, and if he does, he's not a good bet to make it.

Pick Made: May 21, 6:32 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + AssistsTyrese Haliburton Under 27.5 Total Points + Assists -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
Brad's Analysis:

My guess is Jrue Holiday starts on Haliburton, but individual matchups are overrated. Boston will switch everything, and all of Holiday, Tatum, White and Brown will see time, often in the same possession, on Hali. Constantly running into another great defender will wear Hali down, as will playing in the half-court all night because Indiana won't be able to stop Boston consistently.

Pick Made: May 21, 6:30 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsT.J. McConnell Under 17.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

TJ McConnell has been a major contributor and a big reason why the Pacers find themselves in the Eastern Conference Finals. That being said, I expect his numbers to dip against an elite Celtics defense. McConnell plays between 18-22 minutes a game and because hes ball dominant the Pacers do not have him closing games or playing alongside Tyrese Haliburton very often. McConnell also gets a lot of his production in transition and Indiana has been able to dictate the pace in both of their series. Boston has an elite transition defense and I think the Celtics will also control the tempo and limit McConnell's effectiveness as a result.

Pick Made: May 21, 4:18 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Total Home PointsBoston Over 115.5 Total Pts -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+100
10-8 in Last 18 NBA Team Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Pacers could not stop two opponents who were compromised from a health and scoring perspective and now it gets real. IND has the worst road Def Rating of all 16 playoff teams (124.3). Through 7 road playoff games they are 13th in def reb %, 11th in 2nd-chance points, 15th in oppo 3pt% (40!) and 15th in points allowed (116/G). Boston is way fresher and IND allowed 121 to the beat up Knicks in Game 1 of last series. Legs weary after 7 games and a natural emotional letdown here. Celtics can run with Pacers, and will keep pushing vs opponent that can score quicky. They send a message here. Dopped 155 and 129 on them at home in regular season

Pick Made: May 21, 2:56 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 221.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+1667
88-65 in Last 153 NBA O/U Picks
+853
14-5 in Last 19 IND O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

As four of the five regular-season meetings between these sides ended up with scorelines 234 or higher, clearing this low 220s number doesn't appear that daunting...even if the Pacers don't shoot another 67.1% from the floor as they did in the Game 7 win over the Knicks on Sunday. The challenge for the Indiana defense is going to be facing a near full-strength Boston after dealing with the no-Giannis Bucks and the banged-up Knicks. Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum preclude foes from overloading defenses on one or the other, while Tyrese Haliburton had some big nights the other way vs. the Celtics this season. The two most-efficient NBA offenses are likely to send upcoming "totals" higher as this series progresses. Play Pacers-Celtics "Over"

Pick Made: May 21, 2:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsMyles Turner Over 15.5 Total Points -135
WIN
Unit1.0
+40
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

Myles Turner is Evan Mobley here. Except even better, Boston's defense will be paying less attention to him than they did Mobley. And if Mobley was able to put up almost 20 points a game in that series, if not more, I think a confident Myles Turner can eclipse 15.5. He's gone over this number the last three games and five of the seven against the Knicks. The SL model has him projected for almost 18 points. With no Kristaps Porzingis in Game 1, this could be the time to buy in on Turner.

Pick Made: May 21, 2:26 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsJaylen Brown Over 24.5 Total Points -139
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

The Pacers are healthy and play at a fast pace, so this could be the Celtics’ most competitive series of the playoffs. The Celtics are also still without Kristaps Porzingis (calf) for the beginning of the series. Since he went down, Jaylen Brown has scored at least 25 points in four of six games. During the regular season, Brown scored at least 25 points in four of five matchups with the Pacers. The only game that he didn’t saw him play just 25 minutes in a 51-point win for the Celtics. With the expectation that the Pacers keep this game relatively close, take this over for Brown.

Pick Made: May 21, 1:25 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsDerrick White Over 16.5 Total Points -123
LOSS
Unit1.0
+37
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Pacers give up the most points to opposing shooting guards (24.1), just one reason that Game 1 sets up well for Derrick White. It should be played at a fast pace. White has opened each playoff series with 20-plus points, as it's natural for opponents to gameplan against Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. White is averaging 18.2 points in the postseason. He averaged 16.0 points against the Pacers in the regular season, but his minutes have gone up since then.

Pick Made: May 21, 11:43 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadBoston -9 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Celtics have used long layoffs to their advantage to start each of their series and I expect that to be the case here as well. They won those games by 20 and 13, the Pacers just played 7 games and have played 3 more than BOS in the playoffs. BOS is deep and guys like Hauser and Pitchard can mimic McConnell. IND has played beat up teams and struggles in road (5-8 ATS last 13) and BOS blew them out a few times in regular season. Ten of BOS last 11 home wins are by 10+ point. Had best home +/- in regular season. Four of IND road playoff losses by 9 or more. They will be running on fumes relative to BOS

Pick Made: May 20, 1:26 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Indiana Pacers
Wednesday, Dec 25, 2024
Avatar
C
Myles Turner
ObliqueQuestionable
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SF
Aaron Nesmith
AnkleOut
Saturday, Nov 02, 2024
Avatar
C
Isaiah Jackson
AchillesOut
Thursday, Oct 24, 2024
Avatar
C
James Wiseman
AchillesOut
Boston Celtics
Wednesday, Dec 25, 2024
Avatar
PG
Jrue Holiday
ShoulderOut
Avatar
C
Kristaps Porzingis
AnkleQuestionable
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