This game carries massive significance to both Washington's playoff hopes and as a measuring stick to see if the Commanders are capable of competing with the NFC's elite clubs. The value on the early key numbers is too rich to pass up.

Philly and Washington will play their second matchup of the season, after a 28-16 result that went Under the total in their first meeting. This Eagles defense is dialed in, leading the NFL in yards per play allowed. The Commanders defense plays considerably better at home, and this game will be played in below freezing temperatures. If the Eagles are playing with the lead, they can bleed the clock with their dynamic run game. I like this divisional Under now that the total is above the key number of 46.

The Eagles are playing best-in-class football right now. The Commanders rebounded nicely the last two weeks beating … the Saints and Titans. Philadelphia won by 8 as a 4.5-point home favorite five weeks ago, and that’s when it was playing out of sync. Now Philly is a point closer simply because … it’s on the road? Where it is on a 5-0 ATS run and 6-1 ATS this season? This should not come down to a field goal given Saquon Barkley put up 146 yards on Dan Quinn’s defense last time out and the Eagles’ D has been lights out recently not allowing any opponent (including the Ravens, Rams and Commies) to score more than 20 points since Nov. 3. Take Philly through -4.

The Eagles have things figured out and ride with Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley running the show. They won 10 straight and met some good teams along the way including the Steelers, Ravens, and Washington 26-18 in the first matchup when the spread was -4.5. Washington had some of their groove taken away with the three-game losing streak but they've won their last two. It comes down to the Eagles defense rated No. 1 in the NFL allowing only 275 yards. That's something they hold onto with pride, it’s important to them, and they'll be coming after Washington. Eagles to cover.

The Commanders have gotten back on track with two straight wins, but neither were against tough competition and they surprisingly struggled to put away a very shorthanded Saints team last week. The Eagles enter this matchup as healthy as any team in the league and are arguably the top team in the league. They've won 10 straight by at least four points, including at the Rams and Ravens, and they should have a lot of success once again running on this Washington defense. I think this line needs to be at least Eagles -4.

Where the Eagles have the advantage here against the Commanders is on defense. Combining with their ability to contain the mobile QB, Philly does present itself as the more complete, healthiest team in the NFC. I expect them to go on the road and show dominance against Washington.

The Eagles might be the best team in football and the Commanders have benefitted from an easy schedule. Jaen Hurts is 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 as a road favorite in the NFCE. WSH failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 games. PHI has covered 5 of the last 6. PHI 6-1 ATS on road, covering by an NFL-best 10.7 PPG. They won the first meeting by 8 but couldve been a blowout, rolling up 434 yards on 33:04 TOP. WSH went 3/12 3rd down. Kliff Kingsbury being exposed again. WSH run game stalling. Eagles holding teams to 18 or fewer points in 8 of last 10 games and average of 15.1 PPG in that span. Eagles passing game back on track