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In my writeup of Davante Adam's receiving line, I mentioned that I loved the matchup for the Jets passing game against the Jaguars. Rodgers had his first 300-yard passing game since the 2021 season last Sunday. And he's thrown for 10 touchdowns in his last six games. He's thrown for multiple touchdowns in eight of the 13 games he's played this season. The matchup against the Jaguars is one to attack, as they give up the 3rd most passing touchdowns to quarterbacks this season. I like Rodgers to have a multi-touchdown passing game, and I especially love the plus odds we are getting for him to do so.
The Jets continue to find ways to lose, but last week they outplayed the Miami Dolphins for the majority of the game. The offense moved the football well, and defensively they limited Miami to field goals until late in the second half. After consecutive weeks of covers for the Jaguars look for the team to have trouble outside the division. Lay the points with the Jets.
DraftKings. With CJ Mosely missing most of the season with an injury, Jamien Sherwood has assumed his role in the middle of the Jets defense. He’s leading the Jets by a wide margin, with 125 tackles (9.6 per game). He’s cleared this line in 6/L9 games, including an insane 18 tackle performance last week. While the Jets’ opponent this week, the Jaguars, don’t have very many tackles allowed this season (least per game), a linebacker has cleared this line in each of the last three. With Mac Jones under center, I expect the Jags to stay run-heavy and short-pass oriented.
I believe Davante Adams and the Jets passing game can have another big game Sunday against the weak Jaguars pass defense. Adams has a 26% target share since joining the Jets and excels against Cover 1 and Cover 2 defenses, which the Jaguars play at a high rate. I like Adams to soar over this total again on Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers might have lost a few mph off his fastball, but he remains helmet-and-shoulders above Jaguars counterpart Mac Jones. The Jets offense has picked up its languid pace with 74 points scored in their latest three games. A-Rod takes aim at the No. 31-ranked pass defense. Jones is 1-4 straight-up as an NFL starter with a scant 36 points produced along with eight picks and no TDs. Against the No. 4 defense in total and passing yards yielded, there seems little hope for a course reversal. The Jets have shown no quit through one excruciating defeat after another.
With CJ Mosley out for the season, Jamien Sherwood wears the green dot for the Jets and never leaves the field. He’s outplaying fellow linebacker Quincy Williams by a wide margin. Coming off an 18-tackle performance, I bet Sherwood to rack up at least nine combined stops against the Jaguars’ condensed offense led by Mac Jones.
This Sunday is perhaps Aaron Rodgers best opportunity remaining to showcase that he's still a solid starting QB in the NFL. He's coming off a 300+ yard game last week and the Jets have scored 26, 21 and 27 points over their last three games. Now they get a bad Jaguars defense which can't seem to get pressure on the quarterback. Look for Rodgers to drop back and connect with his receivers throughout this game and for the Jets defense to create a short field or two against Mac Jones.
The Jets are 3-10, but seven of those losses have come by a combined 25 points. Sauce Gardner returns Sunday, which should help New York slow down Jacksonville's top weapon, Brian Thomas. The Jags haven't mustered more than 10 points in any of Mac Jones' three starts. The Jets are coming off a 400-yard performance against a solid Miami defense.
What I like about this matchup for the Jets is that they really competed last week on both ends of offense vs the Dolphins. That game literally could've gone either way. There's some good mojo going into this matchup against Mac Jones' Jaguars.