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Odunze has now cleared this receiving yards line in four straight games, and had his best performance of the season last week against Arizona (5 receptions, 104 yards). Odunze has seen 6+ targets in 3 of the last 4 weeks, and I expect him to be involved in the offense enough this week to clear this modest total.
The ‘Windy City’ should live up to its name this Sunday. 15+ MPH winds are expected in Chicago, with gusts up to 30MPH! While I am no meteorologist, I think it is reasonable to expect suppressed scoring from two rookie QBs in a wind-impacted environment. Chicago is without multiple starting offensive linemen, and the Patriots have scored more than 20 points just twice this season. The Bears are coming off of two disappointing losses in a row, and should be motivated to play with intensity on defense.
There's not much reason for optimism in regards to the Bears right now, but I still like this spot as a potential bounce back for them in Week 10. The Bears are a top five team in the NFL in defensive scoring, and while Drake Maye looks like he has a bright future, the New England offense is below average. I expect a better offensive performance from Caleb Williams and the Bears here. Chicago by 7.
The Bears’ top pass rusher, Montez Sweat, is back and is a big reason why Drake Maye will be pressured often. Maye, playing behind a bad offensive line, has shown a willingness to take off and run during scrambles. Look for the rookie to rush for at least 29 yards.
Drake Maye feels undervalued by the sportsbooks week after week, both in the passing and rushing markets. One week after he rushed eight times for 95 yards, his rushing line only increased slightly for Week 10. Per Jacob Gibbs of CBS Sports on X, look at Maye's rushing stats this season: - 2nd in scramble rate - 1st in avoided tackles per rush - 1st in first downs per rush - 1st in yards per rush Maye will likely need to scramble against the Bears' defense, and even if he has less than eight rush attempts, I still like him to exceed this line.
The Chicago Bears felt the effects of losing on a Hail Mary last week in Arizona. They were flat on both sides of the football, and just did not show any energy. Now from the coaches to the players this is a pressure spot where they have to respond against the Patriots. As great as Drake Maye game ending play was against the Titans, he did not perform well with four sacks and two interceptions. Take the Bears to do enough to cover the near touchdown spread.
The Bears have not looked good since coming out of the bye, with their offense failing to do much of anything against questionable Washington and Arizona defenses. Teams need to be able to score points to cover big numbers, and if the Bears couldn't do it against the Cardinals, why trust them to do it here with three tackles ruled out? The Patriots offense has had more upside with Drake Maye under center the last few weeks, and this is a game they can keep close.
Let's start with the Patriots. The last time they accumulated as much as 300 yards on offense was eight games ago, and here they face the fifth stingiest defense for points allowed. On to the Bears. They must carry on without starting tackles Braxton Jones and Darnell Wright, both felled by knee injuries. Chicago's last two games against more dynamic offenses have generated 33 and 38 points. Any matchup with rookie QBs is an Under candidate. While Drake Maye and Caleb Williams have shown impressive glimpses, neither has been mistaken for Jayden Daniels.