This line seems to have factored in games where Everett was injured and/or the Bolts had Mike Williams and Josh Palmer. Everett caught 4 for 40 plus in a quagmire last week. Giggidy. Go over. Plus, Denver Bad v TE

This should be an interesting showdown in Los Angeles with the Chargers coming off a groan-inducing 6-0 win over the Patriots and the Broncos dropping their first game in six tries. Where this could get rough for LA is the passing game as Russell Wilson should be able to overcome his turnover woes against a porous secondary. Denver, meanwhile, has done a great job forcing turnovers recently, even if those are a measure of luck. And if we get into a one-score game scenario, which coach do you trust? I'll take the one with a Super Bowl ring over the one likely getting fired after the season. Give me the points, though it is interesting so much action is on Denver without the line shifting.

The Chargers' Gerald Everett caught four passes in each of the past two games, and he should be busy again Sunday against a Denver defense that ranks dead last in DVOA versus tight ends. Denver allows the second-most receiving yards to that position (71.4 per game). With Josh Palmer inactive again, Everett should continue his key role.

The Broncos' 5-game win streak came to an abrupt halt last week at Houston, but not until Russell Wilson came within a few yards of stealing the game in the last minute. Denver's defense has been stout enough across the past six weeks, and once figuring out CJ Stroud last week had the Texans offense in a strait-jacket. Not impressed with much of anything about the Chargers right now, fortunate as they are to walk out of Foxborough with a 6-0 win last week. Justin Herbert has been apt to make mistakes, and this is the AFC West side that Denver has had some success against lately (Broncos 5-3 SU and vs. line since 2019 vs. Bolts). Play Broncos

Denver's turnover luck ran out in Houston and the Broncos were unable to overcome it. Now they're on the road for the second straight week against a Chargers team trying to save its season. LA has played a brutal home schedule, going 2-4 with close losses to the Dolphins, Cowboys, Lions and Ravens -- all playoff teams. LA wideout Josh Palmer won't be activated, but inconsistent rookie Quentin Johnston took a step forward at New England last week with five catches for 52 yards. Look for Austin Ekeler to get untracked on the ground and for Justin Herbert to outplay Russell Wilson as the Chargers win their fourth straight home matchup with Denver.

This is a great matchup for Courtland Sutton. The Chargers’ secondary has continued to struggle, leaving them to allow the second-most passing yards per game in the league. Sutton already enters this matchup playing well, recording at least 61 receiving yards in each of the last three games. As one of the top targets for Russell Wilson, expect Sutton to surpass 60 receiving yards again.

Despite their shortcomings, the Chargers are still alive in the playoff race and, with the Steelers plummeting and the Bengals without their star QB, Los Angeles has a better chance than most might expect. The Broncos saw their prolonged run of good fortune end last week, and this week they'll come up short in a must-win spot for the Chargers.

The Chargers offense is tragically one dimensional at the moment. The entire offense is just throwing the ball to Keenan Allen. Therefore, it shouldn't be hard for the Broncos much improved secondary (highlighted by elite corner, Patrick Surtain) to limit what the Chargers are able to do. Additionally, LA has turned the ball over at an alarming rate this season, which is exactly where Denver found much of its success during its 5 game win streak. Take the points with Denver and let's ride.

Russ is activating the legs like it's five or six years ago and that isn't stopping here after a tough loss last week in which he ran 10 times for 44 yards. They need this element to keep their time of possession offense going, and none of their RBs looks special these days. Russ has 30 rushing yards or more in six of last 8 games and has 1 rush for 21 in one of those other games. He'll find plenty of green against this defense.

Sutton is a handful for opposing corners. His size is an issue, he is great high-pointing the ball, he maneuvers well in the back of the endzone during scramble drills and Russell Wilson trust the heck out of him. Chargers secondary stinks and they are 22nd in passing TDs allowed. Russ doesn't have much else he locks into in the RZ, and after those INTs last week I think he goes even more to his best guy on broken plays. Sutton has a TD in six of the last 7 games and Denver's run game has stalled out some.

Denver's defense will be able to frustrate Chargers QB Justin Herbert throughout the game. Los Angeles just has struggled with consistency on that side of the ball all season long. The Broncos are a well-balanced offensive attack that will be able to control and dictate the pace of the game.

Bad luck not to take the ML win at Houston last weel. But Russ won't throw 3 more picks or go 0/11 on 3rd down or falter in the 4th quarter here against this defense. Sean Payton will bully a terrible D, Chargers don't have an answer for Courtland Sutton. Broncos allow just 10 offensive TDs since Week 7 (3rd) and Chargers have just 46 points the last 3 games. Brandon Staley is a master of blowing one-score games (0-5 in games decided by 3 points or less). Coaching miss-match. Keenan Allen is a one-man band on offense and Broncos won't let him do what Nico Collins did last week. Chargers just 2-4 at home and fading with no fan support.

Denver's turnover luck ran out against Houston, but the Broncos defense kept the team in the game by allowing over 40 yards in just two of 12 drives faced. They've also scored at least 17 points in all but one game since Week 1 and should have a lot of success against a Chargers defense that ranks 28th in yards per play and has beaten Bailey Zappe, Zach Wilson, Tyson Bagent and Aidan O'Connell for four of five wins. The Chargers offense features a beat-up Keenan Allen and an ineffective Austin Ekeler, and I don't have high hopes for them in this matchup.

The Broncos play games decided in the low 20s since improving defensively and Chargers offense is in decline. This feels like an ugly divisional game to me. Only one of the last six Chargers games has gone over 43. Sean Payton will be content to road grade a bad Chargers defense and continue to play slow, paced, TOP approach, especially after 3 Russ INTs last week. Chargers have scored 36 total points in their last three games and their overmatched head coach will lean into Dicker The Kicker here and help keep us under.