I trust Andy Reid's early game scripts and the Chiefs have been a strong first half team all season. Their problems tend to come in the second half, while the Packers have been very slow starters. Jordan Love will see a different challenge here from Steve Spagnuolo and this nasty Chiefs defense and I the expectations have been ramped way up for the young Packers all of a sudden. People are thinking playoffs after beating up on some bad defenses. Spags can make them one-dimensional and while I think this is probably a close game, I believe the Chiefs can pick up offensively where they left off last week. Packers got steamrolled early at home by Lions in primetime earlier this season.

Mahomes has gone over this number in all but three games this season, and he had three carries in two of those games where he went under. With Kansas City's offensive issues, I expect Mahomes to continue to extend plays and rack up carries and rushing yards against Green Bay.

The Packers have played well in their last two games, and had a mini-bye week after playing on Thanksgiving day. That said, I just don't think they have the offensive firepower to score enough points on Kansas City's elite defense to keep this game within six points. The weather will play a factor, and I expect a fairly ugly game, with the Chiefs winning by a touchdown or more on SNF.

Tough call here. The Packers are getting a lot of love after the nationally televised win over the Lions (second meeting), and they have both won and covered three of their last four games. Meanwhile, belief in the Chiefs seems to be at a near-low – not as low as the temperatures Sunday night at Lambeau Field. Kansas City’s defense should be the difference here. It’s great to see Jordan Love making strides, but he has not faced a unit like this. Rashee Rice emerging should help Patrick Mahomes, and Isiah Pacheco’s burst should be utilized with significant carries given the weather. This will be close for a while, but I like KC to pull away in the fourth quarter and win by a touchdown.

It will be nuts at Lambeau tonight. Mahomes has a shaky OL that is prone to jumping and flinching, His legs are a huge weapon and we have been tracking the trend of him running 6+ times in close games, If you think this will be a close game, and Mahomes will be under pressure and need to run to extend drives and also could have a kneel down or three, then you see myriad ways we go over this. He's over this in three straight and five of six. Also no McKinnon in this one, who is clutch in pass protection and the checkdown game. I suspect he activates the legs 5-6 times again.

We waited to see if this would get to 45 ... and it did not. But we'll play it at 44 here, as all along we have seen this game as being playing around 23-19, or something like that. This will be a big step up in challenge for Jordan Love and this young Packers offense. Chiefs are an elite D. Four of the 5 Packers home game are under this total. Mahomes has just 7 passing TDs in 5 road games with 5 picks. I see this being another choppy, slow-starting prime time game, continuing the trends of unders at night.

Since a 34-20 loss in Detroit, the Packers have allowed 18.3 points per game. That's coincided with improved play from QB Jordan Love, who ranks third in EPA over the last four games. The atmosphere will be charged with Green Bay having a real shot at the playoffs. Grab the points.

Second-round rookie Rashee Rice busted out with 107 receiving yards last week, part of an impressive six-game stretch. He has the best matchup of any Chiefs wideout as he'll be matched up often with Green Bay corner Keisean Nixon. Look for Rice, who is up to five touchdowns this season, to continue producing and clear this prop total.

Rashee Rice is coming off a career best game where he went for triple digit receiving yards, but more importantly finished with a career best 68% route participation, signaling that the Chiefs braintrust are finally on the cusp of giving the rookie a full time role in KC's high volume passing attack. Andy Reid spent the majority of his Week 13 press conference gushing about Rice and as long as he wasn't paying lip service and Rice matches his route participation, this is an automatic play for me at this number.

RRice is now fully immersed in this offense. Target share up. Routes up. Confidence up. And maybe best of all confidence from AReid and #15 is up. Let’s roll with this….

The Packers' underrated defense has allowed a high of just 24 points over the past seven games. Another solid defensive effort, along with QB Jordan Love's best game as an NFL starter, led to a decisive win over the Lions on Thanksgiving. Another inspired effort Sunday could put the Packers as front-runners for a wild-card berth in the NFC, as the Vikings and Seahawks appear to be fading fast. Kansas City could see a potential flat spot ahead of its looming home showdown against Buffalo next week.

Rematch of Super Bowl I, some 57 years on! Not the first time these teams have met since, but we suspect the Packers might serve their legacy well. Green Bay seems to be picking up some steam, confirmed by the win over Detroit on Thanksgiving, and much-improving efforts from QB Jordan love, who delivered the big plays vs. the Chargers and Lions the past two weeks. A win here and a favorable upcoming slate puts Green Bay right back into the NFC playoff picture. The Chiefs have rarely had an easy time lately as the Patrick Mahomes offense moves in shorter chunks. With momentum on their side, the Packers have more than a puncher's chance on Sunday night. Play Packers

This line is telling you a few things. First, that the Chiefs are still a top-tier team despite looking mortal far too often over the last two months. I can get behind that. But then when you consider Green Bay's elite home-field advantage, you have to rate them as a clearly below-average team among the likes of Washington, Arizona and Tennessee for this line to make sense. They've shown over the last two weeks that they're above that tier as Jordan Love appears to be making some strides in his development with 12 career starts on his resume. The Packers have topped 375 yards in four straight games, and that type of production will be good enough to stay within reach of Kansas City here.