Kansas City comes off their loss to the Broncos. Miami has lost to the two best team they’ve faced this season. Now, they face a Chiefs defense holding opponents to 287.8 yards per game. This will one of the best teams Kansas City has faced this season but can take advantage of this vulnerable Dolphins defense.

The overseas flight on Lufthansa was good timing for the Chiefs, who probably wanted to get out of the country after last week's big laid egg at Mile High, and watching the underdog Broncos emphatically snap a 16-game series losing streak. Once again, Patrick Mahomes' wideouts were mostly invisible, and there is only so far Travis Kelce can bail out the offense. It's also show-me week for the Dolphins, who have flopped in their toughest tests vs. top contenders Buffalo and Philly, but both of those were true road games, not at a neutral venue in Germany. But the KC that lost to Denver last week could be in trouble in Deutschland. Play Dolphins

Raheem Mostert doesn't have a game designation, but he missed the first practice of Chiefs' week and was limited in the final two due to an ankle injury. That means Jeff Wilson should stay involved after he rushed five times for 23 yards and added two catches for 14 yards versus the Patriots. K.C. ranks 25th in yards per carry allowed (4.4) and Dolphins left tackle Terron Armstead (knee) has been activated and will play.

Under coach Andy Reid, the Chiefs have thrived when playing on foreign soil. Eight years ago in London, they hammered Detroit 45-10. Four seasons later, they beat the Chargers in Mexico City by a touchdown. Now it's Frankfurt against a fine, young coach yet new to the travel experience. The Dolphins might be 5-0 against the spread as favorites but are 1-2 as underdogs, with defeats to Buffalo and Philadelphia by a combined 42 points. K.C. is coming off its first straight-up loss since the opener in which QB Patrick Mahomes was bedeviled by the flu. He figures to bounce back. You'd have to assume that if anyone can corral dynamic Miami WR Tyreek Hill, it's his ex-team.

You usually don't want to buy into peripheral storylines, but in this case they appear valid. The fact that Dolphins arrived well ahead of the Chiefs in Germany means something; remember how Buffalo looked flat in London against a Jacksonville club that had been there for 2 weeks. Patrick Mahomes was reportedly battling illness against the Broncos and, contrary to popular perception, it isn't written ins tone that every Chiefs loss is followed by a dominant bounce-back performance. The Dolphins are eager to show they can beat a top-tier opponent and a more important test lies ahead for Kansas City in its Super Bowl rematch with the Eagles.

Miami's defense is coming off an excellent performance and just added Jalen Ramsey, but the rest of the team's CB room is battling multiple injuries and the Dolphins have struggled when stepping up to face elite offenses like the Bills, Eagles and even Chargers. The Chiefs still have an elite offense despite the dud last week, and they also have a good enough defense to slow down the Miami attack and get some pressure on Tua Tagovailoa, especially with Miami's offensive line also dealing with key injuries. I'll back the defending champs as I believe this line should be closer to 3.

I’m aware that Mahomes has been over this total in three of his past four, but it’s Vic Fangio’s history against Mahomes that encourages me here. In three years with the Broncos and last year as a consultant with the Eagles, Fangio has crafted defenses to slow the Chiefs down. The key factor is NOT blitzing, putting more bodies deeper downfield to deter Mahomes from throwing. It’s worked – Mahomes went under 27 completions in 4 of 6 games in Denver and in last year’s Super Bowl hit 21 targets on 27 attempts. The other factor is that Miami’s secondary should be at full strength. They should help keep the completions down. And the kicker? Even with Fangio’s finagling, Mahomes is undefeated against him.

In what should be a fantastic game overseas on Sunday morning, the Chiefs star TE should feast against a Miami unit that has allowed the sixth most receiving yards to the position. The Dolphins were lit up by the two best TEs they have faced this season: Darren Waller: 8-86-0 and Dallas Goedert 5-77-1. In what should be a shootout, I could easily see another 100+ yard game from Kansas City's future Hall of Fame tight end.

This might be the most "get this guy a touchdown so he can metaphorically flip his former team the bird" play of the 2023 NFL season. If there's any chance for Miami to get Hill get into the Frankfurt end zone for a landung (German for touchdown supposedly) against his former club, even on a run, it will happen. May have to set my alarm to get up early Sunday. Don't think I've done that since my altar boy days ... which only ended in my 40s. That wrong?

Tyreek Hill ranks 1st in touchdowns with 8 this season. He's scored at least 1 TD 7 of 8 games on the season including 4 straight. Hill will be extra motivated to find pay dirt in Germany this week, facing his former team for the first time since being traded two seasons ago. The Kansas City defense has done a great job shutting down opposing wide outs, but you can't keep Gepard (cheetah in German) out on the end zone.

Mahomes lost on the road to an AFC opponent for the first time in his career last week to the Broncos. However, the reigning MVP is 14-3 SU after a loss and Miami actually hasn't beaten a team with a winning record (at the time) since Week 3 of last season. Additionally, the Dolphins have beat up on bad teams offensively but they've struggled when playing top tier defenses. I can see this playing put similarly to their week 4 matchup against the Bills.