Aaron Jones is expected to play, and he makes all the difference to this Packers' offense. I trust Matt LaFleur used the bye to reset offensively. Back Green Bay to come out refreshed and snap its two-game skid versus the lowly Broncos.

The only time Musgrave failed to hit this in the last 3 weeks was when he got concussed (and the other TEs games in his absence). He is a big part of the game plan and should be today v a Den D that is the worst v opp TE. Take a plus money prop

Amid this pile of Mile High manure, however, a couple of ponies might have been found last Thursday at Arrowhead when Vance Joseph's defense bucked-up for the first time this season and appeared fairly competent in new 4-3 looks that had Patrick Mahomes off-balance. And there is another option for the offense with Javonte Williams (52 YR at KC) and rookie Jaleel McLaughlin begging to become a viable infantry diversion. Wondering what we'll get from the Pack after Jordan Love became lost in his last start at Vegas before the bye week, and with Denver off since Thursday there is not much of a bye week edge (if it exists at all) as there usually might be.

This one would have been a lot more interesting a year ago when Nathaniel Hackett was still on the Denver sidelines after moving from Green Bay and the OC gig with the Pack the previous offseason. Not sure things have improved with Sean Payton, who besides alienating everyone at Dove Valley has also made Hackett look almost Tom Landry-like by comparison. Amid this pile of Mile High manure, however, a couple of ponies might have been found last Thursday at Arrowhead as option for the Denver offense with Javonte Williams (52 YR at KC) and rookie Jaleel McLaughlin begging to become a viable infantry diversion.

We've got a reasonably high game total, great weather and a competitive game environment. Drop the most explosive player on either team in Christian Watson into that mix and you can expect plenty of explosive play opportunities. Since coming off injury Watson's snaps have increased in a big way and he's clearly the main downfield threat, enjoying a big time average depth of target. Denver is no stranger to allowing big plays through the air.

After an impressive start, Green Bay QB Jordon Love has tailed off, with six interceptions in the prior three games and one TD throw in the past two. He might get well against Denver's porous defense, but the Packers are seriously beat up. Their final injury report was 10 names long, with nine questionables and a doubtful. A key name is RB Aaron Jones, who might need to wait another week for his return from rehabbing. Though Broncos QB Russell Wilson has blown hot and cold, he could lean on his rushing game, given Green Bay's No. 28 ranking in ground yards permitted per game. Coming off a Thursday game, the Broncos are afforded three extra days to get ready.

I know Doubs had just one catch in the Packers’ last game, but I’m banking on the Packers backing up their comments about spreading the ball around more. It wasn’t long ago when Doubs was a playmaker for Jordan Love – he had at least four receptions in 3 of his first 4 games this season. Christian Watson’s return may have led to some bad decisions for Love but two things will help: The refocused offensive strategy to keep things spread and simple, and a terrible Broncos pass defense. No one allows a higher catch rate to wide receivers than the Broncos at 75.8%, and it’s even higher on throws inside of 15 Air Yards.

Christian Watson is coming off of a season high 83% route participation in Week 5 prior to the Packers BYE week in Week 6. After dealing with a hamstring injury that caused Watson to miss the first three games he should be set for a full time role. He's flashed tantalizing upside with a sensational 20.5 ADOT. Watson has an excellent 2.37 YPPR and gets to face a Broncos pass defense that is 32nd in EPA allowed per dropback and 32nd in coverage grade. This checks all the boxes for a potential ceiling game for Watson.

The Packers offense has struggled for much of the year, but the bye gives them a chance to get healthy and reset after Jordan Love had a lot more misses than hits over the first five weeks. This matchup should help, with Denver's defense still last in yards per play by a mile despite a solid game against the Chiefs that could've been helped by the wind. The Broncos offense looks unimpressive and inconsistent despite ranking well, and I like Green Bay's chances of holding them to 20 points and scoring 24+ for the cover with two weeks to prepare.