Two banged-up defenses meet in a second straight tough road game for the Bills coming off their loss to the Dolphins last week. The Ravens were able to bounce back from their own Dolphins loss to find some answers on both sides of the ball against the Patriots, but it will be tough for Buffalo to do the same against a team that has the offensive weaponry to keep the visitors on their toes. The weather is also an issue here, which makes the field goal incredibly valuable. The hope in waiting to pick was that the Ravens would get the hook before kickoff; that may still happen -- +3.5 (-110) would be preferred -- but +3 (+100) is great value for the home team in a better spot with a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who appears to be on an MVP track.

Inclement weather has caused this total to drop a couple points, but this still should be the advertised shootout between two of the NFL's most explosive teams. Josh Allen and the Bills should bounce back against the league's worst-rated defense, while Lamar Jackson and friends should exploit a Buffalo defense that still has some holes in the secondary.

There is concern for the Bills and the way their offense looked against Miami. Regrouping in another tough road spot will be an immense challenge at Baltimore. Considering how much weight of the the Ravens' offense is on QB Lamar Jackson’s shoulders, there should be some opportunities for the Bills' defense to boost the team's offense. Take Buffalo in what still will not be a Buffalo-type game, but nevertheless, they’ll win the 50/50 type plays.

Sloppy Sunday in the Northeast due to the remnants of Hurricane Ian, which will put a lot of focus on the run game in this Bills/Ravens matchup. When you narrow it down to that specific element, this game heavily favors Baltimore. Although Josh Allen is a very capable threat, he's been prone to putting the ball on the turf and doesn't have the consistent run game that the Ravens possess. Baltimore loves to play games like this, and will be glad that the poor conditions could limit the Bills' attack to a one-dimensional one.

The Bills somehow lost to the Dolphins despite outgaining their opponent 497-212 in yardage, but yards per play was even in that game as the Bills ran 90 plays in sweltering conditions. Now they're back on the road against a beat-up Ravens defense, and I'm not sure they'll be in peak form coming off that brutal Miami game with injuries at receiver to deal with. The Buffalo secondary is even more decimated this week, with Christian Benford out and supposed reinforcement Xavier Rhodes likely out with a hamstring injury. The Ravens are first in the league in yards per play, including gaining almost a full yard more per pass than the exalted Bills offense. At home, this line isn't giving them enough respect even with the state of their defense.

Buffalo is so desperate for help in its injury-decimated secondary that it signed Xavier Rhodes, who has been unemployed this season. The Bills’ three primary CBs could be out, so QB Lamar Jackson’s floating passes should reach their target a lot. Moreover, QB Josh Allen might be scrambling more with OT Tommy Doyle scratched. The Bills have fared poorly of late in Baltimore, losing four of the last five ATS there. Bottom line: Baltimore getting at least a field goal at home is usually a must-play.

The Buffalo offense was on the field for 90 plays in last week's loss at Miami. The Bills will now play their second straight road game in less-than-ideal conditions. Rain is expected (78%) from the remnants of Hurricane Ian. Buffalo defeated the Ravens, 17-3, in the 2021 divisional playoffs, despite getting outgained 340-220. The Ravens' last home game against Miami was a meltdown of epic proportions. They should be motivated. Baltimore is 7-2 against-the-spread as an underdog in its last nine games. Buffalo is 5-7 straight-up and 4-8 ATS when playing on a grass field of late. Take the home dog in what should be a tight game.